Not touting the Google IPO

Commenting on the flap over the Google owners’ Playboy interview that may delay the Google IPO that has already been postponed once, Professor Ribstein makes this common sense observation:

Can the Google boys be trusted with investors’ money if they think it’s more important to talk to Playboy than to protect their multi-billion-dollar public offering from regulators?

HP bloodletting nails former Compaq exec

Continued lackluster corporate spending on technology is seperating the strong from the weak quickly in the high-tech industry.
That was certainly apparent yesterday as Dell Inc. and International Business Machines Corp. detailed continued growth and new hiring, while Hewlett-Packard Co. stumbled badly and fired three top executives.
The gloomy outlook has dashed hope among tech executives and investors that the sector will soon return to the supercharged growth of the late 1990s. Pummeled again yesterday, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index is down 12.5% for the year, and 19% from its peak in late January.
Curiously, demand for high-tech goods remains good. World-wide shipments of personal computers rose 15.5% in the second quarter, and Commerce Department reports indicate that U.S. companies’ spending on hardware and software increased 15% in the second quarter from a year ago.
H-P’s troubles were rooted in its unit that makes computer servers and storage devices for corporate customers, which suffered from a botched software installation and aggressive discounting. The unit posted an operating loss of $208 million on revenue of $3.4 billion, contributing to a surprising earnings shortfall.
Chief Executive Carly Fiorina called the blunders “unacceptable” and promised that the unit would return to profitability in the current quarter. In a terse memo issued a few hours after the disappointing results, Ms. Fiorina announced the departures of three executives, including Peter Blackmore, head of the H-P’s business sales division, who used to work for Houston-based Compaq before its merger with H-P.
Of course, now almost two and a half years after the questionable H-P – Compaq merger that Ms. Fiorina heavily promoted, could it also be said that that “blunder” is “unacceptable” and that Ms. Fiorina should be shown the door? Stay tuned on that one.
H-P is increasingly caught in a squeeze between Dell’s low prices for basic corporate computers and IBM’s increasingly innovative high-performance computers. Both rivals have been gaining market share against H-P since its acquisition of Compaq in 2002. As a result, H-P has been shifting toward lower-profit businesses. H-P’s personal-computer unit, which has relatively low gross margins is growing faster than its servers and storage business, which typically has much higher gross margins.
My sense is that this is not going to end well for Ms. Fiorina.

U.S. Air on the brink

The Airline Pilots’ Association‘s investment bankers at US Airways Group Inc. warned yesterday that the carrier could fail in the near future and is highly likely to file for chapter 11 bankruptcy protection by mid-September without substantial cost cuts.
Such a bankruptcy filing would be known as a “chapter 22” because US Air is already operating under a structure adopted under a reorganization plan approved in a previous chapter 11 case in 2002-03.
Arlington, Va.-based US Airways said it concurs with the report’s conclusion that it is in the best interest of the company and its labor unions to reach consensual agreements quickly that will reduce expenses and help it implement its turnaround plan.
Although US Air is not far from its previous chapter 11 reorganization, the company has not been profitable because the domestic flight market is now controlled by discount airlines that have low costs and low fares. Add to that the recent spike in fuel prices and, before you know it, US Air posted a net loss of $143 million during the first part of its fiscal year.
Frankly, I do not understand how US Air can avoid going into the tank even with union concessions. It has a $130 million pension-plan contribution due on Sept. 15 that will consume liquidity if it is made. Its regional-jet financing arrangements with two manufacturers and General Electric Co. mature on Sept. 30 in the absence of a turnaround, and it is on the verge of defaulting on Sept. 30 on the terms of a federally guaranteed loan that provided the company with a portion of its exit financing out of Chapter 11 in 2003.
As Professor Ribstein has insightfully noted on several occasions, the market needs to be allowed to put at least one of these financially-strapped airlines out of its misery.