Belly to Hip Ratio more important than BMI?

beerbelly.jpgThis Washington Post article reports on a new study published in The Lancet that indicates the relationship between belly size and hip size is more useful measure of health risk than the commonly-used body mass index (BMI):

According to a study published in The Lancet, a calculation comparing waist circumference to hip circumference is a better predictor of heart attack risk than . . . [b]ody mass index, [which] is often used to screen for obesity and to assess risk for a variety of diseases and conditions, including diabetes, metabolic syndrome and heart attack.
[T]he Lancet study, described by the authors as the largest and most conclusive to date, found that “BMI is a very weak predictor of the risk of a heart attack,” said Salim Yusuf, lead author and director of the Population Health Research Institute at McMaster University in Hamilton, Ontario. “Measuring the girth of the waist and [the] girth of the hip is far more powerful.”
The authors suggested people forgo calculating BMI. “I’d say just do the waist-to-hip ratio,” Yusuf said. “There really is no additional value [in] doing the BMI.”

The study indicates that even relatively lean people with a BMI that is quite low still have increased risk for heart attack based on the presence of abdominal fat. It remains unclear why location of fat in the abdominal area poses a greater health risk than fat carried around the hips, but recent studies have also linked waist-to-hip ratio to increased risk of diabetes and hypertension. The findings reported in Lancet study indicate that men with waist-to-hip ratios greater than 0.95 are at heightened risk for a heart attack and that females with ratios above 0.8 are at increased risk, and that the the risk “rose progressively with increasing values for waist-to-hip ratio, with no evidence of a threshold.”
Speaking of health-related matters, the Chronicle has added a health-related blog by medical reporter Leigh Hopper to its growing list of weblogs. Chronicle technology reporter Dwight Silverman spearheaded the Chronicle’s blog initiative last year, and now other prominent newspapers are emulating the Chronicle’s blog idea. Kudos to Dwight and the Chronicle for contributing greatly to this productive trend of enhancing communication between media and its customers.

Just an expense of doing business at KPMG

kpmg logo38.jpgAs KPMG’s settlement of the class action lawsuit against the firm over its promotion of tax shelters lurches toward final approval, this NY Times article reports that the number of class members opting-out of the proposed settlement is unusually high (almost 30% of all class members) and speculates that KPMG may elect to exercise its right under the settlement agreement to opt-out of the settlement itself if too many class members opt-out.
Although it was nice of the Times to deliver that message by KPMG to class members, there is little chance that the firm will terminate the settlement. Even if 30% of the class members opt out, that means that KPMG has still liquidated its liability to over 190 former tax shelter clients at an aggregate amount of the $180 million or so that KPMG will contribute to the $225 million settlement. That’s under a million per individual claim, which is the equivalent of a payout on a “slip and fall ” case for KPMG these days. No way KPMG rolls the dice that it can do better than that by defending the class action and even more opt-out individual claims at trial.

Jamie Olis resentencing hearing postponed

Jamie Olis8.jpgThe long-awaited resentencing hearing in the sad case of Jamie Olis that was scheduled to take place today has been postponed indefinitely to give U.S. District Judge Sim Lake time to review recently-filed materials in the case relating to the key issue of market loss causation and to conduct another hearing on the market loss issue. You can download a copy of Olis’ lengthy memorandum on the market loss and related sentencing issues — which includes copies of letters from Olis and his wife to Judge Lake — here.
Although the delay in the resentencing is unfortunate, it is understandable. There is no harder working judge in the country right now than Judge Lake, who is literally snowed under with both the prodigious materials relating to the Olis resentencing and dozens of pre-trial motions in the run-up to the complex trial of former key Enron executives Ken Lay and Jeff Skilling that is scheduled to begin on January 30 in Houston. Given Judge Lake’s nature, I suspect that he will attempt to schedule the market loss hearing in the Olis case before the commencement of the Lay-Skilling trial.
Meanwhile, Doug Berman — who has provided the flat-out best analysis in the blogosphere of the Olis case from a sentencing perspective — added this informative post earlier in the week and this post today on the key issues to be addressed in the Olis resentencing hearing. As this earlier post notes, the prosecution misled Judge Lake in the previous sentencing hearing on the key market-loss issue, and I’m optimistic that Judge Lake will come to understand this time around the folly of attributing any meaningful market loss to Olis’ participation in the ill-fated Project Alpha, a point that is amply buttressed in Olis’ memorandum on resentencing by the expert reports of Rice University business professor Bala Dharan, former SEC economist Craig McCann, and well-known Houston energy securities analyst John Olson. In contrast, the Justice Department’s strikingly superficial response to the Olis memorandum and expert reports comes across as mean-spirited and baseless. If Judge Lake properly concludes that the reasons for market loss are simply too diffuse to attribute to Olis’ actions, then my sense is that he will reduce Olis’ sentence to considerably less than the 5-7 years that Professor Berman is predicting.
Update: Professor Berman comments on the postponement, as well as the resentencing hearing of Olis’ co-defendants (both copped pleas), which will proceed as scheduled today.

Texas Longhorns 41 USC Trojans 38

texas longhorn logo.jpg
vince_1.jpg
The University of Texas Longhorns, National Champions!
It’s taken me until 9 a.m. the morning after the game just to recover enough to pass along my thoughts.
In short, the game was hugely entertaining, if not particularly well-played in all respects. The first quarter was just kind of an all-around mess, Texas owned the second quarter, the third quarter turned into a fist fight between two heavyweights who could not defend themselves, and then Vince Young simply picked up his Texas team in the last six minutes of the fourth quarter and refused to let them lose.
It was truly a game for the ages and a perfect example of the reason that I prefer college football to the NFL.
By the way, don’t miss the Austin American-Statesman’s photo gallery containing a measly 143 photos from the Rose Bowl game.