Stros 2005 Review: Checking in with the Stros at the halfway point

Astros-Logo4.jpgWhat a difference a year makes.
Last year at this time, this post about the Stros reflected the overwhelming pessimism that surrounded the team — the hitting was lousy and the pitching staff was reeling from the loss of Wade Miller and the sore elbow of Andy Pettitte. Of course, that club turned things around dramatically during the last third of the season to take the Wildcard playoff spot and come within a game of the World Series.
On the other hand, this year, the Stros strutted into the All-Star Break on a 29-13 run, the Rocket and Roy O are the top two pitchers in the league, 3B Morgan Ensberg is having a career year, Bidg is performing remarkably, and Berkman is hitting his stride after returning late from off-season knee surgery. As opposed to last season, the overall feeling is one of sunny optimism.
The funny thing about the foregoing is that this season’s Stros team (44-43) has lost only one less game than last season’s club (44-44) at this time. Expectations certainly color attitudes toward performance, don’t they?

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Ebbers receives an effective life sentence

ebbers.jpg
Former WorldCom CEO 63 year old Bernard J. Ebbers received a 25 year sentence for his conviction on charges of securities fraud, conspiracy and seven counts of filing false reports with regulators relating to an a multi-billion accounting fraud that resulted in the bankruptcy of WorldCom. Here are the previous posts on the Ebbers case.
Meanwhile, former mid-level Dynegy executive Jamie Olis continues to serve a 24 year sentence even though the market loss (if any) attibutable to the accounting project on which he worked is a fraction of that which occurred in regard to WorldCom. Indeed, Mr. Olis continues to serve his sentence despite the fact that the prosecution’s market loss argument in his case contradicted the Justice Department’s position on market loss that the U.S. Supreme Court adopted in Dura Pharmaceuticals v. Broudo. Similarly, the government continues to defend an appeal of Frank Quattrone’s conviction for witness tampering even after the Supreme Court strikes down Arthur Andersen’s conviction on the same charges under similar circumstances.
Finally, Daniel Bayly is scheduled to report to prison tomorrow and William Fuhs will likely do so in the near future, while Theodore Sihpol goes home (at least for the time being), John and Timothy Rigas are allowed to remain free pending appeal of their convictions for looting their company, Richard Scrushy continues teaching his Sunday school class, and Gary Winnick counts his millions.
Folks, these highly disparate results are not the product of a rational deployment of our criminal justice system. And as Professor Ribstein points out, the Ebbers sentence is worse than any wrong that he committed. Ellen Podgor has these thoughts along the same lines.

Disney-Ovitz revisited?

morgan7.gifThis sure sounds pretty darn similar to the corporate case of the decade:

[Stephen] Crawford, a former investment banker who was appointed co-president by Philip J. Purcell in March amid a power struggle, left the firm yesterday. . . Mr. Crawford’s pay package is particularly unusual because he was co-president for only three months, yet he will take home a severance package that pays him [$32 million] as if he had been co-president for two years and allows his stock to vest – the executive-suite equivalent of hitting the lottery.

That’s pretty good work if you can get it. ;^)

Roll Tide!

Mike Price.JPGTongues are wagging today throughout college football circles as the Wall Street Journal ($) runs with this front page story on former University of Alabama football coach Mike Price‘s libel lawsuit against Time Inc. The lawsuit involves an allegedly false story that Time’s Sports Illustrated magazine ran in May, 2003 involving a wild night that Coach Price had in Pensacola, Florida while attending an Alabama football-related golf tournament. That night of festive activity led to Coach Price’s termination as the Alabama football coach before he had ever coached a game for the Crimson Tide.
After sitting out a season, Coach Price endured the football coaching equivalent of an exile to El Paso, where he now coaches the University of Texas at El Paso football team. For those of you not familiar with the culture of college football, suffice it to say that there is little similarity between being the head coach of the University of Alabama and the head coach at UTEP. Thus, so long as Coach Price can get over the considerable liability issues in his libel suit against Time, establishing damages — despite the fact that Alabama fired Coach Price three days before the SI article appeared — will likely not be much of a problem.
As with any defamation lawsuit by a public figure such as Coach Price, establishing liability is a tough obstacle to overcome. To win his suit, Coach Price has to prove that the news organization acted with “actual malice,” which means that it published information known to be false or recklessly disregarded whether the information was false.

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Andersen II?

frank_quattrone5.jpgAmidst echos of the Supreme Court oral argument in the Arthur Andersen case, this NY Times article reports that the oral argument before the Second Circuit Court of Appeals in former Credit Suisse First Boston investment banker Frank Quattrone‘s appeal of his criminal conviction did not go well for the prosecution. Earlier posts on Mr. Quattrone’s appeal are here and here.
Mr. Quattrone was convicted in May 2004 of witness tampering and obstructing federal grand jury and SEC investigations into whether Credit Suisse First Boston was improperly requiring kickbacks in the form of larger than normal commissions from customers in exchange for hot initial public offerings. Mr. Quattrone was sentenced to a year and a half in jail, but — unlike former Merrill Lynch investment banker Daniel Bayly — remains free pending disposition of his appeal.
With the Supreme Court’s recent decision in the Arthur Andersen case as a backdrop, the three-judge appellate panel considering Mr. Quattrone’s appeal focused on how much the former investment banker needed to know about the investigations he was convicted of obstructing. As in the Andersen appeal, the judges focused on whether the trial judge’s instructions gave the jury leeway to convict Mr. Quattrone of a crime even if he lacked the requisite intent to commit the crime.

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Final arguments in Enron Broadband trial

EBS19.jpgThe Chronicle’s Mary Flood — who has done a fine job as the Chron’s primary reporter on both the Enron-related Nigerian Barge trial and the ongoing Enron Broadband trial — files this report on the final arguments in the latter trial that began on Tuesday morning and will conclude today.
No surprises have occurred so far in the closing arguments. As expected, the prosecution repeatedly pointed to the “elephant in the courtroom” — i.e., the huge amount of money that Defendants Hirko, Shelby and Yeager made on Enron stock sales (between the three, about over $150 million) during the period in which the prosecution contends that they were making false public statements about Enron Broadband’s technological capabilities. Similarly, counsel for Defendants Hirko and Yeager attacked the credibility and motives of key government witness and former Enron Broadband co-CEO Ken Rice, whose testimony was impeached at least to some extent earlier in the trial when he testified falsely that a portion of an Enron Broadband promotion video had been shown to analysts when, in fact, it had not.
An unexpected problem that developed for the prosecution during the trial reared its head again during the first day of closing arguments — that is, the highly different status of Defendants Howard and Krautz from Defendants Hirko, Shelby and Yeager, who made the big money in Enron stock sales. Messrs. Howard and Krautz did not make any huge stock sales and are charged instead with fraud in connection with their involvement in an Enron Broadband structured finance transaction. Nevertheless, the prosecution largely ignored them for large parts of the trial, choosing to focus on the more juicy securities fraud and insider trading charges against Defendants Hirko, Shelby and Yeager. From accounts of Tuesday’s arguments, the same trend continued, which may be an indication that the prosecution does not have much faith in its case against Messrs. Howard and Krautz and is trying to bear down on its case against the three big money defendants. Counsel for Messrs. Howard and Krautz will give their closing arguments this morning.
After an often tortuous three month trial, it’s doubtful that a day and a half of closing arguments will have much of an effect on the jury. In most long trials, my experience is that jurors have made up their minds long before closing arguments and, at this point, are simply interested in getting into deliberations so that they can freely talk about the trial among themselves. After the closing arguments conclude today, U.S. District Judge Vanessa Gilmore will read the charge to the jurors, who will then probably meet briefly and then adjourn for the day. Substantive jury deliberations will likely commence on Thursday morning.
Update: Here is Ms. Flood’s report from the remainder of the closing arguments on Wednesday.

It’s been a tough year for BP

thunderhorse.jpgFirst, British Petroleum had to deal with the explosion at its Texas City plant earlier this year.
Then, yesterday, BP discovered that Hurricane Dennis had damaged its huge Thunder Horse Drilling Platform in the Gulf of Mexico over the weekend, as the picture on the left of the badly listing platform reflects. BP’s press release on the damage is here.
Hat tip to Clear Thinkers reader Charles Satterwhite for the amazing picture of the listing Thurder Horse.
Update: Kathy Herrmann is analyzing the technical and financial implications of the damage to Thunder Horse over at Big Cat Chronicles.

On foreign aid

posner2.jpgThe always entertaining Richard Posner (prior posts here) weighs in on the efficacy of foreign aid:

I do not favor foreign aid, debt relief (which is simply another form of such aid), or other financial transfers to poor countries, in Africa or anywhere else. Countries that are not corrupt do not require foreign aid, and foreign aid to corrupt countries entrenches corruption by increasing the gains to corruption. Foreign aid to Zimbabwe, for example, will simply prop up dictator Mugabe.
Foreign aid makes people in wealthy countries feel generous, but retards reform in those countries as well as in the donee countries. . .

Meanwhile, over at Mahalanobis, Michael Stasny refers to this Bill Easterly paper on foreign aid (pdf):

If Zambia had converted all the aid it received since 1960 to investment and all of that investment to growth, it would have had a per capita GDP of about $20,000 by the early 1990s. Instead, Zambia?s per capita GDP in the early 1990s was lower than it had been in 1960, hovering under $500.

To which Tyler Cowen reminds us that, as of 1960 or so, Zambia and South Korea had roughly the same standard of living.

Strong medicine with serious side effects

gambling-9949.gifThis post from yesterday made the point that that most medications are toxins that often have serious side effects, but that the risk of those side effects has to be weighed against the benefit that patients derive from the medications. However, the side effect noted in this article is, might we say, a bit difficult to weigh:

A Mayo Clinic study published Monday in July?s Archives of Neurology describes 11 other Parkinson?s patients who developed the unusual problem [of becoming compulsive gamblers] while taking Mirapex or similar drugs between 2002 and 2004. Doctors have since identified 14 additional Mayo patients with the problem, . . .

Chevron’s pitch to Unocal shareholders

chevron_logo.gifIn this WSJ ($) op-ed, Chevron Corporation CEO David O’Reilly makes the case to Unocal Corp. shareholders for choosing Chevron’s lower bid for the company over the China National Offshore Oil Corp.’s higher bid (here are the previous posts on the Chevron and CNOOC battle over Unocal).
Mr. O’Reilly does a reasonably good job in making his case. His main point is that Chevron’s bid is a sure thing that is much further along in the approval process than the CNOOC bid. In short, he advises Unocal shareholders to take the slightly smaller Chevron bird in the hand rather than the bigger CNOOC one in the bush.
But in making his case, Mr. O’Reilly veers off course with his second argument:

The second critical issue is in the arena of public policy. For the U.S. government, the proposal by Cnooc presents fundamental questions about fair trade that have profound implications for all U.S. businesses. Contrary to claims by Cnooc, the company’s offer is simply not a commercial transaction. The company is 70% owned by the Chinese government and is relying on large subsidies in the form of government loans at below-market rates to finance its $18.5 billion offer. A conservative analysis shows that the value of these subsidies is at least $2.6 billion or $10 per Unocal share. These terms are simply not available to commercial companies operating in the open market. If Cnooc were to finance its offer on truly commercial terms available to most non-government owned corporations, as Chevron is, it simply couldn’t make a competitive bid.

Stated another way, Mr. O’Reilly reasons that Unocal shareholders should reject the higher CNOOC bid because CNOOC’s bank (i.e., the Chinese government) is willing to loan the company too much money.
My sense is that this argument might work on U.S. Congressmen, many of whom tend to gravitate toward dubious mercantilist policies. However, arguing to Unocal shareholders that they should reject the CNOOC bid because CNOOC’s bank is willing to loan CNOOC so much money that the company can overpay the Unocal shareholders strikes me as a reason for Unocal shareholders to embrace the CNOOC bid, not reject it.