Fannie and Freddie fallout

Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae Gosh, I thought the political coalition that supports inefficient light rail systems was formidable. But that coalition can’t hold a candle to the one that the W$J’s Paul Gigot says (non-gated version here) protected the dubious quasi-public structure of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae:

The abiding lesson here is what happens when you combine private profit with government power. You create political monsters that are protected both by journalists on the left and pseudo-capitalists on Wall Street, by liberal Democrats and country-club Republicans. Even now, after all of their dishonesty and failure, Fannie and Freddie could emerge from this taxpayer rescue more powerful than ever. Campaigning to spare taxpayers from that result would represent genuine "change," not that either presidential candidate seems interested.

Meanwhile, Cato’s Gerald O’Donnell points out that the proposed bailout represents "casino capitalism" for taxpayers:

Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson’s bailout plan for mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac .  .  .  prompted Sen. Jim Bunning (R-Ky.) to remark that he thought he’d woken up in France. Yes, socialism is alive and well in America – thanks to a Republican Treasury secretary.

Absent from Paulson’s plan is any protection for taxpayers. They’ll fund the downside if losses mount at the two mortgage giants. But if Fannie and Freddie recover, stockholders and management gain. Call it "casino capitalism" – taxpayers bankrolling management high rollers.

The plan doesn’t ask stockholders or management to suffer for their financial indiscretions. The players who put their companies in jeopardy get to stay in charge – Paulson says he isn’t looking for "scapegoats." Someone should remind him that capitalism without failure is like religion without sin.

Take a tour of the Pac-10

Check out this cool Google Earth tour of each stadium in the Pac-10 Football Conference.

Checking in on the battle for last place

Carlos Lee 072208 I’m not making this up. During the early stages of the last night’s first game of the series between the Stros (46-53) and the Pirates (45-54) to determine last place in the National League Central, the following advertisement appeared on one of the Minute Maid Park screens:

Mini-Season Ticket Packages Still Available!

Playoff Ticket Option Included!

Uh, I think that playoff ticket option is of dubious value.

As the Pirates were putting up a 7-spot on the Stros in the top of the 9th on their way to a 9-3 win, I noticed something that pretty well sums up the sorry state of the Stros these days. Although they do not have a hitter the caliber of the Stros Lance Berkman (51 RCAA/.438 OBA/.638 SLG/1.075 OPS), the Pirates — who are heading toward their 16th straight losing season — have four hitters who are at least as productive this season as the Stros’ second-best hitter, Carlos Lee (18 RCAA/.353 OBA/.550 SLG/.903 OPS).

The four Pirates are Jason Bay (29 RCAA/.379 OBA/.514 SLG/.893 OPS); Nate McClouth (24 RCAA/.350 OBA/.527 SLG/.878 OPS); Xavier Nady (22 RCAA/.377 OBA/.526 SLG/.903 OPS); and Ryan Doumit (20 RCAA/.380 OBA/.560 SLG/.939 OPS). As a result, the Pirates overall (+38 RCAA) are vastly superior to the Stros (-44 RCAA) in hitting. Only their abysmal pitching (-138 RSAA!) keeps the Pirates in the fight for the cellar with the Stros.

At any rate, guess the total amount the Pirates are paying all four of those hitters?: $10,187,000, or more than $2 million less than the $12.5 million that the Stros are paying this season to Lee alone. And Lee’s salary goes up to $18.5 million for each of the 2009-2012 seasons.

As I suspected when the Stros signed Lee to that contract, that is the kind of contract that can turn a contender into an also-ran very quickly. Unfortunately, the value of the contract relative to Lee’s above-average (but not spectacular) productivity, combined with a no-trade clause, makes it virtually certain that the Stros will not be able to unload it.

By the way, did anyone else notice who has climbed into second place today?

Update on the Judge Kent investigation

Judge Kent 072008 It looks as if the heat is being turned up again on embattled U.S. District Judge Sam Kent. Here is the latest by Chron reporter Lise Olsen:

Justice Department broadening investigation of Kent
Sale of home and gift reporting being examined

A Justice Department investigation into the sexual conduct of U.S. District Judge Samuel Kent has expanded to include allegations that he accepted but failed to report gifts and also sold his home in a deal arranged by a lawyer with dozens of cases in his court, Kent’s own attorney and other lawyers have confirmed.

The ongoing investigation was launched last year after Kent’s former case manager complained that the judge sexually molested her. Since then, several prominent attorneys have been subpoenaed by federal prosecutors to appear before a Houston grand jury involving other allegations of judicial misconduct, according to documents and interviews obtained by the Chronicle.

Months ago, investigators began asking about parties, a 2001 trip to London and meals attorneys had bought for Kent at Galveston restaurants — often on days they did business in his court, lawyers and former co-workers said.

According to Kent’s attorney, Dick DeGuerin, they also requested records about a real estate deal in which one of those attorneys, Kurt Arnold, helped persuade his mother to buy Kent’s home in the city of Galveston.

[.  .  .]

The 2006 sale price was $339,500 for the 64-year-old house in the Denver Court neighborhood a few blocks inland from the seawall. The property is valued at $224,090 by the Galveston County Appraisal District. However, appraisals obtained by the buyer and seller were closer to the sale price,  .   .  .

Arnold is a former law clerk of Judge Kent who had cases pending in Judge Kent’s court, so the implication of the article is that Arnold arranged for his mother to make a favorable purchase of Judge Kent’s house. Nevertheless, it appears that the sale was for fair market value, although Judge Kent was able to negotiate a reduced commission on the deal because Arnold’s mother didn’t use a realtor. The article suggests that the reduced commission was an effective gift to Judge Kent from Arnold, which is a stretch.

The grand jury is also investigating possible gifts that Judge Kent received from attorneys practicing in his court, including a 2001 trip to London and lunches at various Galveston restaurants. The Chron reports that "at least" 10 attorneys have been subpoenaed to testify before the grand jury, although several have given sworn statements in lieu of testifying. Judge Kent has already given a statement to the FBI and has offered to cooperate with prosecutors, but has not yet been requested to do so, according to his defense counsel, Dick DeGuerin.

It’s still too early to say what all this means for Judge Kent, but the extent of the grand jury investigation is not good news for him. Stay tuned.

Can he do it?

Greg Norman 072008 I don’t think so, but I sure will be pulling for him. We mid-50 year olds have to stick together.

If Norman can pull it off, his victory should put to rest one of the cruelest golf jokes of recent lore:

Q: What is the English pronunciation of Jean Van de Velde, the Frenchman who blew the 1999 British Open at Carnoustie by taking a triple-bogey 7 on the final hole and then losing in a playoff?

A: Greg Norman

Daniel Wexler passes along the following analysis of Norman’s remarkable career from The Book of Golfers:

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New Movie Time

My boys are dragging me to the The Dark Knight this weekend and, based on early reviews, I’m reasonably sure that it will be quite good. But truthfully, I’m looking forward more to the new Coen Brothers movie, Burn After Reading:

The Usual Suspects

Bear Market Given the recent turmoil in the financial markets, it’s a bit hard to keep up with the morality plays and the villains.

After the Enronesque fall of Bear Stearns, the villains of the moment were the two Bear Stearns executives who were indicted for not throwing in the towel timely.

Then, over the past several weeks, speculators who facilitate markets to hedge energy costs became targets of the demagogues.

And now this week, with the demise of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, SEC Chairman Christopher Cox issued an emergency order attempting to curtail naked short-sellers of the stock of the embattled government sponsored entities and also the stocks of Lehman Brothers, Goldman Sachs, Merrill Lynch and Morgan Stanley.

What on earth is Christopher Cox, a supposedly sophisticated securities lawyer, doing issuing orders that hinder the efficient functioning of markets?

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Beijing = "People’s Republic of Houston"?

Bejing smog "Beijing is flat and sprawling and smoggy and jammed with traffic and nearly all new, which is why an American friend who’s been working there for the last couple of years calls it ‘the People’s Republic of Houston.’"

That’s the opening of From Mao to Wow! by Kurt Anderson of Vanity Fair. He goes on to say that a more accurate comparison is Beijing now with New York City of a century ago.

Southwest Airlines’ legacy of good news

Southwest_Airlines_l071508 Gosh, it’s such a drag reading about business and the economy lately. So, what the heck, let’s take a quick look at a perennial source of good news, Clear Thinkers favorite Southwest Airlines.

Southwest’s discount model of operation has kept it profitable in the notoriously unprofitable airline business for 35 straight years. Even during these turbulent times, Southwest’s aggressive hedging program for its fuel costs and efficient operations have allowed the company to accumulate $3.7 billion of cash and generate a market capitalization of $9.9 billion. That market cap is now greater than the combined market value of the six largest legacy U.S. airlines. WallStrip’s Julie Alexandria provides a clever overview on one of Texas’ true treasures:

Stros 2008 Season Review, Part Three

Ed Wade Inasmuch as Major League Baseball is taking a break for the All-Star break, I decided to post the third part of five periodic reviews of the Stros’ 2008 season a game or so early (previous parts for the 2008 season are here). Although they were able to keep it together a bit longer than the 2007 club, the 2008 Stros (44-51) fell apart during the third 20% segment of the 2008 season.

The Stros went 12-19 during the third segment and spiced that effort by being trounced 10-0 on this past Friday evening by the team with the worst record in MLB, the Washington Nationals (36-50). That’s a far worse record than the club had during either the first fifth or second fifth of the season, but consistent with my pre-season forecast that this Stros club looked like a 75-win outfit. The Stros are in in last place in the National League Central, 13 games behind the Cubs (57-38) and 8.5 games out of the National League Wildcard Playoff berth. Given that the Cubs net RCAA/RSAA total is 113 (43 RCAA/70 RSAA) and the Stros is -42 (-41 RCAA/-1 RSAA), it’s surprising that the Stros aren’t even further behind.

Nevertheless, the first 60% of the season has been an instructive lesson in how risky it is to make conclusions about baseball based on small sample sizes. The Stros stumbled out of the gate with 12 losses in their first 18 games and looked completely lost. Then, stellar 1B Lance Berkman (52 RCAA/.443 OBA/.653 SLG/ 1.097 OPS) warmed up and the club bounced back with a 23-10 stretch that put them seven games above .500 at 30-23 and just one game behind the Cubs on May 27, prompting the mostly clueless Chronicle sports reporters (Zac Levine excepted) to babble about a possible playoff berth. However, since then, the Stros have lost 29 of 43 games to drop into the NL Central cellar and decisively expunge any theoretical playoff aspirations. The Stros now have to win 31 of their final 67 games just to equal my 75 win pre-season prediction. That is by no means a sure thing.

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