The Shell Houston Open begins playing an earlier time slot this year and, thus, is only three weeks away. In reviewing the tournament website for prospective participants, only one top 10 player in the World Rankings has committed to play in the tournament (Adam Scott, no. 4) and only one other top 20 player has committed to play (David Toms, no. 19). In fact, the tournament only has five — count’em five — top 30 players committed to playing Houston.
Has the Shell Houston Open fallen into the Tiger Chasm (see also here)? Or is this lack of interest in the tournament from top pros just another consequence of some really bad decisions?
Monthly Archives: March 2007
Thinking About the Criminalization of Business
Given that the governmental onslaught against business interests over the past several years is still a relatively recent occurrence, my sense is that we’re still too close to it to be able to place it in the proper perspective.
However, with each passing week, new research on this dubious use of governmental power is bringing that perspective into focus.
With exquisite timing, John Hasnas, who has written extensively on the untenable corporate criminal liability standard, has organized an interesting conference for March 15th in Washington at the Georgetown University Law Center entitled Corporate Criminality: Legal, Ethical, and Managerial Implications.
Professors Ellen Podgor of the White Collar Crime Prof Blog and former Houstonian Christine Hurt of the Conglomerate blog will be among the participants, as will University of Houston Law Center Professor Geraldine Szott Moohr, who has written and spoken extensively on the injustice of the Martha Stewart prosecution. This is shaping up to be one of the most important criminal and business law conferences of the year, so if you are in or near the DC area on the 15th, don’t miss it.
Professor Hasnas’ inclusion of Professors Podgor and Hurt in the conference is prescient because both have recently authored important papers on two particularly troubling areas of the criminalization of business problem.
Professor Podgor’s timely Yale Pocket Part article entitled “Throwing Away the Key” examines the brutal nature of the prison sentences that have been handed down over the past several years to businesspersons.
What makes those sentences all the more appalling is that prosecutors often played on societal bias against wealthy businesspeople to obtain them even though the factual circumstances of many of the cases oozed with reasonable doubt of guilt.
Professor Podgor goes on to note that huge sentence disparities have given prosecutors enormous power to control the process, allowing prosecutors throughout the Enron criminal cases to display Jamie Olis’ 24+ year prison sentence as a symbolic head on a stake in a daunting example of the price of non-cooperation.
The severe consequences that Olis suffered for having the temerity to defend himself at trial was a key element throughout the Enron criminal trials as defendants were convicted largely on the basis of testimony from cooperating witnesses and the Enron Task Force threatened Olis-like treatment to pressure dozens of witnesses with exculpatory testimony for the defendants not to testify.
Professor Podgor squarely questions whether the sentencing disparities combined with plea bargaining places too much power in the prosecution’s hands, an issue that Yale Law Professor John Langbien addressed in the following passage years ago:
Plea bargaining concentrates effective control of criminal procedure in the hands of a single officer. Our formal law of trial envisages a division of responsibility. We expect the prosecutor to make the charging decision, the judge and especially the jury to adjudicate, and the judge to set the sentence. Plea bargaining merges these accusatory, determinative, and sanctional phases of procedure in the hands of the prosecutor.
Students of the history of the law of torture are reminded that the great psychological fallacy of the European inquisitorial procedure of that time was that it concentrated in the investigating magistrate the powers of accusation, investigation, torture and condemnation. The single inquisitor who wielded those powers needed to have what one recent historian has called ‘superhuman capabilities [in order to] . . . keep himself in his decisional function free from the predisposing influences of his own instigating and investigating activity.'”
I cannot emphasize too strongly how dangerous this concentration of prosecutorial power can be. The modern prosecutor commands the vast resources of the state for gathering and generating accusing evidence. We allowed him this power in large part because the criminal trial interpose the safeguard of adjudication against the danger that he might bring those resources to bear against an innocent citizen — whether on account of honest error, arbitrariness, or worse.
Meanwhile, Professor Hurt announced last week the SSRN publication of her important new paper on the criminalization of business — The Undercivilization of Criminal Law. In her paper, Professor Hurt examines the increased use of the criminal justice system to regulate business, particularly the corresponding increase in the inevitable cases in which a defendant is convicted of a crime over which reasonable doubt of guilt exists.
At the same time, Professor Hurt points out that legislators and judges have made the use of civil lawsuits to regulate business more difficult despite the fact that the negative effects of an erroneous civil judgment of liability on a defendant pales in comparison to the impact of a wrongful conviction of guilt in a criminal case.
In making this point, Professor Hurt channels an observation that her colleague Larry Ribstein has long maintained — that is, the civil justice system is a far superior mechanism for allocating responsibility than the criminal justice system, where criminalizing merely questionable business conduct guts the protection of the reasonable doubt standard.
A short blog post cannot do justice to either Professor Podgor’s article or Professor Hurt’s paper, so I highly recommend that you read both. There is no doubt that these scholars have seized on issues that are fundamentally important to the future of American business.
The huge human toll that cases such as the Olis case, the Nigerian Barge case and the Lay-Skilling case have on their participants and their families is bad enough alone to justify a change in the odious regulation of business-through-criminalization policy.
Similarly, the massive affront to justice represented by the prosecutors’ abusive tactics in obtaining tainted convictions of businesspersons also calls this policy into serious question, as others are noticing.
But apart from the human toll and the abuse of prosecutorial power, the increased regulation of business through criminalization is simply bad public policy that costs us jobs in communities and wealth in investments.
Apart from the direct loss of jobs and wealth that resulted from the Arthur Andersen debacle and the meltdown in the energy trading industry that occurred as a result of Enron’s demise, a devastating impact of these business prosecutions is that they obscure the true nature of risk and fuel the myth that investment loss results primarily from criminal misconduct.
As Professor Ribstein has often pointed out, do we really want to be sending a message to American investors that risk is bad despite the fact that it often leads to valuable innovation?
How does throwing creative and productive business executives such as Michael Milken and Jeff Skilling in prison do anything for educating investors about the true nature of risk and the importance of diversification?
By way of example, self-settled derivative prepay transactions are not particularly intuitive (no product actually changes hands) and are not well understood by even many smart businesspeople outside the trading business.
Nevertheless, such transactions provide the valuable benefit of hedging risk for companies, who pass along that benefit to consumers in the form of more competitive prices for their products and services.
Do we really need to allow prosecutors to paint such beneficial transactions as frauds and manipulate ignorance about them as a means to regulate questionable business conduct?
A truly civil society would find a better way.
Lidge risk
One of the favorite pastimes of folks who follow the Stros is to psychoanalyze reliever Brad Lidge. Some folks are now suggesting that a physical might be in order.
Everyone who follows the Stros knows the Lidge story. In 2004, Lidge burst on the scene in essentially his second season of Major Leage Baseball and was arguably the best relief pitchers in MLB. By the end of the 2006 season, Lidge (5.28 ERA/-6 RSAA) was one of the worst pitchers on the Stros pitching staff. It’s not really difficult to understand why — he simply lost his ability to throw his devastating slider for strikes consistently. As a result, hitters laid off Lidge’s slider and laid into his fastball, which Lidge does not locate well. Ever since his breakout 2004 performance (26 RSAA), Lidge has been trending steadily downward (only an 8 RSAA over the past two seasons). The more consistent Dan Wheeler now has a better RSAA than Lidge over the past three seasons and should be the closer going into this season.
At any rate, some folks believe that Lidge will come back and regain his form from the 2004 season. Richard Justice embraces that position.
On the other hand, the Baseball Prospectus folks are not as sanguine about the prospects of Lidge returning to his 2004 form:
The joke goes that the ball Albert Pujols hit off Brad Lidge in the 2005 NLCS still hasn’t landed. If so, it appears to have taken Lidge’s confidence along for the ride. Sabermetric orthodoxy would suggest that anyone can close, but Lidge never seemed to recover from that shot to the ego, flailing in the closer role last year. For those looking for a physical explnation for his poor showing, Lidge has a long history of arm and specifically elbow issues (as a starter in the low minors, he appeared in just 19 games from 1999 to 2001) owing to his violent mechanics. His struggles with his control last year just might be a portent of another date with the surgeon’s table.
Which leads us to today’s analysis of Lidge’s injury prospects for the upcoming season by Will Carroll, BP’s injury expert:
Brad Lidge: Injury risk: High. I canít tell you whatís going on in his head, but I am worried about whatís going on in his elbow. Lidgeís come-and-go control smells like the beginnings of elbow trouble, and his recent mechanical adjustments didnít help. A new pitching coach, Dave Wallace, is tasked with fixing Lidge. Thatís going to be a tall order.
Is Lidge starting to remind you of a right-handed Mitch Williams?
The Rockets’ dilemma
The Houston Rockets are in a difficult spot.
First, the team hasn’t won a playoff series in a decade now. Even this year’s team, which is not bad, is only the third best team in Texas and probably fifth or sixth in the tough Western Conference. Thus, the Rockets don’t generate much buzz around town. Most folks prefer talking about who the Texans might sign or let go than the Rockets’ season.
So, it was no surprise that the Chronicle’s Jonathan Feigen, the newspaper’s beat writer for the Rockets, summed up the Rockets’ latest loss to the Spurs (which was their 15th in their last 19 games with the Spurs) in the following manner:
Things were so bad, that with 6Ω minutes left in the game, the [Rockets’ team mascot] bear came out on the court with a siren while the teams were still playing.
No time out. No dead ball. He just came out to the middle of the court and went into his act. Fortunately, by then most of the crowd was stuck in traffic after leaving early to beat the traffic.
On the vagaries of a movie’s success
One of the many benefits of having a couple of college-age sons who are movie buffs is that they take me only to good movies. That happened this weekend, as one of my sons took me to the new David Fincher movie, Zodiac, the movie about the taunting serial killer in the Bay Area during the 1970’s who was never caught. The movie is excellent and has opened to very good reviews.
On the other hand, Wild Hogs, one of those movies that is so ghastly that it makes you cringe while merely watching the preview, also opened this weekend to appropriately awful reviews. Joel Morgentstern, who writes good movie reviews for the Wall Street Journal, sized up Wild Hogs this way ($):
Wild horses couldn’t drag me to see “Wild Hogs” a second time, but seeing it once can be a liberating experience. Not in the same sense that its four middle-class, middle-aging buddies from suburban Cincinnati liberate themselves from work and family to recapture their youth during a road trip to California on their Harleys. The movie frees you of the belief that making it in Hollywood requires finely honed skills. If the writer and director of this coarsely honed sitcom could get hired, then the studio doors must be wide open.
So, how did these two films do at the box office in their opening weekend? Wild Hogs raked in a robust $38 million, the third-highest grossing March opening on record and the biggest start ever for a road trip comedy. On the other hand, Zodiac generated only an estimated $13.1 million, which was smallest start for one of Fincher’s films in terms of admissions.
Inasmuch as Zodiac is quite good and Wild Hogs is perfectly dreadful, how could this be?
Art DeVany explains.
Autry Court anecdotes
Rice University recently announced a $23 million renovation of venerable Autry Court, the longtime home of the Rice basketball and volleyball teams. An $8 million donation by Rice alum Bobby Tudor spearheaded the renovation, which will begin in July 2007 and be completed by January 2009. In the interim, the Owls will play basketball and volleyball games at Reliant Arena, a small arena in Reliant Park that is used primarily for cutting horse competitions during the Houston Livestock Show and Rodeo.
Autry Court was built in 1950, but to say that it has lagged behind other facilities is somewhat of an understatement. For Houstonians, probably the most incredible reflection of Autry’s antiquity is that air-conditioning — an essential element of life in Houston — was not added to the facility until 1991. This David Barron/Chronicle article passes along a couple of funny anecdotes about old Autry:
Consider the priorities associated with an institution of higher learning, and then consider the time Roy Williams brought his Kansas Jayhawks to play at Autry in November 1997. The team got off the bus and walked toward Rice’s sparking-new Shepherd School of Music before Rice athletic department publicist Bill Cousins intercepted them and said, “Uh, fellows, the gym’s over here.” . . .
[Autry Court] also [has] been renovated, in piecemeal fashion, to the point that finding the visitors’ locker room resembles a scene from the film This is Spinal Tap.
During Kansas’ 1997 trip, Mike PedÈ, Rice’s former marketing director for athletics, had the task of accompanying the Jayhawks to their quarters, a trip that required detours through the track and swim team locker rooms.
“I turn around and see Raef LaFrentz tearing up pieces of paper and dropping them on the floor,” PedÈ said. “Roy Williams says, ‘Raef, what are you doing?’ and he says, ‘Coach, I’ve got to figure out a way to get back to the court.’ “
My Autry Court anecdote has nothing to do with the facility, but with a brief conversation that I had there with former longtime Houston Rockets general manager Ray Patterson in the early 1980’s. A friend who is a Rice basketball fan took me to a game at Autry to see the Owls star of the time, Ricky Pierce. Patterson was at the game and my friend was also a friend of Patterson, so he introduced me and we watched a half of the game together. Pierce proceeded to put on a clinic, scoring over 20 points in the first half and completely dominating the game.
Stating the obvious, I turned to Patterson at the conclusion of the half and remarked: “Think Pierce will be available when the Rockets pick in the upcoming NBA draft?” Patterson, who made some of the worst draft choices in the NBA during his tenure with the Rockets (remember Lee Johnson?), replied:
“Wouldn’t touch him. Too short to play forward, not fast enough to play guard. He’s a ‘tweener.'”
The Rockets proceeded to pick the eminently forgettable Terry Teagle from Baylor rather than Pierce in the 1982 NBA draft. Pierce went on to enjoy a marvelous professional career, winning the NBA Sixth Man of the Year Award twice with the Milwaukee Bucks and setting the then-record for consecutive free throws made with 75 in 1991 with the Seattle SuperSonics. He retired after 16 seasons, scoring almost 14,500 points for his career while shooting 50% from the field.
Teagle, on the other hand, lasted only two seasons in Houston before moving on to play with three other teams (Detroit Pistons, Golden State Warriors and Los Angeles Lakers) in a journeyman NBA career. He also didn’t win any awards from the NBA.
Build it and they will come
Former Mercury, Gemini and Apollo Astronaut Buzz Aldrin is about ready to show us that there is something else to do to get away from the gaming tables while visiting Las Vegas:
On March 20, the second man on the Moon, Buzz Aldrin, will lead the first walk across Skywalk, the cantilevered glass semicircular walkway that juts out 70 feet over the Grand Canyon and 4,000 feet above the Colorado River in Arizona.
The walkway, which will open to the public on March 28, is made of two million pounds of glass and steel and cost more than $30 million to construct. It is the centerpiece of a development plan called Grand Canyon West. The group behind the project ó which will include a 6,000-square-foot visitors center, with a museum, a movie theater, a gift shop and several restaurants ó is the Hualapai Indian tribe, which also has a reservation on the million acres of land they own on the western rim of the canyon.
The website for the Skywalk is here. It’s about 120 miles from Las Vegas. A walk around the Skywalk will cost $25 plus the Grand Canyon West entrance fee.
Baseball Prospectus 2007
One of my favorite moments each March is when the annual edition of the best book on baseball — Baseball Prospectus — shows up at the door. As noted in past years here and here, Baseball Prospectus has become a required resource for general managers and personnel directors of Major League Baseball clubs, and this 12th annual edition continues to improve on BP’s already formidable analytical tools.
Prepared by about a dozen disciples of Bill James‘ statistical analysis of baseball, Baseball Prospectus 2007 includes a thorough analysis of each Major League Baseball team, each team’s management approach, each team’s minor league system and a capsule profile of every Major League player and most key minor league prospects of each team (over 1,600 in all!). For all big-league players and many top minor league prospects, BP also provides the key statistics reflecting how the player has performed over the past three seasons and also BP’s PECOTA prediction of how the player will perform this coming season. The writing is sharp and witty, and includes none of the subjective blather that one has to endure in much of the mainstream media. I often take BP to Stros games and read the player profiles and statistical analysis during breaks in the game.
One thing I particularly enjoy about the BP folks is that they recognize that their predictions are not always right and are not defensive in the least about it. For example, the BP folks have been bearish on the Stros for several years now, which means that they have largely wrong as the Stros went to the NLCS three seasons ago, to the World Series two seasons ago, and almost edged into the NL playoffs again last season (my report card for the Stros after last season is here). BP is not as down on the Stros this season, but it does note that the club does not appear to have a long-range development plan and continues to be hurt by indulging Craig Biggio’s declining production, Brad Ausmus’ incompetence and a farm system that — outside of Hunter Pence — is devoid of Major League-quality position players at the top levels of the system.
Although BP is not bullish on the Stros as a team, its profiles of individual Stros players — particularly the club’s traditionally strong pitching staff — are generally favorable. One notable exception to that generally positive treatment is the profile on Ausmus, whose incompetence BP attempts to place in historical perspective:
Insiders continue to call Ausmus a winner who improves a pitching staff, but it’s hard to believe he could retain many adherents after a season as bad as 2006. According to the Value Over Replacement Level statistic, Ausmus had the 16th worst offensive season of any MLB player since 1960, but that’s trivia.
Last year, the average catcher had an on base percentage of .330 and slugged .417. Say the Astros had A.J. Pierzynski, who had an OBP of .330 and a slugging percentage of .436. By our calculation, Ausmus created 38 runs of offense last season while using up 351 outs, which Pierzinsky wuold have created 68 runs while using up the same number of outs. Those additional 30 runs are worth roughly three wins in the standings (the Astros finished one game behind the division-winning Cardinals in the NL Central).
Knowing that, how much credi do you want to give Ausmus for the Astros staff? Did he improve them by one percent? Five? Ten? It stretches believe that Ausmus deserves credit for a twentieth or eve a tenth of the success of Roger Clemens or Andy Pettitte, and there is no objective evidence that changing catchers would result in any penalty. For all of Ausmus’ wizardry, the Astros haven’t established a young (starting) pitcher since 2001. The Astros have been needlessly costing themselves in a competitive division; it’s time to get over it.
And the profile for one of the Stros’ other notable incompetents, lefty Wandy Rodriguez:
It’s not a nickname of a diminutive — the man’s real name is Wandy Fulton Rodriguez. That’s an odd collection of names — an implement from the Harry Potter books, the inventor of the steamboat, and — mixing the exotic with the jejune — one of the baseball’s most common surnames. Even his son, Wadells, gets in on the name game.
As for his pitching, he’s a prototypical skinny Dominican without a dominant pitch. He’s a swingman, if the swing referred to is the short trip from Houston to Round Rock.
By the way, it doesn’t appear as if Rice baseball coach Wayne Graham is going to be sending any free tickets to the BP author Kevin Goldstein this season. Here’s Goldstein’s profile of former Rice pitcher, Philip Humber, a Mets farmhand, in his Top 100 Prospects article:
In 2004, Rice’s big three — Humber, Jeff Niemann and Wade Townsend — were all selected within the first eight picks of the June draft. They all had disturbing workloads in college, and now they’ve had two Tommy John surgeries (Humber, Townsend) and a series of shoulder problems requiring minor surgery (Niemann). Humber’s return from the procedure was nothing short of remarkable, but if I had a kid with a million dollar arm who insisted on going to college, he sure wouldn’t go to Rice.
Pick up a copy of BP 2007 — it’s as good a $12 as you will spend on baseball all year. Heck, BP even gives you free online access to the four players that they forgot to include in the book!
The 75th Go Texan!
The annual Houston Livestock Show and Rodeo (prior posts here) is currently celebrating its 75th anniversary at Reliant Park, and the Houston Press’ Richard Connelly does a great job of capturing the special subculture that defines rodeo time in Houston. I mean, where else can you eat a meal of sausage and fried oreos while viewing some of the most amazing animal specimens in the world, and then catch the rodeo and a quality musical act all in one day and location? Connelly’s article also passes along the now legendary story about the 1974 Sonny and Cher rodeo performance that took place just a couple of weeks after the then husband and wife team separated in preparation of their eventual divorce. The abbreviated show ended up generating the highest number of refund demands in the history of the rodeo. As Connelly notes, who would have ever guessed that such a debacle would hatch a political career?
Faces of the Subway

Check out this Bill Sullivan photo series of people walking through three subway aisles. A reminder that simple ideas often result in compelling art.