Delta is ready to file a chapter 11 case

DAL-logo2.gifFollowing on this report from about a month ago, this Wall Street Journal ($) article reports this morning that Delta Airlines will pull the plug this week and file a chapter 11 reorganization case. Let’s hope that this prediction on the timing of the filing of the chapter 11 case is a bit better than this one, and that Delta’s stay in chapter 11 is bit shorter and more pleasant than this one.
Delta is certainly a prime candidate for reorganization. The airline has lost almost $10 billion since 2001, has debt of about $20 billion and expensive pension obligations. As of the end of this year, Delta faces $470 million in maturing debt, $550 million in interest payments, $460 million in operating lease payments and $135 million in pension payments. Not many companies have a spare $2 billion in cash laying around to spread around such obligations.

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2005 Weekly local football review

Carr.jpgVince young.jpgTwo local quarterbacks had very different tales during the first full week of college and pro football of the 2005 season.
Texas Longhorns 25 Ohio State 22

In a magnificent early-season game between two storied college football programs, Texas’ WR Limas Sweed made a tremendous catch for the winning touchdown in the closing minutes on a 24 yard pass from QB Vince Young as the Longhorns held on to beat Ohio State before a record 105,000 crowd in Columbus. Although the gazelle-like Young was the media-picked star of the game, it was the Longhorn defense that actually won the game for the Horns as that plucky unit held the Buckeyes to three field goals after three Longhorn turnovers deep in their own territory gave the Ohio State offense multiple opportunities to build an insurmountable lead. Also, it looks to me as if the Horns have a couple of emerging stars in freshman RB Jamaal Charles and MLB Aaron Harris. About the only negative for the Horns was their kick-off team, which continued the abysmal trend that first appeared in last season’s Rose Bowl game against Michigan. The Horns have a couple of warm-up games against Rice at home and Missouri on the road sandwiched around an off-week before the Oklahoma game on October 8th in Dallas.

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“Who’s laughing now, Mister?”

catfish_over.jpgDuring the U.S. Open Tennis Tournament, Lexus has been running a clever series of commercials featuring U.S. tennis star Andy Roddick. The series — called “On the Road with Andy Roddick” — features five different people talking to Mr. Roddick about various subjects while cruising with him in a convertible Lexus.
Click here to watch each of the five commercials. My favorite: “Catfish”

Will the NY Times blame Enron for the delay in the Hurricane Katrina relief effort?

enron sinking logo.gifMy sense is that the New York Times editors need a little psychiatric help in letting their “Enron-thing” go.
In this article, the Times reports on a working paper by a couple of East Coast economists who propose the rather unsurprising hypothesis that accounting scandals are one of many factors that tend to have a negative effect on job growth. Thus, the Times translates that working paper into the headline: “The Crime: Slow Job Growth. A Suspect: Enron.”
Of course, the Times didn’t bother to call the longstanding the expert on Houston’s employment market to find out the effect that Enron’s demise has had on Houston’s employment market (it’s not had much long-term effect). Nor does the Times bother to note that governmental regulation through criminalization of business — particularly the Arthur Andersen case — has likely had a far larger negative effect on jobs than the accounting scandal at Enron or other companies.
By the way, this is not the first time that the Times editors have used a questionable headline relating to Enron. Is there a medical term for an unhealthy preoccupation with Enron? Enronpsychosis?

NY Times profiles Dell CEO

dell_logo.jpgMost folks who do not follow business closely are surprised to learn that Michael Dell has not been the chief executive officer of Round Rock, Texas-based Dell, Inc for almost two years now. This NY Times piece profiles Dell’s CEO, Kevin B. Rollins, and, although Mr. Dell is no longer CEO, it sounds as if Mr. Dell is still, might we say, “involved” in the company’s day-to-day operations:

[Messrs. Dell and Rollins] do work closely together, figuratively and literally. Their large wooden desks face one another in adjoining offices separated by a glass wall and a glass door. [EMC CEO Joseph] Tucci says he has visited those offices about 50 times and has never seen the door closed. “The way those two guys get along is not an act,” Mr. Tucci said. “I can start a conversation with Michael, and two weeks later finish it with Kevin. They know what each other is thinking.”

Take this job and shove it

Lazard.gifThe Lazard investment banking empire — Paris-based Lazard FrËres & Cie., London-based Lazard Brothers, and New York-based Lazard FrËres & Co. — recently conducted the largest initial public offering by an investment bank since Goldman Sachs went public in 1999. The move was not without critics, particularly among certain sectors of the Lazard workforce. The following is the departing email of one of those critics to his fellow Lazard employees, as noted by the NY Times:

I will be leaving Lazard effective tomorrow after more than 32 years with various firms of the Group around the world. I will be pursuing my career in the general unemployment line, as I am neither old enough nor wealthy enough to retire. I wish myself every good fortune in the future.
I am leaving on the high note of the IPO of Lazard with the knowledge (i) that I will be contributing to the stated intent of reducing the employment costs at Lazard by a total of more than US$ 180 million per year and (ii) that I will not have to comply with the non-disparagement provisions contained in the agreement between Lazard and the “Historical Partners”.
I wish to congratulate the Head of Lazard for his success in selling the Lazard IPO to the investment public and to most (!) of Lazard’s “Working Members”. This will probably be judged in years to come not only as an even bolder act of financial wizardry than the sale of Wasserstein Perella, but also as a gesture of extraordinary altruism, since it was essentially done – from a cash point of view – for the benefit of the Historical Partners.
I wish every success to the Lazard Working Members in their task of working down Lazard’s mountain of debt and hopefully ultimately returning to a situation where the tangible book value attributable to their own (still indirect) interests in Lazard Ltd. will again be positive.
Finally, let me say how gratifying it is, as the only direct descendant of the founding Lazard brothers currently employed in the Group, to sever ties with Lazard around the same time as my distant uncle Michel David-Weill who was the last family member (albeit not a direct descendant of the founding brothers) to run the firm.
Bernard Sainte-Marie

Disassembling Dowd

wilkinson.jpgWill Wilkinson is a policy analyst at the Cato Institute in Washington and runs the smart Fly Bottle blog. In this TCS Central piece piece (blog link here), Mr. Wilkinson deliciously exposes the muddled thinking behind three recent op-eds written by NY Times columnist Maureen Dowd, Washington Post columnist Harold Myerson and NY Times columnist Paul Krugman that all contend that the principles of limited government and economic libertarianism caused the tragedy in New Orleans.
When I read Ms. Dowd’s piece earlier in the week, it occurred to me that her remark “when you combine limited government with incompetent government, lethal stuff happens” rather naively presumed that less limited but competent government is a realistic alternative. However, Mr. Wilkinson’s op-ed takes that observation several steps further and concludes:

Dowd, Krugman, and Meyerson evidently loathe free markets and limited government. And they also loathe the Bush administration. Apparently it would be nice for them if they could bundle their hatreds into a package of loathing, tie it up in spite, and burn it. So they try. But the package won’t hold together, and they can’t bash Bush without burning themselves. The most cursory inspection of the front page indicates that the difference between him and them is simply the details of their hostility to economic freedom and small government.

Read the entire piece for some refreshing clear thinking.

Katrina’s economic ripples on Houston

houston skyline.jpgFollowing on this post from earlier in the week regarding the economic impact to Houston of the arrival of thousands of former New Orleans residents, Tyler Cowen over at Marginal Revolution provides his typically insightful analysis on the issue. Tyler notes that there are economic benefits and costs attributable to the arrival of the former New Orleans residents, and concludes:

Both the costs and benefits of resettlement will be overstated by partisans. The Houston boom won’t last long, and the costs will net out to put the city in a roughly break-even position.

My sense is that Tyler’s view is largely correct because most of New Orleans’ larger businesses that could provide a big employment boost for Houston (i.e., the port, refineries, etc.) will remain in New Orleans due to the huge capital investments there. The one difference with the exodus from New Orleans from other analogous circumstances is the decimation in New Orleans of small businesses, which were the largest employer in the area. The jobs with the big employers will return to New Orleans relatively quickly, but the replenishment of the supply of jobs attributable to small businesses — particularly small service companies — will take much longer because a huge number of those businesses were wiped out by the storm and do not have the capital or demand necessary to re-start their business in the New Orleans area any time soon. Whether any significant number of those jobs are ultimately re-created in the Houston economy remains to be seen.
On a related economic note, the Chronicle’s business columnist, Loren Steffy, has a good column in which he notes the prejudicial impact that the Bankruptcy Amendments of 2005 will have on many people who have been rendered insolvent as a result of Hurricane Katrina, not the least of which is the fact that such amendments increase the cost considerably of filing an individual bankruptcy case.

Judge Lake’s letter-writing campaign

sim lake.jpgIn a hearing yesterday afternoon in Houston federal court, U.S. District Judge Sim Lake continued to grapple with strong evidence that the Enron Task Force has engaged in a systematic campaign of intimidating witnesses in the upcoming trial of former Enron chairman Ken Lay, former CEO Jeff Skilling, and chief accountant Richard Causey from conferring with or testifying with the defendants and their counsel. As noted in earlier posts here, here and here, in each of the three criminal trials that the Enron Task Force has prosecuted to date — the Andersen case, the Nigerian Barge case, and the Enron Broadband case — the Task Force threatened numerous material witnesses with indictment who would have testified favorably for the defense in each case but for such intimidation. Particularly in the Andersen case and the Nigerian Barge case, the Task Force was able to use the intimidation tactics to turn weak cases into convictions by preventing the jury in each case from hearing key testimony from dozens of witnesses who would have been favorable for the defense. The Task Force has continued its witness intimidation tactics in the Lay-Skilling-Causey case, as reflected by the prosecution’s fingering of the record-setting number of 114 alleged co-conspirators in the case.

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Houston Texans, Year Four

houston_texans.gifAs the fourth season of the Houston Texans begins this Sunday in Buffalo against the Bills, Houston professional football fans no longer consider the Texans an NFL expansion franchise. As a result, it’s now put up or shut up time for a franchise that has largely received a free pass from a fan base that, for the first three seasons of the team’s existence, was simply thrilled that the National Football League had returned to Houston.
That inherited goodwill is pretty well used up, as the boo-birds let the Texan team members know during an awful final regular season loss last season to the moribund Cleveland Browns. That debacle blew the opportunity for the Texans to finish the season at an even 8-8. Nevetheless, a 7-9 record for a third year franchise is still respectable, and the Texans do have a number of positive factors working in their favor, not the least of which is a wonderful fellow in owner Bob McNair. So, even with the team’s generally awful 2005 pre-season performances, there remains an air of cautious optimism regarding the Texans’ chances this season.

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