Until Proven Innocent

Until%20Proven%20Innocent.jpgJeffrey Rosen reviews Stuart Taylor and K.C. Johnson’s book on the angry mob that nearly lynched the lives of several young men in the Duke lacrosse team case:

At least ìmany of the journalists misled by [former DA Mike] Nifong eventually adjusted their views as evidence of innocenceî came to light, the authors conclude. Thatís more than can be said for Dukeís ìactivist professors,î 88 of whom signed an inflammatory letter encouraging a rush to judgment by the student protesters who were plastering the campus with wanted posters of the lacrosse team and waving a banner declaring ìCastrate.î Even when confronted with DNA evidence of the playersí innocence, these professors refused to apologize and instead incoherently attacked their critics. In the same spirit, the authors charge, the president of Duke, Richard Brodhead, fired the lacrosse coach, canceled the season and condemned the team members for more than eight months. The pandering Brodhead, in this account, is more concerned about placating faculty ideologues than about understanding the realities of student life on his raunchy campus.

Does the foregoing remind you of the actions of another group of self-righteous crusaders?

What makes us healthy?

Healthy_Food.jpgGary Taubes, a writer for Science magazine, is the author of the soon-to-be-released book Good Calories, Bad Calories: Challenging the Conventional Wisdom on Diet, Weight Control and Disease (Knopf September 25, 2007). He provides a don’t miss preview of his book in this past Sunday’s New York Times:

Many explanations have been offered to make sense of the here-today-gone-tomorrow nature of medical wisdom ó what we are advised with confidence one year is reversed the next ó but the simplest one is that it is the natural rhythm of science. An observation leads to a hypothesis. The hypothesis (last yearís advice) is tested, and it fails this yearís test, which is always the most likely outcome in any scientific endeavor. There are, after all, an infinite number of wrong hypotheses for every right one, and so the odds are always against any particular hypothesis being true, no matter how obvious or vitally important it might seem. [. . .]
The dangerous game being played here, as David Sackett, a retired Oxford University epidemiologist, has observed, is in the presumption of preventive medicine. The goal of the endeavor is to tell those of us who are otherwise in fine health how to remain healthy longer. But this advice comes with the expectation that any prescription given ó whether diet or drug or a change in lifestyle ó will indeed prevent disease rather than be the agent of our disability or untimely death. With that presumption, how unambiguous does the evidence have to be before any advice is offered? [. . .]
Richard Peto, professor of medical statistics and epidemiology at Oxford University, phrases the nature of the conflict this way: ìEpidemiology is so beautiful and provides such an important perspective on human life and death, but an incredible amount of rubbish is published,î by which he means the results of observational studies that appear daily in the news media and often become the basis of public-health recommendations about what we should or should not do to promote our continued good health. [. . .]
All of this suggests that the best advice is to keep in mind the law of unintended consequences. The reason clinicians test drugs with randomized trials is to establish whether the hoped-for benefits are real and, if so, whether there are unforeseen side effects that may outweigh the benefits. If the implication of an epidemiologistís study is that some drug or diet will bring us improved prosperity and health, then wonder about the unforeseen consequences. In these cases, itís never a bad idea to remain skeptical until somebody spends the time and the money to do a randomized trial and, contrary to much of the history of the endeavor to date, fails to refute it.

Read the entire article.

Another reminder of Stros mismanagement

Alex-Rodriguez.jpgAs noted earlier here, I am not as sure as most that Tim Purpura deserved to be canned as the Stros general manager. But there were definitely reasons that justified the move, one of which we are reminded of in this excellent Dan Rosenhack/NY Times article on why New York Yankees star Alex Rodiguez will not be worth the money that some team will pay him this off-season after he opts out of his contract with the Yankees:

Few free agents actually produce enough revenue to justify their contracts, and $30 million annually for Rodriguez would not be as outlandish as, say, the $17 million a season that the Astros gave to Carlos Lee last off-season.

At the time the Stros acquired Lee, I expressed the same sentiments. Lee’s stat line for the season to date is a decent 14 RCAA/.350 OBA/.521 SLG/.871 OPS/29 HR’s/111 RBI’s. But that’s not close to the production that one would reasonably expect from a $17 million per year player.

2007 Weekly local football review

Walter%20and%20Barber.jpg(AP Photo/Mike McCarn)
Houston Texans 34 Carolina 21

Don’t pinch me. The Texans (2-0) have now won four straight games (previous weekly reviews are here)!
In a game strangely reminiscent of how the Texans used to lose games, Carolina (1-1) zoomed out to a 14-0 first quarter lead only to have the Texans reel off 34 straight points over the next two and a half quarters to put this one away. After giving up those two first quarter TD’s, the Texans’ defense stiffened and sacked the Panthers’ QB Jake Delhomme three times while forcing three fumbles and an interception and holding Carolina to 66 rushing yards rushing. Texans QB Matt Schaub was a solid 20-28 for 227 yards and two TD passes to WR Andre Johnson (who, by the way, sprained a knee and may be out for awhile), and reborn RB Ahman Green rushed for 71 yards and a TD to lead the Texans. But this one was put away by a heady special teams play when CB Demarcus Faggins stripped Carolina returner Nick Goings of the ball on the kickoff after Green’s TD and Texans WR Kevin Walter recovered the fumble in the end zone for a gift TD. That made the score 31-14 early in the third quarter and even the incredible Carolina WR Steve Smith couldn’t bring get the Panthers back into the game. The Texans host Peyton Manning and the defending Super Bowl champion Colts (2-0) next Sunday in what is sure to be rockin’ Reliant Stadium.

Houston Cougars 34 Tulane 10

The Coogs (1-1) cruised into the Superdome and creamed Tulane (0-2) despite leaving 3 TD’s on the field with turnovers. Even without an established QB, the Cougars rolled up over 500 yards total offense and the defense looked much improved from the first game debacle against Oregon. The Coogs return home next Saturday to face a Colorado State (0-2) team that has played both Colorado and Cal close.

Texas Tech 59 Rice 24

Riceís mid-second-quarter comeback drive brought the Owls to within 21-17 of the Red Raiders, but then Tech reeled off 35 straight points over the next 25 minutes to turn this one into a rout. Tech QB Graham Harrell thew six TD passes, three of which went to super WR Michael Crabtree, who had 11 catches for 245 yards. Rumor has it that the Marching Owl Band was attempting to organize a party for the players of both teams after the game to introduce the members of the Rice secondary to Crabtree. The Owls continue the sacrifical lamb portion of their schedule next week at Austin against the Longhorns (3-0).

Texas Longhorns 35 Central Florida 32

Speaking of the Horns, they pulled out the victory over Central Florida despite losing the lead in the 4th quarter and looking utterly undeserving of the 6th place ranking in the national polls. Despite the Longhorns’ undefeated record, I see all sorts of problems with this team — iffy run defense, overall lackluster linebacker play, an inconsistent rushing attack and questionable deep ball threats outside of WR Limas Sweed, who did not play much in this game because of a sprained ankle. After a scrimmage against Rice (0-3) next Saturday at Austin, the Horns play Kansas State (2-1) before their annual matchup with Oklahoma (3-0). The Horns definitely do not look ready for the Sooners.

Texas Aggies 54 Louisiana-Monroe 14

The Ags (3-0) dominated this scrimmage over hapless ULM (0-3) in a warmup for the Ags’ nationally-televised game this Thursday night against Miami (2-1) at the Orange Bowl. Miami is not very good this season, having already been blasted by Oklahoma 59-13. However, before getting too confident, Aggie fans should consider that, one week after the Ags eeked out a 3OT victory over Fresno State, Oregon creamed the Bulldogs, 52-21.

Jane Fonda, global warmer

jane_fonda_1.jpgFreakonomics authors Stephen J. Dubner and Steven D. Levitt discover the not insubstantial impact that actress Jane Fonda has had on the United States’ continued reliance on coal and other fossil fuels rather than clean and cheap nuclear energy.
Of course, Larry Ribstein has been writing about this phenomenom for years.

A great ambassador for baseball?

LasordaTommy03.jpgWe already know that Chronicle baseball reporter Jose de Jesus Ortiz does not bother to engage in even elementary levels of research before writing his articles. However, the following blurb in a recent column reflects atrocious research by even Ortiz’s dubious standards:

Hall of Fame manager Tommy Lasorda, truly one of the greatest ambassadors for baseball during his lifetime, will celebrate his 80th birthday Saturday.
He shares that birthday with former Astros pitcher/broadcaster/manager Larry Dierker, one of the best ambassadors for Houston baseball for the last 43 years. Dierker turns 61 on Saturday.
Lasorda was honored with a pregame ceremony Friday night at Dodger Stadium with a video tribute on Dodgervision. Fans also received a bobblehead of the former manager.
“I am so very grateful the Dodgers are honoring my birthday with such a special bobblehead,” he said.

That Lasorda is a wonderful “ambassador” for baseball is one of those myths that just won’t go away. In reality, he was a marginal manager of Dodger teams with generally good personnel who has about as abrasive a personality as one can imagine. It is a travesty that Dierker — who really is a classy man — has his name linked with Lasorda. For a dose of Lasorda’s true character, check out the following video of Lasorda’s tirades from over the years (warning for even the not easily offended: Very foul language):

Gambon on acting

sir-michael-gambon.jpgSir Michael Gambon is one of the finest character actors of our day. In the brief video below (h/t to my son, Cody), he brilliantly explains his theory on acting. Enjoy.

The Texans’ valuable brand

Reliant%20Stadium%20at%20night%20091507.jpgForbes‘ annual valuation of National Football League franchises (related article here) was published this week, and the annual survey rates the Houston Texans as the fourth most valuable in the NFL at $1.056 billion (the Dallas Cowboys top the list this year at $1.5 billion). The value of public financing of stadiums has a huge impact on the valuations as all of the top 10 most valuable teams are the beneficiaries of either new stadiums or stadiums currently under construction. Several observations:

The Texans will probably decline in rank a bit in another year or two as the value of the Giants and Jets increases in response to the opening of their new stadium;
If you assume that Bud Adams’ Houston Oilers would have been worth at least as much as the Texans had they remained in Houston and awaited a new stadium rather than taking flight to Nashville to become the Tennessee Titans, then Adams left over a cool $100 million on the table by making that move. And the difference in value between the Texans and the Titans is increasing;
A new stadium is not always a gold mine in terms of increasing a team’s value. The Cardinals and the Lions have two of the newest stadiums in the NFL, but they are ranked only 23rd and 24th respectively out of the 32 NFL teams in terms of value;
Who would have ever thought that the San Francisco 49ers would be among the lowest valued NFL franchises (30th) and worth less than the Jacksonville Jaguars, the Oakland Raiders and the Buffalo Bills?

Stossel on “Sicko”

health_care%20091407.jpgABC News investigative reporter John Stossel provides this WSJ ($) op-ed in yesterday’s paper in preparation for his long-awaited ABC special on America’s health care and health care finance system tonight at 9 p.m., CDT:

Mr. [Michael] Moore [in his documentary “Sicko”] claims that because private insurance companies are driven by profit, they will always deny care to deserving patients. For this reason, he argues, profit-making health-insurance companies should be abolished, our health- care dollars turned over to the government, and the U.S. should institute a health-care system like the ones in Canada, Britain or France. [. . .]
Mr. Moore thinks that profit is the enemy and government is the answer. The opposite is true. Profit is what has created the amazing scientific innovations that the U.S. offers to the world. If government takes over, innovation slows, health care is rationed, and spending is controlled by politicians more influenced by the sob story of the moment than by medical science.

The most loyal pro football fans

180px-Cleveland_Browns_helmet_rightface_white_facemask.pngThe Texans have developed a pretty impressive and loyal local fan base, particularly given the team’s lack of success so far in its first five NFL seasons. But as loyal as Texans fans are, they don’t hold a candle to Cleveland Browns fans, whose once legendary team was stolen from them (that team is now the Baltimore Ravens) and then reincarnated a few years before the Texans were created as one of the worst expansion franchises in the history of the NFL. As this News-Herald article reports, the Browns are now the answer to a new NFL trivia question:

Since the NFL/AFL merger in 1970, which team named a starting quarterback for its first game and then traded that player before its second one?
(Answer: Browns starter Charlie Frye was traded to the Seattle Seahawks on Tuesday for a sixth-round draft pick.)

Moreover, while their Browns were getting thumped at home 34-7 by the Steelers this past Sunday, get a load of what the capacity crowd at the Browns stadium endured in the first offensive series of the season by the Browns:

1st and 10 from the Cleveland 20: Jamal Lewis rush for 2 yards (this was the high point of the series).
2nd and 8 from the 22: Charlie Frye pass incomplete.
3rd and 8 from the 22 Charlie Frye sacked at the Browns 17 for a 5 yard loss.
4th and 13 from the 17: Browns punter Paul Ernster “booms” a 15 yarder to the Cleveland 32. But that’s just the beginning of the incompetence on that particular play. Look at the rest of the stat line for that fourth Browns play of the season:
Penalty on CLV-35-J.Harrison, Defensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at CLV 32.
Penalty on CLV-90-D.McMillan, Defensive Holding, declined.
Penalty on CLV-56-A.Peek, Illegal Formation, declined.
Penalty on CLV, Ineligible Downfield Kick, declined.

So, to recap, on their first offensive series of the season, the Browns had a 2 yard rush, an incomplete pass, a sack, and a 15 yard punt with four penalties. The Steelers took possession of the ball at the Cleveland 22 and scored a touchdown four plays later.
There is a special place in football heaven for Cleveland Browns fans. ;^)