When we last checked in on the Stros at the 7/10’s pole, the club had shown signs that it was going to climb back into legitimate contender status in the National League playoff race. Unfortunately, those signs of a playoff run were as illusory as Brad Ausmus’ swing and the Stros promptly turned in a 6-10 record in their eighth 1/10th segment of the season. In so doing, the Stros (61-68) effectively took themselves out of the race for a playoff spot.
As regular readers of this blog recognize, it’s not surprising that this Stros club is continuing to struggle. It has been a mediocre club almost all season, reflected by the team’s record in each of its 1/10th segments of the season (previous 10% segment summaries are here):
1. 11-5
2. 8-8
3. 6-10
4. 7-9
5. 7-10 (halfway mark)
6. 7-9
7. 9-7
8. 6-10
As noted in the each of the pre-season reviews of the club over the past three seasons (here, here and here), the Stros’ overall hitting has been declining steadily for six straight seasons and that lack of punch has finally caught up with the club. Superior pitching and playoff appearances over the past two seasons tended to camouflage the club’s abysmal hitting, but merely better-than-National League-average pitching this season has exposed the Stros’ imbalance — it is now a club with better-than-average pitching, one legitimate slugger, a few average or slightly-above average hitters, and a troubling number of regular players who are among the worst hitters in the National League.
The Stros hitting woes continued in the most recent 1/10th segment of the season as the club’s aggregate runs scored against average (“RCAA,” explained here) declined to -42, which is 13th among the 16 National League teams. While the pitching staff’s overall improvement during the second half of the season increased the staff’s runs saved against average (“RSAA,” explained here) to 35 (4th in the NL) midway through this current segment, a couple of rocky starts by the back-end of the staff lowered the staff’s RSAA to 30, which is currently 5th among National League teams.

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