This post is a father’s description of his eight year old daughter’s first date, which happened to be with Bill Murray, who introduced her “as my wife.”
Monthly Archives: August 2005
The betting on the effect of Katrina
The early bets on the effect of Hurricane Katrina are rising rapidly this morning as traders are reacting to what is turning out to be the worst-case scenario for the U.S. energy industry
In overnight electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange, October crude-oil futures opened up more than $4 over Friday’s close, topping $70 a barrel for the first time. September gasoline futures were up over 20 cents (over 10%) to around $2.12 a gallon. September natural-gas futures, which expire today, increased by more than $2 (over 22%) to about $12 per million British thermal units. Some energy analysts are predicting the possibility of $80-a-barrel oil and $15 per million British thermal unit natural gas as a result of the storm.
Criminalizing statements that perpetuate a myth
Regulation FD requires full disclosure of securities issuers’ communications with analysts for the supposed purpose of protecting the hypothetical ordinary investor. It’s one of those regulations that sounds good on the surface, but fails miserably in practice.
The truth is that Reg FD attempts to regulate statements that perpetuate a myth — i.e., that the securities markets are a level-playing field for the ordinary individual investor. In fact, securities markets are hopelessly rigged against the individual investors, who really have no business attempting to compete in those markets against the pros. Rather, study after study has shown that the individual investor would be much better off simply investing in index funds rather than operating under the myth that the securities markets are fairer for the ordinary investor than, say, playing the slots in Las Vegas.
Andy Pettitte
Pitcher Andy Pettitte is the subject of the fifth in the ongoing series about the key Stros players (previous posts here, here, here and here).
Pettitte is the hometown boy (Deer Park High School in suburban east Houston area) who returned to Houston in 2004 with a $31.5 million three year contract after a brilliant nine year stint with the New York Yankees that coincided with the Yankees winning four World Series Championships. Pettitte’s first season was highly frustrating as an elbow injury resulted in a premature end of the season before the Stros caught fire and came within a game of the World Series. One would not be going out on a limb to suggest that the Stros would have made the World Series in 2004 had Pettitte been able to pitch the entire season.
Andy Pettitte statistics
| Andy Pettitte | |||||||||||||
YEAR | AGE | RSAA | ERA | G | GS | IP | SO | SO/9 | BR/9 | W | L | NW | NL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | 31 | 8 | 4.02 | 33 | 33 | 208.1 | 180 | 7.78 | 12.01 | 21 | 8 | 16 | 13 |
| 2004 | 32 | 4 | 3.90 | 15 | 15 | 83 | 79 | 8.57 | 11.06 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 2005 | 33 | 33 | 2.60 | 26 | 26 | 176.2 | 137 | 6.98 | 9.93 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 6 |
| CAR | 167 | 3.82 | 324 | 317 | 2052.1 | 1491 | 6.54 | 12.31 | 167 | 91 | 150 | 108 | |
| LG AVG | 0 | 4.65 | 2052.1 | 1441 | 6.32 | 13.28 | 115 | 115 | |||||
Thoughts on Martha
Martha Stewart — who was unjustly prosecuted and convicted for allegedly misleading the government about an supposed crime that the government could not prove — finishes the home confinement component of her sentence next week. Ellen Podgor (she of “Busted for Yoga” fame) wonders in this post which of the following will be the legacy of the Stewart case:
1. Tell the truth to the government when questioned.
OR
2. Don’t talk to the government when they seek information.
Given recent developments in other cases, the following alternative might also be added:
3. Waive the attorney-client privilege, offer up others as sacrificial lambs for the government to prosecute, and enter into a deferred prosecution agreement with the government to avoid criminal charges.
A Potential Disaster May be Developing Along the Gulf Coast
For years, experts have been warning that a potential disaster looms if a major hurricane hits the New Orleans metropolitan area, much of which sits beneath sea level.
It is beginning to look as if those predictions may come true later this weekend.
Over last evening, Hurricane Katrina took a westward course away from the Mobile, Ala.-Florida Panhandle area and appears to be headed directly for the New Orleans area.
This website (be patient, takes awhile to load) shows the catastrophic flooding that will occur in the New Orleans area as a result of a category 3 hurricane.
Hurricane Katrina is currently predicted to hit the Louisiana coast as either a category 3 or even a 4 storm. Hat tip to my friend Scott Hagen for the link to this website.
If you are in New Orleans and reading this post, you should seriously consider getting out. Now.
KPMG – DOJ settlement done
The anticipated settlement of criminal charges over KPMG, LLP‘s creation and promotion of allegedly illegal tax shelters has been finalized between the accounting firm and the Department of Justice and will be announced on Monday. Here are the previous posts on KPMG and its tax shelter saga.
Under the deal, KPMG will pay $456 million in fines, accept former chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission Richard C. Breeden as an independent monitor of the firm’s operations through at least 2006. The firm will also agree to limits on the scope of its tax practice and continue to serve up to prosecutors for possible criminal charges former KPMG partners and other professionals who worked on the tax shelters, which the DOJ contends cost the U.S. Treasury at least $1.4 billion in unpaid taxes. KPMG allegedly earned fees of $124 million on creating and promoting the tax shelters to about 350 clients.
As noted in earlier posts, the settlement with the Justice Department does not mean that KPMG is out of the woods yet by any stretch. KPMG still faces potentially enormous civil liability as a result of its admission of wrongdoing in regard to the tax shelters. Even more importantly, KPMG’s serving up of its former partners on a platter to prosecutors has so damaged partner morale at the firm that key partners may leave the mess behind for greener pastures at competitor firms. Thus, even when it tries to do so, the federal government may not be capable of avoiding an Arthur Andersen-type meltdown of one of the few remaining big accounting firms available to handle the increased regulatory requirements that the government has imposed on public companies.
Update: This NY Sunday Times article — purportedly based on inside sources — tells the story on how KPMG’s management came to embrace, and then abandoned the defense of, the tax shelter promotion scheme.
Morgan Ensberg’s remarkable season
The subject of the fourth segment of the series of posts analyzing the key Stros players (previous posts here, here, and here) is thirdbaseman Morgan Ensberg, who is enjoying one of the best seasons of any hitter in Stros history.
Ensberg is a late bloomer out of college baseball, who came up through the Stros’ farm system with fellow USC baseball star Jason Lane. Interestingly, Lane was always considered the better prospect, but Ensberg was the one who burst on to the Stros scene first with his strong first full season in 2003.
Morgan Ensberg statistics
| Morgan Ensberg | ||||||||||||
YEAR | AGE | RCAA | OBA | SLG | OPS | AVG | HR | RBI | SB | G | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | 27 | 20 | .377 | .530 | .907 | .291 | 25 | 60 | 7 | 127 | ||
| 2004 | 28 | -12 | .330 | .411 | .742 | .275 | 10 | 66 | 6 | 131 | ||
| 2005 | 29 | 37 | .389 | .581 | .971 | .287 | 33 | 91 | 6 | 125 | ||
| CAR | 41 | .364 | .497 | .861 | .280 | 71 | 236 | 21 | 436 | |||
| LG AVG | 0 | .340 | .431 | .772 | .269 | 44 | 180 | 22 | ||||
| POS AVG | -6 | .335 | .430 | .765 | .267 | 45 | 191 | 14 | ||||