Is Tony Blair’s Princess Di premonition coming true?

Tony Blair-big.jpgDuring a scene of Stephen Frears’ clever film, The Queen, British Prime Minister Tony Blair’s staff is relishing the public disdain for the Royal Family’s restrained response to Princess Diana’s death because it makes Blair — who made a passionate public response — look good in comparison. Blair — played brilliantly by Michael Sheen — grows frustrated with his staff’s gloating because he knows that the same public venom that is being directed toward the Royal Family could just as easily be directed toward him.
Based on this Daily Telegraph article, Blair may be receiving precisely what he feared:

We have become like any other nation. No more can we tell ourselves that British corruption scandals are qualitatively different from those of hot countries, or that the peccadilloes that shake our polity would barely make the newspapers in Italy. In 1994, in his first major speech as Labour leader, Tony Blair promised that, under his leadership, Britain would never again be out of step with Europe. Now, in a grisly kind of way, his ambition has been fulfilled.
With so many sleaze stories in our news pages, it is easy to become confused. A prominent Labour donor has been profiting from the recommendations of his own task-force. Gordon Brown’s supporters accuse Mr Blair of seeking to drag their man into the mire with him. Meanwhile, the Government has ordered an abrupt halt to the inquiry into allegations of hidden arms commissions, just as others begin to suspect corruption.
The sheer blizzard of allegations can leave us snow-blind. Perhaps, we tell ourselves, this is what all governments do. Perhaps Labour is no different from its predecessors. After all, wasn’t John Major brought down after a series of sexual and financial scandals?
Yes, he was. But what is happening now is of a different order. The central accusation against this ministry ñ that it has sold favours, possibly even places in the legislature, to secret donors ñ is one that has not been seriously levelled at a British government since the introduction of the universal franchise. [. . .]
Tony Blair’s belief in the superiority of his motives leads him to reason that, when the New Labour project is at stake, the ends justify the means.
We saw this within weeks of his accession when he sought to explain the Ecclestone affair ñ the first of many cash-for-favours scandals ñ on the basis that he was a pretty straight kinda guy. That, essentially, remains his attitude: he regards complaints about probity as petty next to what he is doing for Britain.
A decade later, parliament is cheapened, and the police have been called into Downing Street. That, more than the transformation of his party, more than Scottish devolution, more even than Iraq, will be his legacy.

The Smart Money

betting-069-06.gifAs Captain Renault — Claude Rains’ character in Casablanca — might say, “I’m shocked, shocked that there is betting on sporting events!:”

The Brain Trust [is] a shadowy cabal of gamblers who wager enormous amounts of money on sports events, using a supercomputer and a SWAT team of injury and weather experts to take advantage of minor discrepancies in the point spreads set up by the Vegas linemakers. Itís a multimillion-dollar business ó and legal ó but thereís a wrinkle: they like to bet hundreds of thousands of dollars per game, and whenever the casinos sniff out betting syndicates like the Brain Trust, they show them the door in a heartbeat. Thatís because in addition to risking huge losses each week, the bookmakers are forced to adjust their betting lines ó sometimes by two or three points for a football game ó whenever the ìsmart moneyî wades in, since they desperately need other customers to bet the other side to balance their action and stand a chance of making money.

The foregoing excerpt is from this NY Times book review of Michael Konik’s new book, The Smart Money (Simon & Schuster 2006). As Konik notes, the Brain Trust attempts to manipulate the point spread on sporting events in the same way that hedge funds and currency speculators attempt to move the stock market on certain stocks and currencies. Capt. Renault would almost certainly be playing.

2006 Weekly local football review

Carr getting sacked again.jpgPatriots 40 Texans 7
Just when you thought it was impossible for the Texans (4-10) to stoop any lower, the Texans’ offense rolled over and played dead against the Patriots.
This one was over by Sunday morning brunch as the Texans were down 17-zip after the first quarter and 27-zip at half. Actually, the Texans’ defense did not play badly, but the Texans offense continually placed the defense in untenable positions. QB David Carr continues to look like a basket case, going 16-28 for a net 93 yards with 4 interceptions, 4 sacks and, as usual, no TD passes. I have long had doubts about Carr, but it’s becoming more certain with each passing game that Carr will not be an effective QB for the Texans. Whether it’s the constant pounding that he has taken as a result of the lack of protection from the Texans’ deficient offensive line, his poor recognition skills or his dubious leadership qualities, Carr has regressed to a point in Houston that Coach Gary Kubiak’s sideline vibes decisively indicate that he has given up on Carr.
However, as bad as Carr has been, certainly Kubiak and Texans’ owner Bob McNair have to share in the blame for the woeful state of this team. As noted earlier here, after giving up on the Casserly-Capers regime, McNair changed the management model of the Texans football operation from a strong GM model to a strong head coach model. There is nothing wrong with that, but rather than hiring an experienced head coach, McNair opted for local boy-made-good Kubiak, who had never been more than a top offensive assistant in a strong head coach model that was run by an offensive coach (Denver’s Mike Shanahan). The transition from assistant to head coach has been anything but smooth for Kubiak — the Texans’ defense has improved somewhat from last season’s disastrous unit, but the Texans’ offense is actually worse than last season’s, which was almost unimaginable before this season began. Add in the fact that Carr and the Texans’ offense have actually regressed in development under Kubiak’s tutelage, the luster of Kubiak’s reputation as an up-and-coming offensive coach has certainly been dulled.
At any rate, the Texans have two home games left to end the season, against the Colts (10-3, playing tonight) and the Browns (4-10). It looks as if the Texans’ offense has packed it in, so it’s hard to imagine that the team could beat anyone these days. But stranger things have happened. Let’s just hope that another win or two doesn’t result in a dramatic downward change in the Texans’ draft position for the 2007 NFL Draft. The Texans need all the help they can get.