Checking in on the battle for last place

Carlos Lee 072208 I’m not making this up. During the early stages of the last night’s first game of the series between the Stros (46-53) and the Pirates (45-54) to determine last place in the National League Central, the following advertisement appeared on one of the Minute Maid Park screens:

Mini-Season Ticket Packages Still Available!

Playoff Ticket Option Included!

Uh, I think that playoff ticket option is of dubious value.

As the Pirates were putting up a 7-spot on the Stros in the top of the 9th on their way to a 9-3 win, I noticed something that pretty well sums up the sorry state of the Stros these days. Although they do not have a hitter the caliber of the Stros Lance Berkman (51 RCAA/.438 OBA/.638 SLG/1.075 OPS), the Pirates — who are heading toward their 16th straight losing season — have four hitters who are at least as productive this season as the Stros’ second-best hitter, Carlos Lee (18 RCAA/.353 OBA/.550 SLG/.903 OPS).

The four Pirates are Jason Bay (29 RCAA/.379 OBA/.514 SLG/.893 OPS); Nate McClouth (24 RCAA/.350 OBA/.527 SLG/.878 OPS); Xavier Nady (22 RCAA/.377 OBA/.526 SLG/.903 OPS); and Ryan Doumit (20 RCAA/.380 OBA/.560 SLG/.939 OPS). As a result, the Pirates overall (+38 RCAA) are vastly superior to the Stros (-44 RCAA) in hitting. Only their abysmal pitching (-138 RSAA!) keeps the Pirates in the fight for the cellar with the Stros.

At any rate, guess the total amount the Pirates are paying all four of those hitters?: $10,187,000, or more than $2 million less than the $12.5 million that the Stros are paying this season to Lee alone. And Lee’s salary goes up to $18.5 million for each of the 2009-2012 seasons.

As I suspected when the Stros signed Lee to that contract, that is the kind of contract that can turn a contender into an also-ran very quickly. Unfortunately, the value of the contract relative to Lee’s above-average (but not spectacular) productivity, combined with a no-trade clause, makes it virtually certain that the Stros will not be able to unload it.

By the way, did anyone else notice who has climbed into second place today?

Leave a Reply