The DOJ Does Not Understand Market Loss

Even the Justice Department does not have a license to take contradictory positions in important cases, even if one of those cases is Enron-related.

Leading up to the the sentencing hearing tomorrow in U.S. District Judge Ewing Werlein‘s court in regard to two defendants in the Enron-related Nigerian Barge case, developments in another case this past week shine a clearer light on the dubious nature of the government’s position that Judge Werlein should toss the barge defendants in prison and throw away the key.

The Enron Task Force is taking the position that former Merrill Lynch executive Daniel Bayly should receive a more severe sentence based on a bogus theory of “shareholder loss” that has been long rejected in civil securities fraud cases.

By way of background, Mr. Bayly was a well-regarded and longtime Merrill Lynch executive who was involved in a transaction in late 1999 in which Merrill bought from Enron an interest in three Nigerian energy-generation barges as a favor for Enron.

An Enron partnership bought the barges six months later and then sold them to a third company for a profit.

The Enron prosecutors argued that the deal allowed Enron to book illegal profits at the end of 1999 because Enron had orally agreed to buy the barges back from Merrill, and a jury convicted Mr. Bayly and four others of conspiracy and fraud (Enron’s in-house accountant – Sheila Kahanek – was acquitted).

The prosecutors are now arguing that Judge Werlein should increase Mr. Bayly’s sentence by up to 15 years because the alleged fraud caused a near $44 billion shareholder loss.

The prosecution has no legal basis for this alleged loss figure. Under civil securities fraud law, investors sue for a decline in the value of a security only if they can show that the decline was actually caused by the fraud.

Thus, if a company puts out news of a transaction that causes a share price to rise, and then discloses that the transaction is a sham that, in turn, causes the share price to decline, investors can recover any loss that resulted directly from the disclosure of the misrepresentation.

Which is precisely the rub in the Enron Nigerian Barge case — no such loss resulted from the alleged sham deal.

Enron sold the barges to Merrill and Merrill sold them to an Enron-related partnership well before Enron collapsed at the end of 2001. Accordingly, any reduction in the price of Enron stock happened well in advance of disclosure of details of the barge transaction, which disclosure did not occur until well after Enron had filed bankruptcy and Enron’s share value had already dropped to zero.

Consequently, the government simply cannot show that Enron shareholders lost a dime from the disclosure of this particular transaction.

To get around this rather substantial legal problem, the Enron Task Force prosecutors are taking the position that, because some shareholders bought Enron stock at an inflated price due to losses that were covered up by the barge transaction, those purchases equate to a loss. The prosecutors even got an “expert” to opine during the market loss hearing after the completion of the Nigerian Barge trial that the relatively small barge deal pumped up Enron’s price and, presto, the government has its $44 billion market loss figure.

Interestingly, even the Justice Department does not support the Enron prosecutors’ dubious views regarding market loss. Earlier this week, the Supreme Court unanimously ruled in Dura Pharmaceuticals v. Broudo that plaintiffs who claim securities fraud must prove a connection between a misrepresentation and an investment’s subsequent decline in price.

In direct contradiction of the Enron Task Force’s position in the Enron Nigerian Barge case, the Justice Department and the Securities and Exchange Commission filed this joint brief in Dura in support of the proof-of-causation position and against the price inflation theory of causation that the Justice Department prosecutors used in asserting “market loss” in the Nigerian Barge trial.

Does simply the fact that a case is related to Enron justify the Justice Department in taking such blatantly contradictory positions?

The Justice Department continues seeking maximum sentences against easy targets, such as relatively wealthy business executives who had the misfortune of doing business with the pariah Enron. Apparently, it’s going to take wise judges to step in and check the government’s zeal. Judge Werlein is capable of doing so, and I hope he does so tomorrow.

The grand mismanagement of Citgo

citgo.jpgThis New York Times article — entitled The Troubled Oil Company — reviews the Venezuelan dictator Hugo Chavez’s mismanagement of Houston-based oil company Citgo, which is owned by Petroleos de Venezuela, the Venezuelan national oil company. Over the past two years, virtually every high-ranking Citgo executive has resigned, including the refining chief, the chief financial officer, the head auditor, and the marketing director. Here is a previous post on Mr. Chavez’s mismanagement of Citgo.
Although the Times article about Citgo and Mr. Chavez is interesting, it’s always funny how the Times analyzes a government’s mismanagement of a big oil business. As late as 1999, Venezuela was the U.S.’s largest foreign supplier of oil, but then Mr. Chavez took over, began establishing close friendships with anti-business types such as Fidel Castro, and generally started mismanaging the Venezuelan economy. By 2003, Mr. Chavez had cut its exports to the U.S. by 22% and was threatening to cut off oil exports to the U.S. entirely if the U.S. government doesn’t stop meddling in Venezuelan affairs.
Now, if the foregoing were occurring in Saudi Arabia, then the Times would be handling it as a major foreign policy story of impending doom. However, when a crackpot socialist and Castro admirer mismanages oil exports, the Times treats it as a typical business story.
Which is exactly the way the story should be handled. Mr. Chavez’s management of the Venezuelan economy has been horrific, albeit aided by high oil prices. But U.S. oil imports as a percentage of GDP are relatively small, about $132 billion in 2004 compared with a about a $11 trillion GDP. That’s about 1%, folks. Thus, if Mr. Chavez chooses to sell us less oil, hopefully the U.S. government shrugs, we replace Venezuelan oil with oil from the numerous other markets, market prices adjust, and we get on with getting to work.
Besides, if the U.S. government is going to take a hard line with an oil exporter, don’t you think that the government should take that stance with the country from which we import the most oil? Oh, and what country is that?
Answer: Canada.
Hat tip to Bryan Caplan for info on the Venezuelan oil imports.

KPMG settles with SEC in Xerox audit case

Kpmg.gifKPMG LLP agreed to pay a record (for an auditing firm, anyway) $22.5 million to settle SEC charges in connection with the firm’s audits of Xerox Corp. from 1997 through 2000. KPMG has had its share of legal problems over the past couple of years.
As is typical in such deals, KPMG consented to entry of the order in U.S. district court in New York without admitting or denying the charges. During the four year period involved in the Xerox case, the SEC alleged that Xerox overstated its revenue by $3 billion and its earnings by $1.5 billion in an effort to bolster its stock price. Xerox previously paid a $10 million penalty in 2002, which at the time was a record fine. In addition, six former senior Xerox executives have paid penalties and disgorged profits totaling $22 million, and a civil-fraud lawsuit against five current and former KPMG partners involved in the Xerox audits is continuing.
As part of the settlement, KPMG agreed to take certain remedial actions, including a review process for any change in assignment of an audit partner, establishing whistle-blower channels within KPMG, and the retention of an outside consultant to review its policies and certify to the SEC that the changes are in effect two years from now.

U.S. Airways to marry America West?

usair.jpgThe airline business is all atwitter today with the news that US Airways, which has been wallowing in a chapter 22 (i.e., it’s second chapter 11 case) since September of last year, is considering a merger with America West to form the sixth largest airline and the largest discount airline in the United States. Here are some previous posts over the past year or so on U.S. Air’s various travails.
american_west_logo.jpgH’mm, let’s set the buzz aside and take a look at this deal. Last year, US Airways posted a net loss of over $600 million on revenue of just north of $7 billion. In addition to two chapter 11 cases within two years, it’s got all kinds of union problems, operational and customer problems, and competition problems.
Meanwhile, America West narrowly escaped a chapter 11 case in late 2001 by arranging a bailout loan of over $400 million backed by almost an equivalent amount of federal guarantees. That financing allowed the airline to tap more than $600 million in other financing and concessions from manufacturers, vendors, leasing firms and others. Nevertheless, America West posted a net loss last year of almost $90 million on revenue of about $2.35 billion, and ended 2004 with a bit over $400 million in cash.
I don’t think this proposed merger has Southwest Airlines quaking in its boots.