More on the ripples of the 2005 hurricane season

katrina_box5.jpgThis NY Times article reports on two recently-published Census Bureau reports that constitute the findings of the bureau’s first study on the social, financial and demographic impact of the Hurricanes Katrina and Rita last summer on the Gulf Coast region:

After the twin barrages of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita last year, the City of New Orleans emerged nearly 64 percent smaller, having lost an estimated 278,833 residents, . . . Those who remained in the city were significantly more likely to be white, slightly older and a bit more well-off, . . . The bureau found that while New Orleans lost about two-thirds of its population, adjacent St. Bernard Parish dropped a full 95 percent, falling to just 3,361 residents by Jan. 1. [. . .] The black population of the New Orleans metropolitan area fell to 21 percent from 36 percent, the bureau found.
While the New Orleans area lost population, the Houston metropolitan area emerged with more than 130,000 new residents, many of them hurricane evacuees. Whites made up a slightly smaller percentage of Houston’s population รณ 62.8 percent of the city in January compared with 64.8 percent last July, a month before Hurricane Katrina hit.
In Harris County, which includes Houston, median household income fell to $43,044 from $44,517, while New Orleans area’s actually rose, to $43,447 from $39,793.

Interestingly, the reports debunk widespread speculation that the New Orleans evacuees who went to nearby Baton Rouge, where the population grew by nearly 15,000, were disproportionately poor. The evacuees who landed in Baton Rouge ended up being more middle-class, while the poorer evacuees ended up going to more distant cities, such as Houston.

The Rocket’s new nickname

Clemens v Braves3.jpgThe Roger Clemens Family Traveling Show was in Lexington, Kentucky last night as the Rocket pitched three innings of a minor league game in preparation for returning to the Stros’ rotation later this month. It will likely be the only game that Clemens pitches in this season that also features a wiper fluid promotion and a milking contest involving a ceramic cow.
By the way, Clemens’ son, who plays third base for Lexington, has coined a new nickname for his father — “Bernie Mac,” the name of the actor who stars in the forgettable 2004 movie Mr. 3000, about a washed-up ballplayer who comes out of retirement to collect one last hit.

Never underestimate what can go on in the jury room

jury-room.jpgWhen you put a dozen of so strangers in a jury room together, weird things happen.
That’s certainly been the case recently in Chicago, where the current big news is that the defense team for former Illinois Governor George Ryan is seeking a new trial based on jury misconduct after the jury convicted Ryan on all 18 counts of a federal corruption indictment in a six-month trial earlier this year (previous post here). Although jury misconduct motions are always longshots, based on news reports, this one has a better than typical chance if only a few of the allegations of juror misconduct turn out to be true.
In the Ryan case, the allegation is that one of the jurors looked up a definition of “good faith deliberations” in attempting to persuade a holdout juror that she was not deliberating in good faith. Inasmuch as the holdout was ultimately dismissed from the panel for unrelated reasons, the trial judge denied Ryan’s first juror misconduct motion. However, Ryan’s defense team is now demanding a new hearing into allegations that there was so much pressure put on the holdout — and so many other jurors either lied in their jury questionnaire forms or did not follow the court’s instructions — that the jury deliberations were utterly skewed and a new trial is required.
Such conduct is a growing issue in high-profile trials as information about such trials is readily available to jurors who routinely work or engage in recreation on their computers each day. This is particularly important in a case such as Lay-Skilling, where pre-trial motions indicated widespread bias (see also here) against the defendants among prospective jurors. During the trial, several media outlets — including the hometown newspaper, the Houston Chronicle — covered the trial by innovatively blending traditional media reports and columns with blogging and podcasts. Although a valuable resource for the general public, such coverage could easily affect jurors who disregard the court’s instruction not to read ongoing media reports about the trial. For example, before and during the Lay-Skilling trial, the Chronicle’s Enron webpage prominently promoted the newspaper’s business columnist’s columns and blog that regularly ridiculed the defendants and called for their conviction, and also promoted regular blog posts from a former Enron Task Force prosecutor. It is certainly the media’s perogative to cover a trial in that manner, but the potential effect of such coverage on the jury pool would seem to mitigate strongly in favor of a more liberal rule in favor of changing the venue of such trials than has traditionally been applied.