Katrina’s economic ripples on Houston

houston skyline.jpgFollowing on this post from earlier in the week regarding the economic impact to Houston of the arrival of thousands of former New Orleans residents, Tyler Cowen over at Marginal Revolution provides his typically insightful analysis on the issue. Tyler notes that there are economic benefits and costs attributable to the arrival of the former New Orleans residents, and concludes:

Both the costs and benefits of resettlement will be overstated by partisans. The Houston boom won’t last long, and the costs will net out to put the city in a roughly break-even position.

My sense is that Tyler’s view is largely correct because most of New Orleans’ larger businesses that could provide a big employment boost for Houston (i.e., the port, refineries, etc.) will remain in New Orleans due to the huge capital investments there. The one difference with the exodus from New Orleans from other analogous circumstances is the decimation in New Orleans of small businesses, which were the largest employer in the area. The jobs with the big employers will return to New Orleans relatively quickly, but the replenishment of the supply of jobs attributable to small businesses — particularly small service companies — will take much longer because a huge number of those businesses were wiped out by the storm and do not have the capital or demand necessary to re-start their business in the New Orleans area any time soon. Whether any significant number of those jobs are ultimately re-created in the Houston economy remains to be seen.
On a related economic note, the Chronicle’s business columnist, Loren Steffy, has a good column in which he notes the prejudicial impact that the Bankruptcy Amendments of 2005 will have on many people who have been rendered insolvent as a result of Hurricane Katrina, not the least of which is the fact that such amendments increase the cost considerably of filing an individual bankruptcy case.

Judge Lake’s letter-writing campaign

sim lake.jpgIn a hearing yesterday afternoon in Houston federal court, U.S. District Judge Sim Lake continued to grapple with strong evidence that the Enron Task Force has engaged in a systematic campaign of intimidating witnesses in the upcoming trial of former Enron chairman Ken Lay, former CEO Jeff Skilling, and chief accountant Richard Causey from conferring with or testifying with the defendants and their counsel. As noted in earlier posts here, here and here, in each of the three criminal trials that the Enron Task Force has prosecuted to date — the Andersen case, the Nigerian Barge case, and the Enron Broadband case — the Task Force threatened numerous material witnesses with indictment who would have testified favorably for the defense in each case but for such intimidation. Particularly in the Andersen case and the Nigerian Barge case, the Task Force was able to use the intimidation tactics to turn weak cases into convictions by preventing the jury in each case from hearing key testimony from dozens of witnesses who would have been favorable for the defense. The Task Force has continued its witness intimidation tactics in the Lay-Skilling-Causey case, as reflected by the prosecution’s fingering of the record-setting number of 114 alleged co-conspirators in the case.

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Houston Texans, Year Four

houston_texans.gifAs the fourth season of the Houston Texans begins this Sunday in Buffalo against the Bills, Houston professional football fans no longer consider the Texans an NFL expansion franchise. As a result, it’s now put up or shut up time for a franchise that has largely received a free pass from a fan base that, for the first three seasons of the team’s existence, was simply thrilled that the National Football League had returned to Houston.
That inherited goodwill is pretty well used up, as the boo-birds let the Texan team members know during an awful final regular season loss last season to the moribund Cleveland Browns. That debacle blew the opportunity for the Texans to finish the season at an even 8-8. Nevetheless, a 7-9 record for a third year franchise is still respectable, and the Texans do have a number of positive factors working in their favor, not the least of which is a wonderful fellow in owner Bob McNair. So, even with the team’s generally awful 2005 pre-season performances, there remains an air of cautious optimism regarding the Texans’ chances this season.

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