The New York Times (see here and here) is not the only major metropolitan newspaper that employs a business columnist who doesn’t appreciate the benefits of a robust market in mortgage financing.
Channeling the Times’ Gretchen Morgenson, the Chronicle’s Loren Steffy decries the irresponsibility of those involved in the overheated subprime mortgage market. In so doing, he passes along an anecdote on how he resisted the temptation to take out a subprime mortgage to finance a home in Houston before he had sold his home in Dallas. Steffy suggests that he has financial discipline that both the subprime lending industry and most of the subprime borrowers lack. Maybe so, but what is clearer is that he doesn’t appreciate the benefit to him and other consumers of risk-taking in the subprime mortgage financing market.
Sure, there were a substantial number of people who took out subprime mortgages who didn’t have the financial capacity to pay them. A large number of those folks will default on their mortgages and lose their homes, which is unfortunate. However, the bigger losers will be the holders of the equity tranches of mortgage-backed securities (“MBS’s”) and subprime originators who are now left holding the bag with mortgages that they can’t sell. Don’t feel too sorry for them, though. Given that those investors made a lot of hay during the boom years, they are now simply enduring the risk of relaxing underwriting standards too much in an attempt to sustain the hot market. These are sophisticated investors and financial institutions that are willing and able to take the risks of these investments and to bear the losses associated with such risks.
Going forward, the number of subprime mortgages originated will go down, as will the number of subprime MSB’s sold into the market. Yields on the subprime MBS’s will likely rise and the underwriting standards will get stricter, so the supply of subprime mortgages will constrict to meet the reduced demand. The MBS’s and other financial products that have been developed to hedge risk in the subprime market are valuable tools to facilitate such a correction.
Which brings us back to Steffy. Perhaps he is more financially disciplined than those involved in the subprime mortgage market. Or perhaps he is has the same aversion to risk as Suze Orman. Whatever the reason, he decided not to take the risk of carrying two mortgages, which is fine. But another homeowner in the same position as he was might decide that taking on the subprime mortgage was worth the risk, which is fine, too.
The point is that the financing market for subprime mortgages gave Steffy a choice to engage in what could have been wealth-creating risk-taking. Nothing is wrong with electing not to take that risk. But it is wrong not to acknowledge that it is a good thing to have the opportunity to make that choice, which is what the subprime mortgage financing market provided.
Daily Archives: March 19, 2007
The Hamptons of Houston?
Galveston has been compared with many things, but rarely with the Hamptons. But that’s precisely the comparison that this NY Times Sunday article makes as it reports on the throngs of Houstonians who have fueled the beach home building boom on the island over the past decade:
Only 51 miles southeast of Houston, Galveston still has plenty of vacant land, low home prices and miles of wide-open beaches. Over the last four years, the average price of a home has risen 89 percent, to $232,800 in January, according to the Galveston Association of Realtors. Prices for water-view lots are now more than double what the Wisemans paid. A single water-view lot at Beachtown costs $300,000, though other lots without views could be as low as $80,000.
ìThe world has discovered the Gulf Coast,î said James Gaines, research economist at the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University. ìYou want a second home on the East Coast at an affordable price, and youíre not going to find anything. Here, itís still available and affordable.î [. . .]
ìGalveston is experiencing a renaissance it hasnít seen in 100 years,î said Jeffrey G. Sjostrom, president of the Galveston Economic Development Partnership. ìThe beauty of the development is that itís comprehensive and diversified. Our eggs are being spread across many baskets.î
The development seems to fly in the face of Galvestonís geography. As a barrier island, the city can flood during tropical storms. Sometimes, its beaches erode. In September 2005, the city was evacuated when Hurricane Rita threatened the island. But home buyers keep coming because a large-scale hurricane has not damaged the island in more than 20 years.
Developers are putting up condominium towers, resorts and acres of homes from one end of the 32-mile-long island to the other. More than 6,500 residential units are under construction; most of them are condos, according to the development partnership. At the western end of the island, Centex Homes is building one of the largest projects, a 1,000-acre development with 2,300 houses and condos.
Meanwhile, this Harvey Rice/Chronicle article reports that questions are being raised about the rampant develoment:
The first map detailing geological hazards on Galveston Island shows a potential clash between development and the environment.
Several subdivisions already sit in what may be the most dangerous areas of the island ó low spots where walls of water bulldozed their way through in previous storms.
More construction is planned in those areas and others despite the threat of storm surges and beach erosion as well as the impact on economically important wetlands, according to findings recently presented to the City Council.
By the way, if you’re interested in making an investment in Galveston, I suggest you wait awhile. The island is long overdue for a hurricane and many folks have forgotten the damage that the minimal category 3 Hurricane Alicia caused on the island in 1983. Beach home property values plummeted in Galveston after that storm. They are a good bet to fall after the next one, too.
Just a quick note between friends

27 year-old PGA Tour golfer Sergio Garcia is the subject of this Golf World photoshoot and interview, in which he passes along that one of his best friends on the PGA Tour is the 26 year-old Englishman, Luke Donald.
Last year, when Donald passed Garcia in the World Golf Rankings for the first time, Garcia describes the text message that he received from Donald:
“Hi, No. 9. This is No. 8.”