Super problems

This previous post expressed skepticism that the city of Jacksonville would be able to handle the logistical nightmare of Super Bowl XXXIX. In this article, ESPN’s Bill Simmons — who believes that the Super Bowl should be played only in Las Vegas (in a to be-built stadium), Miami, New Orleans, and San Diego — says that the disaster developing in Jacksonville is making Houston’s performance hosting Super Bowl XXXVIII last year look good in comparison:

If anything, the past two days made me appreciate Houston’s performance last year, a city that faced the same logistical problems and conquered many of them. I don’t think Houston should have hosted a Super Bowl either, and those last two days were a certifiable train wreck. But at least they had enough hotels. At least there were a decent number of cabs. At least there was a recognizable downtown area. At least they had the Light Rail, with the bonus that you might get to see some drunken pedestrian bouncing off it. Houston was 10 times more prepared than Jacksonville is right now.

Thanks for the compliment, Bill. I think. ;^)

You go, Yogi!

Looks like TBS better set up a loss reserve for this new lawsuit:

Hall of Famer Yogi Berra has filed a $10 million lawsuit against TBS, claiming the cable television network sullied his name by using it in a racy advertisement for its Sex and the City reruns.
Berra’s papers . . . say the Turner Broadcasting System Inc. ad, which has appeared on buses and in subways, caused “severe damage to his reputation” with its reference to Kim Cattrall’s sexually promiscuous character, Samantha.
The offending ad . . . queried readers about the definition of “yogasm.” Possible definitions: (a) a type of yo-yo trick, (b) sex with Yogi Berra and (c) what Samantha has with a guy from yoga class. The answer is (c).

Last gasps of a Stalinist regime

This Times Online article opines that there are clear signs of increasing instability within the government of North Korea. Earlier posts on the sad saga of North Korea may be reviewed here, here, and here.

Updating the Yukos case — Will Yukos sue China?

As Russian oil giant OAO Yukos continues its attempt to maintain jurisdiction of its pending chapter 11 bankruptcy case in Houston, this report today confirms what had been suspected earlieri.e., that energy-driven China loaned Russia $6 billion secured by future oil shipments to help finance the effective nationalization of Yuganskneftegaz (“Yugansk”), which was Yukos’ main production unit and produces about 1% of the world’s crude oil output.
Russian state oil company OAO Rosneft had taken over management of Yugansk in December after a Russian shell company had purchased the unit at a Russian government auction. There had been discussions of a sale of a 15% stake in Yugansk with state oil companies from China, but apparently those talks are now on hold.
The loan is effectively a forward payment for a total of about 352 million barrels of oil that Rosneft has already agreed to ship to China through 2010. The contract replaces an earlier deal between China and Yukos. China is being quite aggressive in oil markets these days as it attempts to satisfy the country’s growing demand for oil, which is currently estimated to be over 6 million barrels a day.
The Russian state takeover of Yugansk has raised concerns in Western markets over the Russian government’s commitment to the rule of law, which is a key component of a market economy. Although Western oil and gas interests remain interested in investing in Russia’s vast oil and gas reserves, Yukos’ chapter 11 case and the the threat of legal action has chilled Western companies from getting involved in the bidding for Yugansk. The Russian government has jailed several current and former Yukos executives — the most prominent being former Yukos CEO and main shareholder, Mikhail Khodorkovsky — in a campaign that Yukos claims is merely a government campaign to nationalize Russia’s oil and gas industry.

Have we got a deal for you

The Wall Street Journal’s ($) Holman Jenkins, Jr. notes in his Business World column today on the big mergers announced over the past week (P&G-Gillette, SBC-AT&T, and MetLife-Travelers) that management is coming up with ever more creative pitches to use a company’s retained earnings for anything other than paying it to shareholders:

Procter & Gamble and Gillette spent as much effort on getting the incentives of key players right as they did on touting “synergies” and the like.
Take Gillette’s biggest shareholder and presumably the biggest beneficiary of P&G’s willingness to buy the company for an 18% premium: Berkshire Hathaway chief Warren Buffett committed a novel act when he made a video to be distributed on P&G’s Web site not merely praising the merger as a “dream deal” but vowing to increase Berkshire Hathaway’s stake in the combined companies.

Mr. Jenkins goes on to note that Gillette CEO James Kilts — who is making a cool $185 million on the merger — provided further enticement for P&G shareholders by promising not to sell any shares of the merged company for two years after the deal closes. And, if Messrs. Buffett and Kilts assurances are not enough, P&G management also promised that it would spend $18 to $22 billion over the next year and a half in buying back P&G shares.
So, what on earth is going on here? Mr. Jenkins thinks he knows:

[H]aving large amounts of cash around is also deemed a temptation to management to engage in undisciplined spending. The message here: If shareholders would kindly approve the deal, management will keep itself on a short leash in the future.
Alas, none of these gestures managed to stop Procter & Gamble’s stock price from falling off the table in the manner typical of companies announcing costly acquisitions.

Mr. Jenkins goes on to note that the market requiring incentives rather than empty promises to approve a deal is a step in the right direction in the business of selling mergers to the investing public. However, as with Hewlett-Packard’s acquisition of Compaq and Comcast’s failed bid for Disney, is the acquisition price for Gillete so high that, as Professor Ribstein might observe, it takes a near-delusional synergy theory — plus Mr. Buffett’s promotion of the deal — for P&G management to justify it?
By the way, Mr. Jenkins takes note of the unusual nature of Mr. Buffett’s involvement in selling the Gillete deal to P&G shareholders, and observes:

Mr. Buffett is famous for keeping his stock-buying intentions under wraps, knowing that his legion of fans might otherwise move the stock against him, so this was a first.

That said, we wonder what Pandora’s Box Mr. Buffett has opened. The role of big shareholders is to ride herd on management, not to peddle the goods to shareholders of acquiring companies as ally and agent of the acquiring company’s management. Having put himself in the position of selling the deal to P&G’s investors, is Mr. Buffett now obliged to warn them in the future if he intends to dump the stock?

Indeed, in addition to P&G shareholders, perhaps Mr. Buffett should also call Eliot Spitzer if he plans on dumping any his stock involved in this deal anytime soon.
Update: In commenting on Mr. Jenkins article, Professor Ribstein’s notes that the deals may be a positive sign that the takeover market is combining with the trend toward more productive distribution policies to produce real corporate governance reform, and then adds:

It’s worth noting that none of this has anything to do with Sarbox.