The usual government solution

Count the Wall Street Journal’s ($) George Melloan as skeptical that the 9/11 Commission’s recommendation of a new cabinet department headed by a “National Intelligence Director” is a good idea:

The late William E. Simon, Treasury secretary in the Nixon and Ford administrations, once described to a small group of Journal editors the origin of what would later become the U.S. Department of Energy.
As deputy to Treasury Secretary George Shultz in 1973, he had been sitting in for his boss at a Nixon cabinet meeting and offered a report on the energy “crisis.” Mr. Nixon chewed on his pencil for a moment and then, inspired by a thought, told Mr. Simon that he was putting him in charge of a White House energy policy office, a job that later earned him the title of “energy czar.” In 1977, Congress and Jimmy Carter created a full-blown cabinet-level department to try to deal with the still-unsolved “energy crisis.” Today, the DOE has wide-ranging powers and a budget of roughly $20 billion.
The interesting thing about this story is that it was a clumsy attempt to correct a problem the government itself had created. The “energy crisis” had been caused primarily by the price controls President Nixon adopted in 1971 as a response to inflation, also of the government’s own making. That’s one way government grows, or metastasizes if you will. It adds new functions to try to correct the problems of existing functions. This new cell growth is always popular inside the Beltway, because it creates jobs and opportunities.

Mr. Melloan notes that the Commission’s recommendation of bringing all intelligence under one master and coordinating the exchange of information sounds like a good idea on the surface, but is it really?:

A new department, Homeland Security, was created under Secretary Tom Ridge only two years ago. It already has spent $70 billion and wants $40 billion more next fiscal year, notes Forbes magazine. The DHS is hard at work, organizing better security for nuclear plants, arranging point-of-origin certification of shipboard containers, asking banks to monitor transfers from places like Saudi Arabia. But Forbes still rates these risks at the “yellow” level and gives a high-risk “red” to the threat of computer network hacking.

Mr. Melloan then points out that more government bureaucracy may be the problem, not the solution:

It wasn’t that the U.S. had no defenses [before the 9/11 attacks]. It has many thousands of law enforcement officers at all levels of government and as many as 20,000 people in the CIA alone. But all of these people, many of them very able, were trapped in a morass of government bureaucracy.

Some of the restrictions are mind-boggling. Most big cities in the U.S. have “sanctuary” ordinances, pressed on them by “civil rights” groups, which prohibit city employees, especially the police, from checking with the Immigration and Naturalization Service on the immigration status of anyone who runs afoul of the law. As a result, thousands of illegal aliens are at large in the U.S. and encounter no trouble with the INS even if they are picked up for theft or drunken driving. And of course, airport screeners, under the same “civil rights” pressures, are barred from “profiling” passengers and thus, in the words of one critic, must accost a “blue haired 70-year-old woman with an aluminum walker” and nine other average travelers for every able-bodied 30-year-old Mideast male.
The INS also has little coordination with the overseas consular offices of the State Department, which approve visas for visitors to the U.S. The State bureaucracy is responding to homeland security fears by tightening up on visa grants, but with no evident system for distinguishing between possible terrorists and innocent students, business travelers and the like. The CIA’s failure to insert spies into al Qaeda was a major shortcoming. One wonders what it does with its estimated $40 billion budget.
Congress is itself fragmented, politically polarized and mired in the oversight methods of yesteryear, and so is not up to the requirements for legislating a more streamlined and efficient defense against terrorism. For example, Secretary Ridge has had to testify to 80 committees and subcommittees since taking office. What they do with all that duplicative information and how he finds time to do anything else is a mystery.

Read on.

Stros go low against DBacks

Brandon Webb handcuffed the Stros with his array of sinkers and dinkers as the Arizona Diamonbacks beat the Stros 4-1 Monday night in the first game of their four game series at the Juice Box.
Webb was masterful, giving up 6 singles and one run in 7 1/3rd innings. This game was essentially infield practice for the DBacks as Webb’s sinkers had the Stros pounding the ball into the ground with futility the entire game.
Andy Pettitte only gave up three hits in five innings, but the problem was that two of them were back to back gopher balls in the first inning to Gonzo and Hairston. That was all Webb needed on this night. Pettitte left after the fifth game because of soreness in his left elbow, a problem that has bothered him all season. Given the club’s disminishing playoff chances, the Stros will soon have to give serious consideration to shutting Pettitte down for the season.
The best news for the Stros on this day was the signing of Troy Patton, the Tomball High School lefty who was projected as a high draft choice until he announced that he would be attending the University of Texas on a baseball scholarship. Most major league clubs backed off on him as a result of that news, but the Stros took a flyer on him in the ninth round of the draft earlier this summer and the bet has paid off. Patton will report to the club?s affiliate in Greeneville of the Appalachian League.
Patton was 12-0 with an 0.91 ERA during his senior season at Tomball High. He struck out 142 hitters in 77.1 innings pitched, while walking only 24 and allowing 24 hits. Patton threw three no-hitters this spring, including one perfect game, and opponents hit only .122 against him in 2004.
Roy O tries to get the Stros back on track on Tuesday night against some fellow with a 12+ ERA for the DBacks. The way this season is going, the game will probably be a nailbiter.

More on the politics of bashing

Awhile back, Professor Ribstein and I discussed (here, here. and here) the unique nature of current vitriolic criticism of President Bush.
Today, the always insightful Virginia Postrel weighs in with one possible reason for the intensity of the Bush-bashing:

When I was in New York a few weeks ago, a friend in the magazine business told me he thinks the ferocious Bush hating that he sees in New York is a way of calming the haters’ fears of terrorism. It’s not rational, but it’s psychologically plausible–blame the cause you can control, at least indirectly through elections, rather than the threats you have no control over.
I thought of that insight today when I glanced at Maureen Dowd’s column and read this sentence, “Maybe it’s because George Bush is relaxing at his ranch down there (again) while Osama is planning a big attack up here (again).”
That is the voice of a petulant child, angry that she has a tummy ache while Daddy is at work or Mommy is visiting a friend, or the voice of a grouchy wife angry that she has a migraine while her husband is out coaching the kids’ baseball team. You’re upset that you’re in pain (we’ve all been there), so you get mad at someone whose presence wouldn’t make the pain any better.

Professor Ribstein is not buying Ms. Postrel’s speculation, and contends that an underlying condescending nature is the root of the Bush bashing.

Addressing the obesity epidemic

Clinical psychologist Gerard Musante was the first person to adapt the principles of behavior modification to the eating habits of significantly overweight people. For the past 30 years, Dr. Musante has taught these principles at Structure House, the residential weight loss facility he founded in Durham, N.C.
In this Tech Central Station op-ed, Dr. Mustante addresses that the national debate over responsibility for our society’s obesity overlooks the effect that the debate has on how individuals perceive their personal battles with being overweight or obese:

[O]ur national debate on obesity is evolving into two camps. One emphasizes that obesity results from such factors as genes, a disease state or physiology. The other focuses on the role personal responsibility plays and possibly defines obesity as a personal failing.
While the first camp paints the individual as a victim of forces beyond his control, the latter argues from a moral or social viewpoint. While I strongly support personal responsibility, even the discourse to this effect fails to address the most critical reason for espousing such a perspective. What is too often absent from both viewpoints is a direct consideration of the ramifications these arguments themselves can have on how individuals view their personal battles with overweight and obesity.

Dr. Mustante points out that the biggest problem is defining the issue as being out of an individual’s control:

If one defines a problem as out of his control, then he remains powerless to influence it. However, nearly all experts acknowledge obesity ultimately results from violating a simple principle: calories consumed should equal calories expended. The idea that individuals are victimized by their own bodies or a toxic environment is problematic. For starters, it’s untrue. But as importantly, it stymies their motivation and perceived ability to control their weight loss.

The key lies in a related psychological concept called self-efficacy, which was defined by Albert Bandura, a noted Stanford University psychologist, in 1977. He theorized that people’s expectations of their ability to be effective influence whether and how they will act. It will affect how much effort they expend, and how long they will sustain their efforts in the face of challenges. If a person believes he lives in a “toxic food environment” or is suffering from a disease state, how can he have confidence in his ability to change his predicament?

Dr. Mastante then points out that “quick fix” diet plans are usually counterproductive to obesity because the personal sense of failure that an individual experiences triggers a false sense that the individual is powerless to overcome the problem. And that false sense of powerlessness is becoming more popular:

Worsening the problem, we now are seeing efforts to sue food establishments, to demonize various industries, and to rid schools of vending machines. By blaming industries and products, society only makes individuals feel increasingly powerless about their ability to lose weight, and that perceived lack of control makes them less likely to attempt or experience success. Frivolous lawsuits against the food industry and the classification of obesity as a disease only reinforce the idea that obesity is something people cannot control.

Read the entire article, and then take a look at this piece in which the authors point out that the obestiy epidemic is partly the unintended consequence on the anti-smoking campaign over the past generation.

Debating American foreign policy

John Lewis Gaddis is the Robert A. Lovett professor of history and political science Yale University and Paul Kennedy is the J. Richardson Dilworth professor of history at the same school. In this NY Times Book Review interview, the two debate their views on American foreign policy. The entire piece is well worth reading, and the following are a couple of tidbits of their insights:

How Did 9/11 Change America’s Thinking About Foreign Policy?
GADDIS. The whole premise of our thinking had been that threats come from states. Then suddenly, overnight, levels of damage were done exceeding those at Pearl Harbor by a gang most of us had never heard of. That is a profound change in the national security environment. It exposes a level of vulnerability that Americans have not seen since they were living on the edge of a dangerous frontier 150 years ago.
KENNEDY. I’d agree, and then add another slant. The whole system of international law was predicated upon states. There’s no thought given in the U.N. Charter to nonstate actors. There needs to be agreement on what states can do now with threats from nonstate actors.

Does the United States Have an Empire?
GADDIS. The really important question is to look at the uses to which imperial power is put. And in this regard, it seems to me on balance American imperial power in the 20th century has been a remarkable force for good, for democracy, for prosperity. What is striking is that great opposition has not arisen to the American empire. Most empires in history have given rise to their own resistance through their imperious behavior. For most of its history as an empire, the United States did manage to be imperial without being imperious. The great concern I have with the current administration is that it has slid over into imperious behavior.
KENNEDY. John has put his finger on something very interesting, which is this dominant position of the U.S. not yet causing the emergence of counterweights. And I say ”yet” because I think there’s quite a considerable danger that it will. We now have a Europe with a larger G.D.P., and we have a China growing so fast you can hardly keep your eyes on it. Our great power status is unchallenged at the orthodox military level. But it’s beginning to look a little bit more fragmented in other dimensions.

Stros pummel Brew Crew

Pete Munro pitched seven shutout innings and Mike Lamb drove in three runs with a pair of doubles to lead the Stros over the Brewers 9-1 on Sunday in the rubber game of their weekend series at the Juice Box. The Stros have now won four of their last five games.
After giving up a pair of singles to lead off the second inning, Munro (2-2/4.46 ERA/0 RSAA) settled down and retired 13 of his next 15 batters. He allowed six hits, struck out a season-high five and walked none.
The Stros took a 4-0 lead in the third on Lamb’s bases-loaded double off the left-field scoreboard and Morgan Ensberg‘s two-run single. Lamb, who started at first in place of Bags, made it 5-0 in the fifth with an RBI double, and Adam Everett doubled in another run in the sixth.
In one of the more entertaining moments of the game, Jeff Kent was ejected by plate umpire Chris Guccione in the seventh after arguing a called strike two on a pitch Kent thought was low. Kent — who, as baseball people say “has a little turd in him” and yelled at Guccione “with sincerity” — kicked and threw dirt on home plate before he left the field with gusto. Jose Vizcaino replaced Kent with a 2-2 count and promptly nailed an RBI double on the next pitch. After a run-scoring wild pitch, Brad Ausmus cranked a rare yak to complete the Stros’ scoring. The Stros ended up with 12 hits, five of them doubles.
Despite the Stros’ power surge over the past week, their runs created against average (“RCAA,” explained here) continues to lag near the bottom of the National League (11th out of the 16 teams). Here are the updated individual RCAA figures, courtesy of Lee Sinins:
Lance Berkman 35
Craig Biggio 13
Carlos Beltran 8
Jeff Bagwell 7
Mike Lamb 6
Eric Bruntlett 1
Chris Burke -1
Jeff Kent -1
Jason Lane -2
Jose Vizcaino -3
Orlando Palmeiro -4
Richard Hidalgo -10
Raul Chavez -11
Morgan Ensberg -12
Adam Everett -13
Brad Ausmus -23
Thus, the Stros have only five players who are hitting above what an average player would generate and four regular players (Ausmus, Chavez, Ensberg, and Everett) who are hitting well below what an average player would produce. Inasmuch as Ensberg is the only likely candidate of those four to improve much during the second half of the season, and Bagwell is unlikely to increase his relatively pedestrian production during the remainder of the season. Consequently, I do not expect the Stros’ offense to improve enough in the second half to make them a viable playoff contender.
Meanwhile, the Stros pitchers’ runs saved against average (“RSAA,” explained here) remains in the upper half of the National League (sixth out of the 16 teams). The individual RSAA numbers are as follows:
Roger Clemens 23
Brad Lidge 13
Wade Miller 11
Roy Oswalt 9
Octavio Dotel 5
Dan Miceli 4
Andy Pettitte 3
Kirk Bullinger 1
Mike Gallo 1
Darren Oliver 1
Pete Munro 0
Chad Qualls -1
David Weathers -1
Brandon Backe -2
Jeremy Griffiths -3
Ricky Stone -3
Jared Fernandez -6
Chad Harville -6
Brandon Duckworth -8
Tim Redding -11
Although the pitching staff is performing above-average overall, the production is still a bit deceptive. Miller and Dotel, both of whom contributed above-average production, are no longer pitching for the club (Dotel has been traded and Miller’s return this season is questionable at this point due to a shoulder injury). Moreover, Harville, Duckworth and Redding are time bombs every time they take the mound, as their well-below average RSAA numbers reflect. Oswalt is a definite candidate to improve his RSAA during the second half and Redding could if he returns to his form of last season, but some leveling off of Clemens‘ incredible performance is to be expected. Accordingly, even though I expect the Stros’ pitching performance to remain above-average, I do not expect the performance to improve enough over the last part of the season to compensate for the Stros’ below average hitting and allow the Stros to compete for the wildcard playoff spot.
And, just so you will not be misinformed by the Chronicle sportswriters’ baseless criticism of Stros’ management for trading Hidalgo, Wagner, and Dotel, each of those three players has had decidedly mediocre performance this season. Although Hidalgo has a +5 RCAA since joining the Mets, he is still a -5 for the season, which makes him the best paid below average rightfielder in the National League. Dotel has a barely above average RSAA when his numbers from Houston and Oakland are combined, and Wagner has battled injuries all season while posting a relatively mediocre +5 RSAA for the Phillies. Truth be known, Stros’ management did a good job in trading each one of those players, particularly given the over-market contracts that both Hidalgo and Wagner enjoy.
The Stros send Andy Pettiitte to the hill on Monday in the first game of a four game set with the DBacks at the Juice Box. After that series, the Stros go to Cincy for a weekend series with the Reds before returning home in the first week of August for a six game homestand against the Braves and Expos.

UT-ex Ricky Williams announces retirement

Former University of Texas star running back and Heisman Trophy winner Ricky Williams has stunned the Miami Dolphins and the National Football League by announcing his retirement from professional football while in the prime of his career.

Mike Ramsey interviewed

Following on this earlier Wall Street Journal ($) profile, Mary Flood, who has been covering the Enron case for the Houston Chronicle, interviews Mike Ramsey, lead criminal defense attorney for Kenneth Lay, in today’s Chronicle. Not much of Mr. Ramsey’s insight on the Enron case is provided in the interview, although Mr. Ramsey does comment on Mr. Lay’s controversial strategy of vigorously defending himself in public statements, interviews, and press conferences from the criminal charges:

Q: Other lawyers have said you are taking risks in letting Lay speak publicly now and in demanding a speedy trial. Why have you chosen these strategies?
A: I think basically at the behest of Mr. Lay. I have been over the documents enough to know and trust that he is, in fact, innocent. But he has been silent for two and a half years, while he has suffered a lot in the press. I think it’s about time that he speaks out.
Now, it is a high-risk strategy in some cases to have a defendant testify. But Ken Lay is smart, he’s the master of the facts, he knows what happened, and I don’t have to go hold hands with him when he talks.

Another interesting comment comes after Mr. Ramsey explains why he decided to go into the practice of criminal law:

. . . [I]f there is a danger to the Republic, it comes from concentration of power in the hands of a few in Washington, not from an outside force of any sort. We’re impervious to that.
No one will topple America from the outside. But we may very well lose liberties internally. And if people are not willing to stand up and challenge the government, then the government continues to assume more and more power over us as individuals.
Until you see how vicious it becomes out on the point of a stick where it pierces flesh, you don’t understand how powerful the government really is and needs to be held in check.
And if there is any redeeming social value to the defense practice, it is that we are the people to whom it is given the high duty, I believe, to stand up and tell the government to go to hell when they need to be told that.
And this is such a case.
Q: Do you see the Enron Task Force as part of this potential growing evil?
A: Yes. I think that the constitution of any special group of prosecutors who pick their target before they do their investigation is dangerous and an aberration that shouldn’t be tolerated.

Stros beat Brew Crew

Tim Redding pitched three-hit ball over five innings in his return to Stros’ starting rotation as the Stros beat the Brewers 6-3 on Saturday night at the Juice Box.
Redding (4-6/5.66 ERA/-14 RSAA) was demoted to the bullpen after his a poor start against Texas on June 26. He made four relief appearances for the Stros before making his 15th start of the season, in which he fanned six and walked three. Darren Oliver — who the Stros picked up from Florida on Friday — made his first appearance and struck out three in two scoreless innings of relief work. After Mike Gallo made things interesting by giving up a couple of yaks (the Brew Crew has 17 against the Stros this season) and 3 runs in 2/3rd’s of an inning in the eighth, Brad Lidge gutted up after throwing over 40 pitches in last night’s game and pitched a scoreless ninth to pick up the save.
Adam Everett and Jason Lane cranked yaks for the Stros, and Everett also had a double and Lane a sac fly to plate another run. The Stros continued their mild hitting surge, whacking 11 hits that generated 20 total bases.
Pete Munro pitches the rubber game for the Stros in Sunday’s matinee at the Juice Box, while Andy Pettitte gets the start on Monday in the first game of the next series with the DBacks.