Break’em up

Carlos Beltran went nuclear on the DBacks and Roy O pitched seven solid innings as the Stros won over the DBacks for the second game in a row, 10-3. The loss gave the DBacks their second 11 game losing streak this season. Geez, and we thought the Stros were having a tough stretch.
Beltran drove in three runs with his two yaks and Adam Everett tied his career high with four RBI. Beltran now has 10 homers in 23 games with the Stros, and 25 overall. This game was his third multi-homer game of the season, and he now has 11 in his young career. Man, I wish there was some way that Drayton could figure out a way to keep him around past this season.
Everett had a two-run tater and a two-run single before getting spiked in the eighth inning, which required him to leave the game (the injury did not appear serious). Mike Lamb replaced Everett and promptly hammered a two run yak in the ninth. Must have been something in the air around shortstop today.
Incredibly, the DBacks are now winless since the All-Star break and have lost eight straight at home. They have now lost 16 of their last 18 games. The 2001 World Series Championship is a distant memory.
Roy O picked up his fifth win in his past seven starts with a five-hit, seven K, seven-inning effort. He was dusted up by only a two-run yak that he gave up to Shea Hillenbrand in the sixth.
Finally, in personnel news, the Stros picked up Darren Oliver today from the Marlins’ scrapheap to add another limp arm (at least he’s a lefty) to the bullpen. After 4.66 ERA/-2 RSAA and 5.04 ERA/-5 RSAA seasons (RSAA explained here), Oliver is off to a 6.44 ERA/-15 RSAA start in his first 18 games (8 starts). This essentially means that the Stros are adding a lefthanded Tim Redding or Brandon Duckworth to the pitching staff. Oliver is one of those guys who has made a career out of being a mediocre lefthander. Good work if you can get it, but not exactly the shot in the arm that this Stros club needs.
The Stros now return from their quick trip to the desert with a weekend series against the Brew Crew at the Juice Box. The pitching lineup is the Rocket, Tim Redding, and then probably Pete Munro.

Kling on health care finance reform

Arnold Kling is thinking about health care finance again, and that’s a good thing. The entire article is well worth reviewing, as Mr. Kling does a particluarly good job of summarizing the defects in the America’s health care finance system:

* Many people lack health insurance. This includes Do-Nots as well as have-nots.
* Poor people, although covered by government programs, are not able to access health care providers in a timely fashion. They obtain too little preventive care and consequently make too much use of hospitalization. In order to improve on certain key health care indicators, such as infant mortality, the United States has to find a way to bring poor people under the umbrella of our health care system.
* The system of employer-provided health insurance distorts choices. It makes it costly for people to change jobs, especially to become “free agents.” It puts ordinary firms in the health insurance business, penalizing small firms, for which this is more of a burden. It injects ordinary corporations into the decision-making process of consumers with regard to choice of insurance and even (through “preferred-provider” systems) with regard to choice of doctor.
* Our system tends to subsidize “first-dollar” coverage rather than catastrophic coverage. Catastrophic coverage is like auto insurance that pays in the case of an accident. First-dollar coverage is like auto insurance that pays for gas and tolls. First-dollar coverage results in more paperwork and reduced incentives to control costs.
* People with break-the-bank illnesses, such as diabetes or cancer, cannot switch insurance companies.
* Consumers have little incentive to take responsibility for their health. Smoking and obesity make little or no difference to insurance premiums.
* Consumers have little incentive to take financial responsibility for health insurance. Instead of encouraging consumers to save to pay for the high cost of insurance when they are older, we tell them that they can count on Medicare.

Mr. Kling does not view increasing government’s role in health care finance as a viable option. Rather, he views government’s best role as that of a facilitator of consumer choice:

However, the solution is not to enlarge government’s role. What I would like to see is a role for government in health care that is streamlined, rationalized, and bounded. I call this approach “limited paternalism.”
My belief is that most consumers are capable of making the best decisions about health care most of the time. The buzzword for this is consumer-driven health care.

Mr. Kling’s consumer-driven health care finance system would have the following components:

* Direct provision of health care services to the poor. For example, government-subsidized clinics in poor neighborhoods with nominal charges (say, $10 per visit).
* Aim to switch from a system of employer-provided health insurance to consumer-purchased health insurance, by ending the tax deductibility of insurance for corporations and eliminating requirements that companies provide health insurance.
* Mandatory catastrophic health insurance for all families not eligible for Medicaid. Rather than expand Medicaid and other government programs upward to the middle class, as some Democrats propose, tighten eligibility for these programs and require co-payments for all but the poorest participants. Eventually, phase out Medicaid and replace it with health care vouchers.
* Phase Out Medicare, and instead mandate health care savings accounts (explained in this earlier post). This would change the medical portion of retirement security from a defined-benefit plan, which Congress will tend to pack with benefits that it cannot pay for, to a defined-contribution plan, which is much sounder financially and much fairer generationally.
* Institute government-provided “catastrophic reinsurance” for very high medical expenses. The Kerry campaign has proposed this for expenses of over $50,000 per year. The purpose of catastrophic re-insurance is to enable private insurance companies to compete for business without having to screen out high-cost individuals. Of all the mechanisms for spreading the cost of break-the-bank illnesses among the general public, catastrophic reinsurance would involve the government in the least number of individuals and the least number of medical decisions. While the rest of the Kerry health care plan tends to be the opposite of what I would like to see, this proposal strikes me as a good plank in any health care reform platform.

Read the entire piece as well as Mr. Kling’s follow up blog post on the article. I believe that the Bush Administration and the Republican-controlled Congress’ failure to address health care finance reform in a meaningful fashion is one of the big reasons undermining independent voters’ confidence in the Administration during this political season.

The politics of bashing

Professor Ribstein has been noting the increasingly polarized nature of political debate in America, best reflected by the tendency of many critics of President Bush to eschew fair criticism for ad hominem attacks.
Although Professor Ribstein is correct that Bush-bashing is prevalent, I’m not certain that this is all that unusual. American Presidential campaigns have often been ribald affairs in which strident supporters of one candidate have characterized the opposing candidate as evil, immoral, moronic, or worse.
For example, the campaigns immediately after George Washington‘s terms in office were no picnic, and later, Andrew Jackson‘s opponents used many of the same tactics that the Bush-bashers use now. Even Abe Lincoln endured a good deal of these types of attacks in the 1864 election, and more recently, Barry Goldwater in 1964 and Richard Nixon in 1972 were often characterized as the epitome of evil by their opponents. Particularly during the 1980 election, opponents of Ronald Reagan often portrayed him as an idiot mouthpiece controlled by others.
However, the WSJ’s ($) Alan Murray in his Political Capital column this week may point to the reason that the Bush-bashers are using this particular technique during this Presidential campaign:

To an unprecedented degree, Americans already have decided how they are going to vote in November. Polls differ, but all suggest that between 43% and 45% of voters plan to vote for George W. Bush and won’t give any consideration to John Kerry, and an equal percentage plan to vote for Sen. Kerry, and won’t give any consideration to President Bush.
That leaves just 10% to 15% of voters who say they remain uncertain about how they will vote. And Republican pollster Bill McInturff says his research shows even most of the undecided voters are less malleable than the label indicates. “The polarization is exceptional,” says Democratic pollster Peter Hart. “Even the independents break down into pro-Bush and anti-Bush groups.” Kerry strategist Mark Mellman goes further: “All the evidence suggests we are fighting over less than 10% of the electorate, and probably less than 6%.” Says Mr. McInturff: “I’ve never seen anything like this in my 25-year career.”

Could it be that the Bush-bashers have concluded that their approach is the most effective means by which to persuade a majority of this 10% undecided group? Or is it simply a means by which to maintain the passion of the base of Bush opponents to ensure that base turns out on election day? Or both?
Update: Professor Ribstein notes the difference in the nature of the current Bush bashing with previous President bashing.

The winner of the CenterPoint Energy auction

A group of four of the largest private-equity funds teamed up to win the hotly-contested auction for Texas Genco Holdings Inc., a merchant generating company spun off from CenterPoint Energy Inc., in a deal valued at $3.65 billion. CenterPoint stands to realize $2.9 billion in cash when the deal is closed, likely in the first quarter of 2005. The deal is subject to regulatory approval.
The buyers include Blackstone Group, Hellman & Friedman LLC, Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. LLC and Texas Pacific Group, which have been separately shopping the depressed energy sector.
Among the losing bidders was a group of hedge funds advised by Lazard Freres & Co., which reflects the growing influence of such funds in captial markets. Hedge funds generally invest in stocks, bonds and other financial assets because it is easier to trade in and out of such investments. However, as hedge funds accumulate big pools of capital, they are starting to lend to companies and make longer-term investments in certain companies.
The CenterPoint auction has been widely watched in the power industry because it includes more than 14,000 megawatts of Texas generating plants, which will likely be the largest sale of power assets by a U.S. company this year. The sale comes amid a debate over whether CenterPoint can charge customers to recover so-called stranded costs in plant investments. Under regulatory rate rules, CenterPoint is currently arguing to state regulators that the generating plants it is selling are actually worth much less than what the winning bidders have agreed to pay. If it succeeds in its argument, then CenterPoint would be able to charge its Houston area utility customers higher rates.

Pettitte stops Stros skid

Andy Pettitte pitched a season-high eight innings as the Stros extended the D-Backs losing streak to 10 in a 5-2 victory on Wednesday night at the BOB in Phoenix.
Pettitte (6-3), who was 1-2 in his previous six starts, pitched in Phoenix for the first time since losing Games 2 and 6 of the 2001 World Series for the New York Yankees. He took a five-hit shutout into the eighth in this game before allowing Scott Hairston‘s double and Steve Finley‘s tater, which pulled the D-Backs to 3-2. Brad Lidge made things interesting by walking two in the ninth, but finally secured the save.
Carlos Beltran and Craig Biggio each hit a solo yak for Stros, who had 10 hits, but continued their season long trend of leaving 14 runners on base.
Roy O goes for the Stros tonight as they attempt to put a winning streak together at the expense of the hapless D-Backs. The Stros return to the Juice Box for a weekend series with the Brew Crew after their quick trip to Phoenix.