Kolata on Good Calories, Bad Calories

Good%20calories%2C%20bad%20calories.jpgNY Times nutrition columnist Gina Kolata (previous posts here) reviews Gary Taubes’ new book, Good Calories, Bad Calories: Challenging the Conventional Wisdom on Diet, Weight Control and Disease (Knopf September, 2007), which was previewed earlier here. Kolata observes:

His thesis, first introduced in a much-debated article in The New York Times Magazine in 2002 challenging the low-fat diet orthodoxy, is that nutrition and public health research and policy have been driven by poor science and a sort of pigheaded insistence on failed hypotheses. As a result, people are confused and misinformed about the relationship between what they eat and their risk of growing fat. He expands that thesis in the new book, arguing that the same confused reasoning and poor science has led to misconceptions about the relation between diet and heart disease, high blood pressure, cancer, dementia, diabetes and, again, obesity. When it comes to determining the ideal diet, he says, we have to ìconfront the strong possibility that much of what weíve come to believe is wrong.î [. . .]
Taubes convincingly shows that much of what is believed about nutrition and health is based on the flimsiest science. To cite one minor example, thereís the notion that a tiny bit of extra food, 50 or 100 calories a day ó a few bites of a hamburger, say ó can gradually make you fat, and that eating a tiny bit less each day, or doing something as simple as walking a mile, can make the weight slowly disappear. This idea is based on a hypothesis put forth in a single scientific paper, published in 2003. And even then it was qualified, Taubes reports, by the statement that it was ìtheoretical and involves several assumptionsî and that it ìremains to be empirically tested.î Nonetheless, it has now become the basis for an official federal recommendation for obesity prevention.
But the problem with a book like this one, which goes on and on in great detail about experiments new and old in areas ranging from heart disease to cancer to diabetes, is that it can be hard to know what has been left out. [. . .[
. . . I kept wondering how he would deal with an obvious question. If low-carbohydrate diets are so wonderful, why is anyone fat? Most people who struggle with their weight have tried these diets and nearly all have regained everything they lost, as they do with other diets. What is the problem?
On Page 446, he finally tells us. Carbohydrates, he says, are addictive, and weíve all gotten hooked. Those who try to break the habit start to crave them, just as an alcoholic craves a drink or a smoker craves a cigarette. But, he adds, if they are addictive, that ìimplies that the addiction can be overcome with sufficient time, effort and motivation.î
Iím sorry, but Iím not convinced.

John Tierney comments, too.

An interesting variation on the Nigerian email scam

luciano-pavarotti1.jpgI’ve had my email address for a long time, so I get a receive a lot of spam, which I ignore.
However, I thought I’d already seen every possible variation of the Nigeriam email scam imaginable, but I have to admit the one below that I received a few days ago is more imaginative than most:

From: rebzxxxxxxxxxxxx@peoplepc.com
Luciano Pavarotti (Next Of Kin)
Dear Sir,
My writing to you should be surprising but itís not a mistake because I believe that I could confide in you on this business deal which would be highly beneficial to both of us only that you should promise me that you would not disappoint me at the conclusion of this deal. The main reason why I am contacting you today is to seek your assistance but firstly let me introduce myself before proceeding to the purpose of this letter.
I am Graham Robson Wallace from London in the United Kingdom and I worked as a personal assistant and attorney to one Luciano Pavarotti who died of pancreatic cancer on the September 06, 2007. I was so close to him that on the 27th of June 2005, before his untimely death, he deposited the sum of Thirty-Seven Million Dollars (US$37M) in the custody of a Security Company in London and Holland and this deposit was made known to me alone. The problem now is that these Security Company has written to me few days ago requesting that I provide the beneficiary and next of kin to the deposited fund hence the real depositor is dead.
I would have claimed the money but the company already knows me as the late Luciano Pavarotti’s attorney and personal assistant. So that is why I am contacting you just to present you as the bonafide beneficiary and next of kin to the said fund and I would provide all necessary documents to back up the claim but you must promise me that you wonít disappear into tin air by the time the fund is remitted into you account and also bare in mind that you would be entitled to 35% of the said fund, though the percentage sharing is negotiable.
Please signify your interest by providing me the following: This is to enable me commence immediate preparation of all legal document that will back up our claim.
1. Full Name :
2. Your Telephone Number and Fax Number
3. Your Contact Address.
Your urgent response will be highly appreciated.
Best regards,
Mr. Graham R. Wallace

Based on this earlier post about the late Pavarotti, it doesn’t sound as if he had $37 million laying around to give to Mr. Wallace. ;^)

2007 Weekly local football review

Mack%20Brown.jpg(AP photo/Mike Stone)
Oklahoma 28 Texas Longhorns 21

In an entertaining revival of the Red River Rivalry (previous weekly summaries here), the Sooners (5-1) edged the Longhorns (4-2) by taking advantage of two 2nd half turnovers by Texas RB Jamaal Charles. One of Charles’ two turnovers was technically an interception, but he allowed the ball to bounce off his hands, so he should have had it. My sense is that Horns head coach Mack Brown should be about at the end of his rope with the turnover-prone Charles, who was clearly the difference between these closely-matched teams. The Horns go on the road next weekend to play Iowa State (1-5), which is coached by former Texas defensive coordinator Gene Chizik.

Houston Texans 22 Miami 19

Texans’ (3-2) kicker Kris Brown’s career day (five FG’s of 54, 43, 54, 20 and the game winner of 57) pulls out the win over Miami (0-5), which may be the NFL’s worst team. Not much to say after the Texans struggle to secure a victory at home over a winless team that was using a backup quarterback. The Texans take their non-existent running game on the road next weekend at division rival Jacksonville (3-1).

Texas Aggies 24 Oklahoma State 23

Coach Fran’s job was hanging by a thread from the top deck of Kyle Field in this one as the listless Aggies (5-1) trailed the Cowboys (3-3) 17-0 at halftime. But 275 lbs RB Jorvorskie Lane bulled in for a couple of TD’s, threw a 50 yard pass to set up another and caught a TD pass to bring the Aggies back in the second half. Despite the thrilling win, I see little that makes me believe that the Aggies will be able to slow down Texas Tech’s (5-1) high-powered offense next Saturday in Lubbock. Tech’s defense is in disarray, though, so who knows? The game at Tech begins a brutal stretch for the Ags in whcih they will play Texas Tech, Nebraska, Oklahoma and Missouri on the road as Coach Fran’s job hangs in the balance.

Alabama 30 Houston Cougars 24

The Coogs (2-3) looked dead in the water after the 1st quarter in this one, but then dominated Alabama over the final three quarters and were within a final pass play into the end zone of pulling the major upset over the Crimson Tide (4-2). The Cougars now must regroup after two straight close losses before taking on crosstown rival and well-rested Rice (1-4) at Robertson Stadium next Saturday.

Rice 31 Southern Miss 29

With just over 12 minutes left in the game, the Owls (1-4) were driving for another score while cruising with a surprising 31-7 lead over the Eagles (2-3). But then, the Owls missed a chip shot FG and less than ten minutes later, they had to stop a two-point conversion to salvage the win. The Owls take on Houston (2-3) Saturday at Robertson Stadium in their annual crosstown rivalry.

Stros 2007 Review, Part Ten: Season Recap and Report Card

Houston_Astros2.jpgIt’s been a week now since the Craig Biggio Farewell Tour drew to a close during the final eighth of the Stros’ disappointing 2007 season. With the end of the season, the tremendously successful Biggio-Bagwell era in the history of the Stros has officially ended. Accordingly, it’s a good time to step back and assess where the Stros are and where they are going.
The final eighth of the season reflected the modest improvement in the play of the club over the final third or so of the season. The Stros (73-89) had an 11-10 record over their final 21 games to finish with only their second losing season during the Biggio-Bagwell era and since Drayton McLane acquired the club in 1993. They continued their season trend of being a National League-average hitting team with a far below National League-average pitching staff. The Stros hitters finished the season generating a precisely National League-average number of runs, (RCAA, explained here), which was tied for 8th among the 16 National League teams. On the other hand, the pitching staff gave up an atrocious 79 more runs than an average National League pitching staff would have given up in the same number of innings (RSAA, explained here), which was 15th and better only than the Pirates’ sorry staff among National League teams.
The club’s record during each of this season’s eight segments are below with a brief description of the segment (the first and final segments each covered 21 games due to the MLB 162-game schedule):
Season Preview – A downturn looks likely.
1st: 9-12 – Stros lose 5 of first 6, win 8 of next 9, then lose next 6.
2nd: 11-9 – Rookie sensation Hunter Pence bursts on the scene.
3rd: 6-14 – Oh my. Stros lose 10 straight while being outscored 72-20.
4th: 8-12 – Poor pitching becomes the norm as Bidg gets his 3,000th.
5th: 10-10 – It’s time to preserve and develop assets for the future.
6th: 10-10 – Treading water.
7th: 8-12 – The future doesn’t look as bad as this season.
8th: 11-10 – As the Biggio-Bagwell era ends, the club prepares for the future.
The downturn in the Stros’ pitching this season was a bitter disappointment for McLane, who ended up cleaning house as a result of that downturn and the gradual deterioration of the Stros farm system over the past 10 years. As the chart below reflects, a club can generally compete with above-average pitching and below-average hitting, but the opposite is generally not the case:
RCAARSAA%20chart.gif
Despite the bottoming out of the Stros this season, I have been surprised of the widespread criticism of McLane’s stewardship of the club. He has been the best owner that the Stros have ever had and the club has been one of the most consistently above-average teams in Major League Baseball during his 14 year ownership tenure. Although he bears a part of the responsibility for the deterioration of the farm system over the past 10 years, McLane wasn’t the one selecting the players. After logically promoting from within at the end of the successful tenure of former general manager Gerry Hunsicker, McLane quite reasonably decided to clean house and bring in a new GM from outside the organization when it became clear during this season that the club had bottomed out, the Jason Jennings trade had been mishandled, and the 2007 draft was pretty much an unmitigated disaster.
Ed%20Wade.jpgAs for McLane’s hiring of former Phillies GM Ed Wade as the new Stros GM, my sense is that it was a reasonable move. Wade is about the same age as Hunsicker and has basically the same experience in management of an MLB club as the former Stros GM. Wade’s track record with the Phillies was that he drafted reasonably well, but didn’t trade as well as he drafted young players. He developed a solid nucleus at Philadelphia that has become the best offensive team in the National League this past season (139 RCAA!), but he generally struggled to add the necessary supporting pieces – particularly on the pitching staff – to put the Phillies over the hump in the NL East against both the Braves and the Mets. Ironically, one of Wade’s first tasks with the Stros (in addition to overhauling the scouting system) will be to do what he struggled to accomplish with the Phillies – patch up the Stros’ broken-down pitching staff.
As noted earlier here, the Stros are not as far away from returning to contention in the NL Central as their record this season indicates. As I recommended at mid-season, Stros management used the second half of the season to preserve and develop the club’s assets. A nucleus of above-average hitters finally exists that has the potential next season to generate the first above National League-average hitting club since the 2004 team. The club appears to have a reasonably solid group of veteran and young pitchers to compete for the no. 3 through 5 spots in the rotation behind the club’s ace, Roy Oswalt. As was the case before the 2007 season, the Stros primary need for the 2008 season is to come up with at least one and preferably two veterans to compete for the no. 2 spot in the pitching rotation. Inasmuch as the Cubs won the NL Central with a pitching-dominant 60 net RCAA/RSAA score (118 RSAA/-58 RCAA), the fastest way for the Stros (-79 net RCAA/RSSA score) can begin making up that 139 run deficit is to shore up the club’s pitching staff.
The following is my report card for each of the Stros this season, which you may want to compare with the report card from last season. Full season statistics follow the report card and the Stros 40-man roster is here with a hyperlink to each player’s statistics and other information:

Continue reading

More on the Kent case

10-3-SamuelKent.jpgChronicle reporters Lise Olsen and Harvey Rice follow up on their previous coverage of the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals reprimand of U.S. District Judge Sam Kent with this Sunday Chronicle article, which includes the following tidbits:

The episodes of alleged abuse began a decade ago and involved at least three employees, according to interviews with two women and with attorney Rusty Hardin, who represents the third.
In the most recent incident, the judge was accused of inappropriately touching a female case manager in his chambers in March. [. . .]
As the only federal district judge in Galveston, Kent is the ranking federal official in a small fiefdom. The power of his lifetime appointment is reflected by the fear of attorneys and former court employees, who generally declined comment.

The Volokh Conspiracy’s Ilya Somin, who once clerked at the Fifth Circuit and has been following the Kent matter closely, has some interesting observations about the latest Chronicle article.
The Galveston Daily News also provides this special section on the Kent matter, and the Wikipedia site on Judge Kent has also become a good source of information.

A good Sunday story

poodle-kennel.jpgOne of my many beautiful and talented nieces passes along this delightful story carrying on my family’s legacy in medicine. Enjoy.

Rosett on the Wyatt trial

Oscar%20Wyatt%20100507.gifClaudia Rosett is a journalist in residence with the Foundation for Defense of Democracies who has written extensively about the U.S. Oil-for-Food program and resulting scandal that recently snared the plea bargain conviction of longtime Houston oilman, Oscar S. Wyatt, Jr. (previous posts here). Rosett attended Wyatt’s trial in New York and this Wall Street Journal op-ed on the aftermath of Wyatt’s plea bargain pretty much confirms my earlier speculation that Wyatt cut a good deal for himself under the circumstances:

Star witnesses facing Wyatt from the stand included two former Iraqi officials, Mubdir Al-Khudair and Yacoub Y. Yacoub. They have never before been questioned in a public setting, and were relocated to the U.S. by federal authorities this past year to protect them against retaliation in Iraq for cooperating in this probe.
Messrs. Khudair and Yacoub described a system corrupt to the core. Their duties inside Saddam Hussein’s bureaucracy consisted largely, and officially, of handling and keeping track of kickbacks. That included who had paid and how much, and via which front companies. When Saddam’s regime systematized its Oil for Food kickback demands across the board in 2000, keeping track of the graft flowing into Saddam’s secret coffers became a job so extensive that the marketing arm of Iraq’s Ministry of Oil, known as SOMO (State Oil Marketing Organization) developed an electronic database to track the flow of the “surcharges,” as they were called.
To show how this worked, prosecutors last week produced a silver laptop onto which Saddam’s entire oil kickback database had been downloaded by Mr. Yacoub, from backup copies he made just before the 2003 U.S.-led invasion of Iraq. With the laptop display projected onto a big screen before the jury, Mr. Yacoub booted up the system and into a query box typed “Coastal,” the name of Wyatt’s former oil company. Up came itemized lists of millions of dollars worth of surcharges he testified that Wyatt’s company, or affiliated fronts, had paid to the Iraqi regime. These were broken down not only chronologically, but according to which front companies Mr. Yacoub said had channeled the money.

Read the entire piece. Brett Clanton of the Chronicle adds this report on how the Wyatt case highlights the perils of doing business in foreign hotspots. Interesting stuff.

Slade elects not to testify

slade%20100507.jpgThe defense rested Thursday in the criminal trial of former Texas Southern University president Priscilla Slade (previous posts here) without the defendant taking the stand in her own defense. Slade told the Chronicle that she felt “wonderful” about the conclusion of her defense, while defense counsel Mike DeGeurin explained on the courthouse steps that “the defendant never testifies if the state has not proven their case. That’s just a given rule.”
Maybe so, but as noted here and here in connection with a couple of other high profile cases, the decision not to testify in white collar criminal cases is risky. Juries in white collar cases expect to hear from the defendant, and when they don’t, they commonly hold against the defendant. That’s not it’s supposed to work, but that’s the reality. As the late Edward Bennett Williams used to advise his white collar criminal clients, “If you elect not to testify, then you better bring your toothbrush with you to the courthouse.”
The prosecution finished its rebuttal portion of its case on Thursday. The jury is off on Friday as the judge and lawyers finalize the jury instructions. Final arguments are scheduled to begin on Monday.

Primers for Stoneridge v. Scientific-Atlanta

golfplated%20scales%20100507.jpgOral argument in the U.S. Supreme Court will take place next Monday on one of the most important business cases of our time — the Stoneridge Investment Partners v. Scientific-Atlanta case involving the issue of secondary liability for companies that do business with a company that commits securities fraud (previous posts here). As usual, Larry Ribstein lucidly explains the importance this case, which could have a material impact on the creation of wealth and jobs in America. This OpinionJournal editorial also does an excellent job of explaining the background of the case.
In anticipation of the oral argument, a couple of excellent webcasts of conferences are taking place this morning discussing the public policy and legal issues invovled in this important case. The Federalist Society and Case Western Reserve Law are sponsoring a conference at Case Western in Cleveland, which will include UCLA Law corporate law expert Stephen Bainbridge and Jim Copland, the director of the Center for Legal Policy at the Manhattan Institute.
Meanwhile, at 9 a.m. EDT, the American Enterprise Institute Legal Center for the Public Interest in Washington is hosting its own Stoneridge conference that will include as panelists former SEC chairman Harvey Pitt and AEI Legal Center director, Ted Frank.
If you are at all involved or interested in business law, there won’t be many better opportunites to earn CLE credit than watching one or both of these panel discussions.
Update: Point of Law.com provides this eight minute podcast of Jim Copland interviewing Richard A. Epstein on Stoneridge.
Update: The transcript of the oral argument is here and Case Western has provided this handy Stoneridge resource page providing a ton of useful information on the case.

Longhorn trepidation on the eve of Texas-OU Weekend

cotton%20Bowl.jpegIt’s the annual Texas-OU Weekend in Dallas and with two straight Red River rivalry victories under their belt, one would think that the Texas Longhorns would be feeling reasonably confident coming into this year’s game.
Don’t count on it.
As noted in last week’s local football report, the Horns were manhandled by Kansas State at home after looking unimpressive through the first four games of the season. The loss hurled the Horns out of the Top 10 of the polls, although UT did retain a spot in at least this Top 10 poll.
Meanwhile, Longhorn fan Ida Mae Crimpton reports from her front porch in Elgin that all is not well in the Longhorn nation after the Kansas State debacle:

Well, things were so bad after last weekend’s loss to Kansas State that Mack didn’t even come out of his office to talk with the team after the game was over. So defensive coordinator Duane Akina took over for him. Coach Akina told the guys he was real proud of them except for “that first quarter Kansas State touchdown pass that Marcus (Griffin) should have stoppedÖand that 41 yard interception return for a touchdown that anybody on offense could have preventedÖand the 85 yard kick return that the punter should have stoppedÖand the 89 yard punt return that my grandmother could have stoppedÖand the 2 yard touchdown run in the fourth quarterÖand, oh yeah, those two field goals that nobody even tried to blockÖ” Then, I guess the lecture sort of snowballed because you could tell coach Akina was getting madder and madder because that knobby fat area on the back of his neck was swelling up and getting real red.
Then he asked Colt if he planned to play professional sports after graduation and when Colt said “yeah” coach Akina suggested that he might consider women’s professional soccer. Next, he turned to Jamaal who had been fiddling with his cell phone and asked him if he was having any personal problems or trouble with his studies (which brought a few snickers from the back of the teamÖ). Jamaal said “no sir” so coach Akina asked him why he was running like he was wearing flip-flops? At that point coach Akina asked if coach Davis had anything he’d like to say to the team, but he said he didn’t, or at least that’s what he might have said because it was hard to hear him over the sobbing coming from behind Mack’s office door.

Could all of this augur for a return to the days of Mack Brown’s Stoops Curse?
Tune in tomorrow at 2:30 p.m., CDT on ABC to find out.