Starting a little early, don’t you think?

PhotographerThe NFL’s lockout of players isn’t even resolved yet and the Chronicle’s head Texans cheerleader — Richard Justice — is already trotting out a pre-season puff piece on the Texans’ latest savior, new defensive coordinator Wade Phillips. As noted many times before, Justice has a propensity for such blather.

Phillips is the equivalent of NFL coaching royalty, the son of revered former Oilers coach, Bum Phillips. However, as noted here years ago, Wade is not a chip off the old block, at least in terms of being a successful NFL head coach.

But to sycophants such as Justice, Phillips’ failures as a head coach don’t make any difference because he remains a successful defensive coordinator.

The problem with that theory is that it’s not balanced. As this Mac Engel post notes, the bottom-line performance of teams that included Phillips-coached defenses has not been all that impressive, either.

Moreover, as noted by Alan Burge – who runs rings around the likes of Justice in providing objective analysis of the Texans – it’s not as if the Texans have an easy early schedule for Phillips to ease the Texans’ defensive personnel into his new 3-4 scheme.

And, by the way, remember what happened the last time the Texans converted from a 4-3 defensive scheme to a 3-4?

Phillips is the first experienced defensive coordinator that Texans head coach Gary Kubiak has hired, so perhaps that background will help in developing the Texans’ young defensive talent into an effective unit.

But Justice ignores the substantial evidence that the Texans have again elevated form over substance in relying on Phillips to turn around one of the worst expansion franchises in NFL history.

A special father

Walter KirkendallI am blessed on this special day for fathers ‚Äì and every other day ‚Äì by my remembrances of a special father.

Resolved: America Should Legalize Drugs

Cato_InstituteJeffrey Miron and Robert DuPont, M.D. debate at the Cato Institute whether the governmental policy of drug prohibition should be continued or ended.

Energy Economics 101

Beware-of-DemagoguesSounds as if Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders and Connecticut Senator Richard Blumenthal missed Energy Economics 101 in school. But that doesn’t stop them from publicizing their utter ignorance (H/T Byron Hood) of basic energy economics:

Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt. introduced legislation today  that would require the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to impose strict regulations on oil speculators, who some blame for rising gasoline prices.

Sanders said if the agency failed to meet the two-week deadline outlined in his legislation, he would call for the resignation of commission chair Gary Gensler.

The legislation, if passed, would cap the amount of oil that speculators are allowed to buy and sell annually to 20 million barrels, increase the amount of money investors would have to back bets with from 6 to 12 percent and redefine investment banks as speculators rather than hedgers – investors who use the product they are buying for business.

The bill would limit speculators’ influence over the energy futures market. [.  .  .]

“There is mounting evidence that the increased price of gasoline has nothing to do with supply and demand and everything to do with Wall Street speculators jacking up oil and gas prices in the energy futures market,” Sanders said. [.  .  .]

Sen. Richard Blumenthal, D-Conn., a co-sponsor of the bill, said: “These price increases have been absolutely crushing. We need to attack these increasing prices that are the result of gaming and gambling. The CFTC should have acted five months ago.” [. . .]

The instinct of most politicians and much of the mainstream media is to embrace simple “villain and victim” morality plays when attempting to explain price increases in markets or investment loss.

The more nuanced story about the financial decisions that underlie the market fluctuations doesn’t garner enough votes or sell enough newspapers to generate much interest from the politicians or muckrakers.

That’s why we are again enduring demagoguery regarding speculators. Thus, it’s important that citizens who are not familiar with the function of speculation in markets take a moment to learn about its beneficial nature.

For example, check out Mark Perry’s excellent primer on futures trading here, here and here.

Or read University of Houston finance professor Craig Pirrong’s fine overview of how speculation in oil and gas markets actually helps all of us in dealing with rising energy prices.

Or peruse this Matthew Lynn/Bloomberg piece on how bubbles in oil markets are a reason to celebrate.

In Texas, one has to look no farther than Southwest Airlines’ success to understand the beneficial nature of speculation. Over most of the past decade, Southwest has taken advantage of futures markets to hedge its fuel costs (previous posts on Southwest’s hedging program are here). That hedging program has been one of the major factors in allowing Southwest to become the most (and one of the only) profitable U.S. airlines.

So, what Sanders and Blumenthal are really trying to do is restrict the very markets that provided Southwest and many other businesses with the platform on which they hedged fuel-cost and other business risk. The wealth and lower prices that is generated from those hedges is not inconsequential.

Stay informed fellow citizens. Demagogues such as Sanders and Blumenthal can inflict real damage on all of us.

There’s an app for that diagnosis

Daniel Kraft provides an entertaining overview of medical innovations that will likely redefine the way in which doctors diagnose their patients’ medical problems.

Jenkins at the U.S. Open

Dan-Jenkins-263x300.jpgIt’s U.S. Open week at Congressional Country Club in Bethesda, Maryland, so it’s time for Geoff Shackelford to renew the latest segment of his periodic interviews with Clear Thinkers favorite Dan Jenkins, who is covering his 207th (by my count) major golf championship. Any interview of Jenkins is good fun, but he particularly seems to rise to the occasion around major championships. For example:

Q: It’s Saturday of this year’s U.S. Open and you have a choice between watching the third round at Congressional or Obama v. Boehner whapping it around at Andrews Air Force Base. What do you choose?

“I wouldn’t watch politicians do anything if it was happening in my retina.”

Also, Jenkins’ twitter feed during the week of any major golf tournament is highly entertaining. Here is his Twitter review of Adam Schupak’s new book on former PGA Tour Commissioner, Deane Beman:

“New book out on Deane Beman. My review in one sentence: Deane never lost a conversation.”

Meanwhile, check out this slick Golf.com map and overview of the Congressional golf course (Bradley Klein chimes in with a good background piece on the course here). The U.S. Open’s site also provides interesting flyovers of each hole along with a narrated description.

Game on!

Give’em the Wild Turkey Bird

In our continuing series of creative commercials, Wild Turkey whiskey chimes in with a clever one to start the week.

Wisdom from Terry Teachout

TerryTeachoutMy experience is that good commencement speeches are rare, but I know a good one when I read one. And this one by drama critic Terry Teachout is one of the best that I’ve read in years. Short, clever and insightful, Teachout weaves in a profound exchange from the movie Bull Durham and a funny anecdote about the legendary actor Rex Harrison and Broadway producer Leland Hayward. Then, he concludes with the following sage advice:

If there’s ever a time in life for you to shoot high, it’s now. So take a long, cool look at yourself and say, What do I really want out of life? What would keep me interested until the day I die? Do I have a realistic chance to get it? And if you think you do, then go for it. Work as hard to get it as you worked to get your degree here. Settle later, if you must–but don’t spend the rest of your life eating your heart out because you didn’t give it your very best shot right now.

And that’s that. I congratulate you, members of the Class of 2011, for doing something truly remarkable.

Remember: be proud.

Be professional.

Don’t be bored. Enjoy the moment.

And be sure to get a good lunch.