The CIT lesson

CIT-Group Remember C.I.T. Group?

That was the company that Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner orchestrated a $2.3 billion bailout for without requiring debtor-in-possession financing protection. Of course, after that federal bailout, CIT promptly filed for reorganization under chapter 11.

Well, as this WSJ editorial explains, there is a reasonably happy ending to the CIT saga — ìNot only did CIT’s filing not cause the end of the world for its counterparties or customers, but the company quickly emerged from bankruptcy and has embarked on an aggressive turnaround.î

Allocating risk of loss properly is really not rocket science.

Cleese on how to irritate people

You think the TSA is irritating? John Cleese provides a lesson on how to really irritate people.

Why Do We Impose the TSA on Ourselves?

Two items exhibiting the dubious judgment of government bureaucrats caught my attention today.

The first is that Securities and Exchange Commission going to try and make a fraud case against Goldman Sachs. Inasmuch as the SEC couldn’t uncover Bernie Madoff or Stanford Financial’s sketchy affairs despite being told about them, how on earth is the agency going to prove fraud in a transaction between sophisticated investors who knew what was going on? Expect a financial settlement any day now.

Meanwhile, let’s check out another government agency’s bumbling decision-making:

More than thirty organizations across the political spectrum have filed a formal petition with the Department of Homeland Security, urging the federal agency to suspend the airport body scanner program.Leading security expert Bruce Schneier stated, “Body scanners are one more example of security theater.

Last year, the organizations asked Secretary Janet Napolitano to give the public an opportunity to comment on the proposal to expand the body scanner program. Secretary Napolitano rejected the request.

Since that time, evidence has emerged that the privacy safeguards do not work and that the devices are not very effective. “At this point, there is no question that the body scanner program should be shut down. This is the worst type of government boondoggle — expensive, ineffective, and offensive to Constitutional rights and deeply held religious beliefs,” said Marc Rotenberg, President of EPIC.

And if Bruce Schneier‘s opinion isn’t good enough for you, take heed of what a leading security expert who is constantly on the front lines says about the scanners:

A leading Israeli airport security expert says the Canadian government has wasted millions of dollars to install “useless” imaging machines at airports across the country.

“I don’t know why everybody is running to buy these expensive and useless machines. I can overcome the body scanners with enough explosives to bring down a Boeing 747,” Rafi Sela told parliamentarians probing the state of aviation safety in Canada.”That’s why we haven’t put them in our airport,” Sela said, referring to Tel Aviv’s Ben Gurion International Airport, which has some of the toughest security in the world.

Sela, former chief security officer of the Israel Airport Authority and a 30-year veteran in airport security and defense technology, helped design the security at Ben Gurion.

Despite what the experts say, he wasteful airport security process that we have allowed the Transportation Security Administration to impose on us continues unabated at a substantial direct cost and an even greater indirect one.

It’s bad enough that the TSA’s procedures do virtually nothing to discourage serious terrorist threats. What’s worse is that the inspection process is really just “security theater” that makes only a few naive travelers feel safer about airline travel.

And if all that weren’t bad enough, the worst news is that once a governmental “safeguard” such as the TSA procedures are adopted, Congress has no interest in dismantling it even when it’s clear that process is ineffective, expensive and obtrusive to citizens. Stated simply, the TSA has become a jobs program for thousands of registered voters.

James Fallows sums up the absurdity of the situation well:

TSA + defense contractor + security theater vs Israeli expert + Schneier + common sense.

Hmmm, I don’t know what to believe.

The Chronicle and the NFL Draft go in opposite directions

McClain Although I continue not to understand the attraction, the National Football League’s annual draft of players over this past weekend garnered record television ratings.

Meanwhile, Kevin Whited notes that the Houston Chronicle continues to bleed badly in terms of circulation. The local daily posted a staggering 13.77% decline in daily circulation, and a 9.76% decline in Sunday circulation in the latest numbers.

Frankly, the Chronicle’s coverage of the NFL draft is a good case study on why it is losing readers rapidly.

Despite the growing popularity of the draft, the Chronicle’s main sportswriters — John McClain and Richard Justice — serve up cheerleading glop about the Texans’ draft each year even though the local club has been arguably the least successful expansion franchise in NFL history. But for Chron bloggers such as Steph Stradley and Lance Zierlein, there really wouldn’t be anything of substance about the draft to read in the Chronicle. Heck, this breathless Justice column from the other day piece is practically the same as his equally fatuous article about the Texans’ 2007 draft at the time.

As the always-insightful Alan Burge points out, it is silly to evaluate an NFL team’s draft until at least three seasons later because of the nebulous nature of selecting prospects who will turn out to be productive NFL players. And as I noted at the time — the Texans’ 2007 draft was not as impressive as Justice’s flowery evaluation at the time. While Burge is charitable in giving the Texans’ effort a C-minus grade, Justice has yet to realize that his glowing report of Texans management’s performance in the 2007 draft was flat wrong.

Thus, while the Chron continues to run the mailed-in work on popular events, bloggers such as Burge are filling the void with substantive analysis. Consumers eventually notice and gravitate toward the substance and away from the blather.

I wonder whether Chronicle management will notice before it’s too late?

A real bad mix

witch-hunt11 Regular readers of this blog know about the human carnage that results from abuse of the governmentís prosecutorial power.

Also, the immense damage that overly-broad application of child predator laws is inflicting on many citizens has been a frequent topic on this blog.

But, as Bill Anderson has been chronicling over the past month in regard to the Tonya Craft case, when both of these dynamics are involved in a particular case, the results are so troubling that they seem surreal.

We like to think that we have evolved to a point at which witch hunts are no longer possible. But the truth is that we are still quite capable of mounting them.

As Ayn Rand observed about those who abuse state power to further their supposedly altruistic goals:

"[T]he truth about their souls is worse than the obscene excuse you have allowed them, the excuse that the end justifies the means and that the horrors they practice are means to nobler ends."

"The truth is that those horrors are their ends."

How about an NFL auction?

Mel Kiper The most mind-numbing time of the year from a professional sports perspective is clearly the NFL pre-season, but a close second is the NFL Draft, even though some of the reactions that it generates are rather humorous.

But as this Reed Albertotti/WSJ article points out, all this fuss is being made about something that is really obsolescent:

The draft was once an innovative solution for distributing college talent to pro teams, but that was 75 years ago. The economics of pro football have gradually made it less effective, and as the college game becomes increasingly different from the NFL, players have become even more difficult to scout.

What’s surprising is that the NFL, a league with a long history of making sweeping rules changes, hasn’t much changed its draft format since the draft was first held in 1936. Since then, an entire academic-research area known as "market design," a spinoff of the Nobel Prize-winning concept of game theory, has grown exponentially to serve just this purposeóhelping markets operate more efficiently by creating better rules and procedures to govern them.

And the best alternative would actually make the draft much more fun to watch ñ an old-fashioned auction of players:

Three researchers at Harvard Business Schoolówho studied under Alvin Roth, a Harvard professor and a pioneer in market-design theoryóhave proposed an alternative to the NFL draft.

Under their plan, all 32 teams would be given seven picks. They would have to abide by a spending cap that would go higher to lowerówith the worst team (based on its record the previous season) having the most money to spend. When the bidding opened, the most sought-after players would draw multiple bids. Teams could then raise their bid as high as they’d like for a player they coveted.

Theoretically, a team could get any player it wantedóso long as it was prepared to pinch pennies on everyone else. Meanwhile, a team that didn’t want to break the bank on any particular player could pick up lots of useful parts by spreading its money around evenly. Teams could also thrive by focusing on the bidding and looking for bargains.

Management of NFL teams would probably resist an auction because it would complicate the development of their drafting strategy. But itís not as if most teams do all that well drafting players under the current system. And it would sure make it more entertaining for the fans.

It wasn’t Lidge’s fault after all

pujols and Lidge I always thought that it was Brad Lidgeís fault that Albert Pujols in Game Six of the 2005 NLCS caused Houstonians to endure memories of these sporting disasters again.

But now, former Stros 3B Morgan Ensberg reveals that it was all really the fault of an optical illusion at Minute Maid Park (H/T John Royal).

Who knew?

By the way, check out the 2005 list of the Stros top ten prospects.

No wonder the local club is struggling.