You just knew this was coming

amaranth.jpgThe business news was awash with articles over the past couple of days about how Amaranth Advisors, LLP lost $5 billion or so by making wrong bets that natural gas prices would rise. Inasmuch as Monday morning quarterbacking is much easier than actually making money in placing such bets, it’s fairly clear what happened. As gas prices fell precipitously because of a storage glut, Amaranth increased bets that would pay off exponentially only if natural-gas prices rebounded in anticipation of a cold winter or as a result of a hurricane hammering natural-gas facilities. That hasn’t happened and so prices have continued to erode.
Meanwhile, Amaranth’s risk management systems apparently did not accurately measure how much downside risk the company faced and did not provide an effective mechanism for hedging that risk. Amaranth’s bets went bad because the company misjudged the spread, which is the movement of the difference between prices for different month contracts. The institutions and wealthy investors that invested with Amaranth knew about that risk, but they took it because of the potential for big gains if Amaranth bet right. Nothing too unusual about that.

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A story that Bill O’Reilly would love

oreillyconfused6.jpgOil prices kept falling yesterday as the October crude contract on the New York Mercantile Exchange dropped $2.14 to settle at $61.66 a barrel, which is the lowest price for a front-month crude contract in six months. A couple of weeks ago, Pejman Yousefzadeh wrote this TCS Daily op-ed in which he observed that, despite such declining prices, the Bill O’Reilly-type claims of manipulation of oil markets continue to persist.
As if on cue, this NewsBusters post reports on a recent installment of the CNN show, “The Situation Room,” in which CNN reporter Bill Schneider speculated ominously that the current decrease in energy prices has been timed to help Republicans in the midterm elections:

“The drop in prices may last a couple of months, long enough to get through the November election. Could that be what the oil companies want?”

Schneider’s observation was then “buttressed” with the insight of one Tyson Slocum, a “consumer advocate:”

“Eighty-one percent of their money goes to members of the Republican Party. I cannot say for sure whether or not they are influencing prices to assure that outcome, but it is, I think, more than just a coincidence that we’re seeing an easing of prices at a time of running up to a very, very important election.”

That’s a helluva consumer advocate who argues that lower prices for consumers is a dark conspiracy of the Republican Party and big energy companies. Does that mean that the far lower energy prices that existed in the run-up to the 2000 election were the result of an equally dark conspiracy of the Democratic Party and big energy companies?

KPMG continues to play rough with its former partners

kpmg logo53.jpgIn this earlier post, I noted that KPMG’s resistance to paying its former employees’ defense costs in the KPMG tax shelter criminal case could end up being an element in prompting US District Judge Lewis Kaplan to dismiss the charges because of the government’s prosecutorial misconduct in coercing the firm into that position.
Now, it looks as if KPMG has gone one step further. According to this Lynnlee Browning/NY Times article, KPMG is now suing several of its former employees who are also defendants in the criminal case for damages resulting from their alleged embezzlement from the firm and breach of fiduciary duty to the firm in regard to their involvement with the tax shelters.
That lawsuit — along with the firm’s continued refusal to pay their employees’ defense costs in the criminal case — must be giving current KPMG partners a warm and fuzzy feeling, don’t you think? Also, a note to KPMG — such civil suits have a little process called “discovery,” which often leads to the publication of embarrassing information. As if the firm needs any more bad publicity from this seemingly endless debacle.
Meanwhile, this Wall Street Journal editorial ($) reports that two previously undisclosed IRS memos to KPMG from 2003 and 2004 confirm that the Service didn’t think there was anything wrong with the shelters. The defendants in the criminal case are understandably demanding all government documents relating to such memos, and the prosecution — as is typical in this era of criminalizing business — is resisting those demands. In short, the legality of the KPMG tax shelters was a subject of debate within the IRS, but the Justice Department brought the criminal case anyway before the IRS had even won a court ruling declaring the shelters to be illegal.
So much for due process, eh?

Awaiting the Jamie Olis Sentence

As we await U.S. District Judge Sim Lake’s decision on the re-sentencing of Jamie Olis later this week, this Economist article does an excellent job of summarizing the issues that are at play in determining the all-important market loss issue with regard to Olis re-sentencing.

I particularly enjoyed the last sentence of the article:

“If Judge Lake has been spending the summer getting up to date on economics, perhaps Mr Olis will be out of prison much sooner than he must once have feared.”

Why aren’t the U.S. teams winning the Ryder Cup?

Rydercup06logo5.jpgDamon Hack of the NY Times reports on the boys’ road trip of the U.S. Ryder Cup team a couple of weeks ago “to bond” before this week’s matches (and to try and figure out why the U.S. has gotten creamed four out of the last five matches). However, as Hack (what a great name for a golf writer!) notes in the article, Houston’s Jack Burke, a former Ryder Cup member and one of Hal Sutton’s assistant captains on the U.S. Ryder Cup that got scorched two years ago, suggested in his recent book Itís Only a Game that the reason the U.S squad is getting beaten so regularly is really quite simple — the U.S. team members have made so much money through the years that they have become soft.
In this GolfforWoman.com article, Clear Thinkers favorite Dan Jenkins expands on Burke’s thought in explaining why so many PGA Tour sponsors want Michelle Wie to play in their tournament:

As a sponsor, the tour says, it’s okay if I sell tickets, but my main job is to help 200 guys I’ve never heard of make a lot of money. They need to make all this money so they can live in one of those tract mansions, probably on the water hole of a golf course in a gated community where it’ll be safe to let their urchins run loose and annoy people.
Near as I can tell, they deserve to be rich because they know how to hit a golf ball. Doesn’t matter that they’ve never read a book that didn’t have a cure for the slice in it, and they resist thinking about anything beyond the next Marriott.

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Former EES CEO gets 2.5 years in prison

enron sinking logo36.gifDavid Delainey, former CEO of Enron Energy Services, was sentenced on Monday to 2 and a half year in the pokey in connection with his plea deal in which he pled guilty to insider trading charges and sang like a canary for the prosecution during the criminal trial of former key Enron executives Ken Lay and Jeff Skilling.
Delainey went over-the-top in his testimony against Lay and Skilling, so the Enron Task Force didn’t oppose a lenient sentence for him. Moreover, Delainey’s counsel requested a probated sentence from US District Judge Kenneth Hoyt, who is generally considered a relatively light sentencing judge. As a result, it was expected in the local legal community that Delainey would probably receive a similar sentence to that of Timothy DeSpain.
However, Delainey’s desire to placate prosecutors appears to have backfired as Judge Hoyt commented during the sentencing hearing that his criminal conduct was “a lot deeper and a lot wider, . . . than is expressed in this charge.” Thus, the length of the sentence — and particularly the fact that Delainey was hauled off to jail straight from the courtroom — is mildly surprising. It is also tragic in that Delainey’s testimony during the Lay-Skilling trial was not particularly credible. My sense is that he agreed to the plea bargain solely to hedge the risk of a longer prison sentence on the charges.
By the way, this Kristen Hays/Chronicle article outlines the sentencing schedule for former Enron executives in the upcoming months.

The untenable corporate crime liability standard

corporate crime.jpgJohn Hasnas is a professor of ethics and law at Georgetown University’s McDonough School of Business and is the author of the book, Trapped: When Acting Ethically is Against the Law (Cato 2006), which is an adaptation of Professor Hasnas’ article Ethics and the Problem of White Collar Crime. This previous post discussed one of Professor Hasnas’ articles on the perverse effect that implementation of the Department of Justice’s Thompson Memo has had on companies serving up their employees as sacrificial lambs to avoid an Arthur Andersen-like meltdown.
Following on that article, Professor Hasnas authored this WSJ ($) op-ed over the weekend on the real problem that underlies such policies as those implemented under the Thompson Memo:

DOJ policy is merely a symptom of the underlying disease: the untenable standard of corporate criminal liability embodied in federal law. Attempting to reform DOJ policy without changing the law is a bit like treating a lung-cancer patient’s cough. It won’t hurt, but it won’t help that much either.
When should corporations be subject to criminal punishment? Perhaps never. These entities cannot be imprisoned, only fined; and the fines are paid by the corporations’ shareholders. The defining characteristic of the modern publicly traded corporation is the separation of ownership and control: Shareholders do not control the actions of corporate employees. Thus, imposing criminal punishment on a corporation, rather than on the employees who committed the offense, punishes shareholders who are innocent of wrongdoing.

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This is “exceptional service?”

Enron Task Force3.jpgApparently, “service” such as that described here, here and here will get you an exceptional service award from the U.S. Department of Justice.
Trampling justice and the rule of law while destroying careers, jobs and wealth is “exceptional” governmental service?
God help us all.

2006 Weekly local football review

UT sacks Rice.jpgColts 43 Texans 24

It was not as “close” as the score indicates. Behind 17-0 before they appeared to look up, the Texans (0-2) could not force the Colts (2-0) to punt until it was 30-10 midway through the fourth quarter. The only way that the local team ended up with 24 points was by scoring three largely meaningless TD’s in garbage time when the Colt defenders were merely attempting to avoid injury. After two games, the replacement of the Casserly-Capers regime with the Kubiak crew looks like the quintessential rearranging of the deck chairs on the Titanic, particularly on defense. The Texans have winnable games the next two Sundays at home against the Redskins and the Dolphins, so they better get a win or two in those games or this season could quickly deteriorate into a repeat of the 2005 nightmare. With each passing week, this Texans team is looking more like the inept early 1970’s Oilers teams. Where are Sid Gillman and Bum Phillips when you really need them?

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A Houstonian is the top CEO-golfer

9th Hole2.JPGHouston has a rich tradition in both golf and business, so it’s no surprise that a Houston resident has been named the best CEO-golfer by Golf Digest magazine. In its October print edition (no web link available), Golf Digest rates the top 200 CEO-golfers of all the Fortune 1000 companies and Jim Crane, CEO of Houston-based air freight and logistics company, EGL (“Eagle Global Logistics”), comes away with the no. 1 rating. As the article notes:

Crane, who grew up caddieing at Norwood Hills Country Club in St. Louis, gratefully recalls getting to play for free on caddie day. Price isn’t an issue for him now. With homes in Houston, Nantucket and Pebble Beach, and with 400 offices in locations from Shanghai to Istanbul to Santiago, he admits to having two identical sets of clubs — one that he keeps in Houston, where he plays near his office at Lochinvar Golf Club, and the other — “Oh, this will sound bad,” he says, “but it’s a personal one, not the company’s” — on his plane. “It makes it easy to get from Point A to Point B,” he says.
When working at his London office, Crane stays at Queenswood . . . because it’s convenient, and he can sometimes hit balls after work. Even though Crane enjoys tournaments and plays in many fund-raisers, more of his golf is business than social. “If you can’t close in four hours, you can’t sell,” he says of opportunites offered by the game.