“War is a series of catastrophes that results in victory”

Victor Davis Hanson’s latest NRO op-ed reminds us that the fog of war often makes it difficult to evaluate progress during war. However, Professor Hanson points out that the difficulties of battle should not deter us from focusing on finishing the Iraqi stage of the war against Islamic fascism:

It is always difficult for those involved to determine the pulse of any ongoing war. The last 90 days in the Pacific theater were among the most costly of World War II, as we incurred 50,000 casualties on Okinawa just weeks before the Japanese collapse. December 1944 and January 1945 were the worst months for the American army in Europe, bled white repelling Hitler’s last gasp in the Battle of the Bulge. Contemporaries shuddered, after observing those killing fields, that the war would go on for years more. The summer of 1864 convinced many that Grant and Lincoln were losers, and that McClellan alone could end the conflict by what would amount to a negotiated surrender of Northern war aims.
It is true that parts of Iraq are unsafe and that terrorists are flowing into the country; but there is no doubt that the removal of Saddam Hussein is bringing matters to a head. Islamic fascists are now fighting openly and losing battles, and are increasingly desperate as they realize the democratization process slowly grinds ahead leaving them and what they have to offer by the wayside. Iran, Syria, Lebanon, and others must send aid to the terrorists and stealthy warriors into Iraq, for the battle is not just for Baghdad but for their futures as well. The world’s attention is turning to Syria’s occupation of Lebanon and Iran’s nukes, a new scrutiny predicated on American initiatives and persistence, and easily evaporated by a withdrawal from Iraq. So by taking the fight to the heart of darkness in Saddam’s realm, we have opened the climactic phase of the war, and thereupon can either win or lose far more than Iraq.
The world grasps this, and thus slowly is waking up and starting to see that if it walks and sounds like an Islamic fascist ? whether in Russia, Spain, Istanbul, Israel, Iraq, or India ? it really is an Islamic fascist, with the now-familiar odious signature of car bombings, suicide belts, and incoherent communiquÈs mixed with self-pity and passive-aggressive bluster.
For all these reasons and more, something like “See ya, wouldn’t want to be ya” is the absolute worst prescription for Iraq ? both for America and those Iraqis who are counting on us in their historic efforts to reclaim their country from barbarism. Amid the daily car bombings in Iraq, murder in Russia, and slaughter in the Middle East, we cannot see much hope ? but it is there, and we are winning on a variety of fronts as the world continues to shrink for the Islamic fascist and those who would abet him.

Read the entire article.

Rangers’ disappointing attendance

While the Stros are enjoying a banner year at the gate, the Texas Rangers — despite their best season on the field in years — continue to struggle at the gate. This Dallas Morning News article explores why.

WSJ analyzes Rice football program

In an interesting special section on the business of football in today’s Wall Street Journal ($), one of the section’s articles addresses the controversy generated earlier this year when a McKinsey & Company report bolstered longtime Rice University faculty advocacy for downgrading Rice’s expensive NCAA Division I athletic program to Division III (i.e., no athletic scholarships). As the WSJ article notes, Rice’s legacy in intercollegiate athletics is formidable:

Rice has a long football tradition. It began playing other schools in 1912, and it helped form the Southwest Conference in 1914. In several ways, its standards serve as a model for other schools. It has had no major violations cited by the National Collegiate Athletic Association, and its athlete graduation rate of 81% in 2003 was one of the highest in Division I-A. Its baseball team won the College World Series last year.

But the development in the big-time college and professional football over the past 40 years has not been kind to Rice:

But questions about the high costs of big-time sports and the admissions trade-offs necessary to bring in star athletes have gained momentum since the 1960s. Around that time, rivals such as the University of Texas and Texas A&M University exploded in size, gaining huge recruiting advantages, according to the McKinsey report. The birth of the Houston Oilers professional team in 1960 drew fans away from Rice games. In the 1960s and ’70s, faculty members voiced concerns about athletes’ academic caliber.
More recently, schools in the conferences that participate in the college Bowl Championship Series — the Rose, Sugar, Orange and Fiesta Bowls — have received a much larger share of the football revenue from bowl-ticket sales and TV-broadcasting rights than schools such as Rice, gaining further advantages.

Rice’s small size exacerbates the burden of competing with much larger schools in Division I athletics:

To understand just how large Rice University’s 70,000-seat football stadium is, consider this: It could seat all the school’s undergraduate alumni, living and dead — and it wouldn’t even be half full.
And to understand the financial burden that football places on the private Houston university, consider this: Largely because of the football team, the school’s athletic department runs annual deficits in the millions of dollars.

While the dilemmas at Rice are magnified because of its size — with about 2,850 undergraduates, it is the smallest school in Division I-A after the University of Tulsa in Oklahoma — and high academic standards, they illustrate problems other colleges and universities face as they grapple with the admissions pressures and skyrocketing budgets of big-time athletics.

The McKinsey & Co. report’s conclusion is bleak regarding Rice’s future in Division I:

Without improved gate receipts, better support from a group of alumni who are already contributing more than ever, or membership in a [Bowl Championship Series] conference with its much larger annual payouts, the economic outlook is bleak.

And the report is not optimistic regarding the prospects for change in the financing or purpose of Division I athletics:

The large and growing financial incentives among NCAA teams (whether formally controlled by the NCAA or not), combined with multimillion dollar coaching salaries, make Division I athletics look increasingly like a business instead of an extracurricular activity.

The report calculates that, including the increased financial aid an athlete receives compared with an average Rice student, the deficit between revenue and expenses in the athletic department has ballooned to more than $10 million a year. Football takes the largest share of the blame: While it produces about $2 million in annual revenue, it was responsible for nearly $4 million of that deficit in 2002, McKinsey calculates.
Rice is not alone. The McKinsey report notes that fewer than a dozen schools, regardless of their division, profit from their sports programs. And on average, a football team costs more than three times as much to support as a basketball team, and more than nine times as much as a baseball team.

William C. Friday, chairman of the Knight Foundation Commission on Intercollegiate Athletics, a sports-reform group, cited a NCAA study showing that overall Division I-A schools have seen athletic department expenses exceed revenues in each year from 1993 to 2002, according to his testimony in May before the U.S. House Subcommittee on Commerce, Trade and Consumer Protection.
The commission’s last comprehensive report, in June 2001, said that at more than half of Division I-A schools in 1999, athletic department expenses exceeded revenue by an average of $3.3 million, a margin that widened by 18% from 1997.

Read the entire article. The Rice Board of Trustees ultimately decided to continue making a go of it in Division I. But the problem will not go away. As the University of Chicago (a former Big 10 member) and several other great private institutions have proven, Division I athletics is unnecessary to maintain financial support and public relations benefits for top flight universities. Although Rice’s Board of Trustees is dominated by many older Houstonians who remember the bygone days of Rice’s Division I football glory, those members need to realize that those days are gone and that the marginal benefits of running large deficits in the athletic department are not commensurate with the benefits of maintaining a Division I program. Division III is the answer for Rice, and the sooner, the better.

The Rocket steps up

With the Stros knowing that the Giants and the Cubs had already won their games on Sunday afternoon, Roger Clemens threw eight innings of two hit ball in leading the Stros to a 1-0 win over the Brew Crew on Sunday night at the Juice Box.
In sweeping the Brewers in the three game weekend series, the Stros kept pace in the National League Wild Card playoff race in which they trail the Giants by a game and the Cubs by a half game. The Stros are off on Monday as they travel to San Francisco for their big three game series with the Giants beginning on Tuesday.
Clemens was magnificent in winning his 18th game of the season, tying teammate Roy O for the most wins in the National League, striking out 10, and walking two. Brad Lidge struck out the three Brewer batters in the ninth in gaining his 25th save in 29 attempts.
Carlos Hernandez will pitch the first game for the Stros in the Giants series, and then it’s anyone’s guess who the Stros will pitch in the next two. Keep your fingers crossed that Roy O’s rib cage feels good enough for him to pitch one of those final two games of the Giants series.

2004 Weekly local football review

Lions 28 Texans 16. “Uh-oh” is the barely audible sound that you will hear emanating from Reliant Park this week. Not only did the Texans lose their second straight, but they once again showed the inconsistency that could really make this a long season. The offense — particularly QB David Carr — was horrible in an excruciating first half that mercifully (for the fans, anyway) ended with the Lions ahead 7-3. Then, in the second half, Carr played reasonably well and threw his first two TD passes of the season only to have the Texans’ defense go into the tank and the kickoff return team give up a 99 yard kickoff return for a Lions’ TD. Given that the Texans play the Chiefs, Raiders, Vikings and Titans in the next four games, a 1-5 or 0-6 start is looking quite likely. My sense is that the Texans’ honeymoon with Houston is quickly coming to an end.
Cowboys 19 Browns 12. Incredibly, the Cowboys turn it over four times and still win, primarily because the Browns’ QB Jeff Garcia was 8-28 for 78 yards passing. I’m glad I resisted the urge to take him as my reserve QB in my Fantasy Football League draft.
The Texas Longhorns were idle this weekend, and most of the Horn players were probably here.
Texas Aggies 27 Clemson 6. The Ags finally won a game under Coach Franchione against a reasonably tough opponent, although Clemson does not appear to be comparable to top Big 12 caliber opposition. However, the Ags rolled up over 500 yards total offense, committed no turnovers, and held Clemson QB Charlie Whitehurst to under 200 yards passing. Certainly progress for a program that has been in steady decline — much to the consternation of its rabid fan base — for the past four seasons. The Aggies have an off week before taking on Big 12 North rival Kansas State on October 2 in College Station.
Houston 35 Army 21. Coogs finally get their offense cranked up and pull out the win after the Cadets tied it at 21 at the beginning of the fourth quarter. UH should be about a 60 point underdog in this Thursday evening’s ESPN game at Reliant Stadium against Miami.
Rice 41 Hawaii 29. I don’t know why, but I always enjoy it when a triple option team such as Rice beats a Run ‘n Shoot team such as Hawaii. The Owls now try to beat a spread that will be around 35 next week in Austin against the Longhorns.

Stros gain ground

Jeff Bagwell cranked a two run yak and drove in three runs as the Stros gained ground in the National League Wild Card playoff race by beating the Brew Crew 4-3 on Saturday nigth at the Juice Box. The win was the Stros’ 11th straight at the Juice Box.
Both the Giants and the Cubs lost on Saturday, so the Stros’ win moves them within a game of the Giants for the lead in the NL Wild Card race and within a half game of the Cubs, who remain between the Giants and the Stros at this point. The Marlins lost again, which pretty well makes them toast in the NL Wild Card playoff race.
With his yak tonight, Bags became only the 29th player in major league history to both score and drive in 1,500 runs. As has been their custom over the past 30 games whenever Roy O and the Rocket are not pitching, the Stros cobbled together pitching performances from four pitchers before Brad Lidge secured the win by pitching the ninth. It was Lidge’s 24th save in 28 chances.
The Rocket takes the pill in a rare Sunday evening game (it is the ESPN Sunday night telecast) against the Brewers’ Doug Davis, and then it’s a travel day on Monday as the Stros go to San Francisco for their big showdown series with the Giants beginning next Tuesday.

Stros hang tough

Roy O aggravated his sore ribcage but pitched seven strong innings, Mike Lamb hit a seventh inning go-ahead yak off of Stros-killer Ben Sheets, and Brad Lidge pitched two innings of brilliant relief to lead the Stros to a dramatic 2-1 victory over the Brew Crew at the Juice Box on Friday night.
The game ended on an incredible play. The Brewers’ Chad Magruder led off the ninth with a pinch hit single off of Lidge and was on second with two outs when Scott Podesednik lined a single to right on a 3-2 count. With the near capacity Juice Box going nuts, Bags cut off Lance Berkman‘s throw from right field as Magruder stopped at third. On an absolutely magnificent play, Bags flipped the ball to Jeff Kent, who had snuck behind Podesednik, who had rounded too far at first base. Kent got Podesednik in a run down toward second base, but alertly stopped and started crossing the infield toward Magruder when Magruder started toward home plate while Kent was running at Podesednik. When Magruder took off for home, Kent threw to catcher Chavez, who ran Magruder back toward Lamb, who finally made the the tag on Magruder for the third out and the win. The Juice Box crowd was going bonkers.
The win was the Stros fourth in the past eight games following their 12-game winning streak. The Stros ended their night one and a half games behind the Giants in the NL wild-card race, who are playing the Padres in a late game. The Cubs also won on Friday night to remain in between the Giants and the Stros in that race, and the Marlins lost on Friday night to fall 4.5 games behind the Giants in the wild card playoff race.
Oswalt (18-9) now who leads the National League in wins and improved to 9-1 in 13 starts since July 17. He allowed one run and eight hits in seven innings, but his ribcage ribcage injury — which has been bothering him for most of the season — flared up again in the eighth. Lidge replaced Oswalt with a man on second and no outs, and worked out of the jam, and then participated in the wonderful chaos described above in the ninth. It was Lidge’s 23rd save in 27 chances.
Sheets (11-12) was brilliant in the loss, striking out nine and not walking a batter as he hurled his fourth complete game of the season. Other than Lamb’s yak, Berkman’s run scoring double in the fourth was the only other major hit that Sheets allowed.
Pete Munro (4-6) takes the hill for the Stros on Saturday night against the Brewers’ journeyman Gary Glover (1-0) as the Stros try to keep pace with the Giants and Cubs.

By the way, don’t forget this!

The best competition of the year.

High school senior picture day

On Saturday, one of my assignments for the day is to accompany one of my daughters to the appointment with a photographer in which her high school senior pictures will be taken.
I am not going to show her these high school senior pictures before we go.

San Diego public financing emulates Enron

This post from earlier this year pointed out the similarity between the federal government’s accounting and financing of Medicare and Social Security benefits with Enron’s accounting and financing of its infamous off-balance sheet partnerships.
This NY Times article reports that San Diego’s municipal government is now facing a municipal reorganization under chapter 9 of the Bankruptcy Code because of its dubious accounting and financing of public pension fund earnings.
Consistent with the government’s prosecution of former Enron executives involved in such questionable accounting and financing schemes, can we now expect criminal prosecutions of San Diego public officials who condoned the same type of accounting and financing practices that have caused San Diego’s current dance with municipal insolvency?