A Potential Disaster May be Developing Along the Gulf Coast

For years, experts have been warning that a potential disaster looms if a major hurricane hits the New Orleans metropolitan area, much of which sits beneath sea level.

It is beginning to look as if those predictions may come true later this weekend.

Over last evening, Hurricane Katrina took a westward course away from the Mobile, Ala.-Florida Panhandle area and appears to be headed directly for the New Orleans area.

This website (be patient, takes awhile to load) shows the catastrophic flooding that will occur in the New Orleans area as a result of a category 3 hurricane.

Hurricane Katrina is currently predicted to hit the Louisiana coast as either a category 3 or even a 4 storm. Hat tip to my friend Scott Hagen for the link to this website.

If you are in New Orleans and reading this post, you should seriously consider getting out. Now.

KPMG – DOJ settlement done

kpmg logo20.jpgThe anticipated settlement of criminal charges over KPMG, LLP‘s creation and promotion of allegedly illegal tax shelters has been finalized between the accounting firm and the Department of Justice and will be announced on Monday. Here are the previous posts on KPMG and its tax shelter saga.
Under the deal, KPMG will pay $456 million in fines, accept former chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission Richard C. Breeden as an independent monitor of the firm’s operations through at least 2006. The firm will also agree to limits on the scope of its tax practice and continue to serve up to prosecutors for possible criminal charges former KPMG partners and other professionals who worked on the tax shelters, which the DOJ contends cost the U.S. Treasury at least $1.4 billion in unpaid taxes. KPMG allegedly earned fees of $124 million on creating and promoting the tax shelters to about 350 clients.
As noted in earlier posts, the settlement with the Justice Department does not mean that KPMG is out of the woods yet by any stretch. KPMG still faces potentially enormous civil liability as a result of its admission of wrongdoing in regard to the tax shelters. Even more importantly, KPMG’s serving up of its former partners on a platter to prosecutors has so damaged partner morale at the firm that key partners may leave the mess behind for greener pastures at competitor firms. Thus, even when it tries to do so, the federal government may not be capable of avoiding an Arthur Andersen-type meltdown of one of the few remaining big accounting firms available to handle the increased regulatory requirements that the government has imposed on public companies.
Update: This NY Sunday Times article — purportedly based on inside sources — tells the story on how KPMG’s management came to embrace, and then abandoned the defense of, the tax shelter promotion scheme.

Morgan Ensberg’s remarkable season

Ensberg4.jpgThe subject of the fourth segment of the series of posts analyzing the key Stros players (previous posts here, here, and here) is thirdbaseman Morgan Ensberg, who is enjoying one of the best seasons of any hitter in Stros history.
Ensberg is a late bloomer out of college baseball, who came up through the Stros’ farm system with fellow USC baseball star Jason Lane. Interestingly, Lane was always considered the better prospect, but Ensberg was the one who burst on to the Stros scene first with his strong first full season in 2003.

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Morgan Ensberg statistics





























































































Morgan Ensberg

YEAR

AGE

RCAA

OBA

SLG

OPS

AVG

HR

RBI

SB

G
2003 27 20 .377 .530 .907 .291 25 60 7 127
2004 28 -12 .330 .411 .742 .275 10 66 6 131
2005 29 37 .389 .581 .971 .287 33 91 6 125
CAR 41 .364 .497 .861 .280 71 236 21 436
LG AVG 0 .340 .431 .772 .269 44 180 22
POS AVG -6 .335 .430 .765 .267 45 191 14

Big banks taking a flyer on UAL

UAL-logo4.gifUAL Corp.’s shopping excursion for reorganization take-out financing has apparently resulted in a preliminary commitment of a cool $3 billion in financing from four lending lending institutions that, if consummated, would allow the troubled airline to emerge from over three years in chapter 11. The four lenders involved in the negotiations with UAL are apparently Citigroup Inc., J.P. Morgan Chase & Co., General Electric Co. and Deutsche Bank AG.
The take-out financing would allow UAL to repay a $1.3 billion debtor-in-possession loan it has been relying on during its chapter 11 case, and will be incorporated in a reorganization plan that the company plans to file with its Chicago Bankruptcy Court soon. In the meantime, UAL continues to bleed, incurring a net loss of almost $275 million for July as the company incurs huge non-cash reorganization expenses relating to renegotiation of leases on key aircraft.

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Did Gordon Gekko think of that?

homer-simpson.jpgWell, the government’s seemingly relentless campaign to criminalize business in the post-Enron era has finally reached the one industry — the movie business — that relishes such matters when they happen to somebody else.
The Wall Street Journal ($) is reporting today (free article here) that an ongoing investigation into DreamWorks Animation SKG Inc has been broadened by an SEC informal inquiry into Pixar Animation Studios after Pixar had over-estimated the number of sales upon its release of The Incredibles DVD.
This particular saga began when DreamWorks cut its earnings forecasts twice after heavy returns of its Shrek 2 DVD. In the case of DreamWorks, the SEC is apparently focusing on whether the studio should have informed investors earlier of the problems with Shrek 2 given the studio’s knowledge that DVDs were having an increasingly short shelf life than previous DVD issues. DreamWorks shares fell about 5% in May ahead of the release of its first-quarter results after an online report predicted that the results would be worse than expected, and then the company subsequently warned of lower earnings forecasts because Shrek 2 DVD sales had fallen short of expectations. Similarly, on June 30, Pixar announced that it would miss its second-quarter earnings because it had underestimated the rate of returns by retailers of The Incredibles DVD and that sales of the movie’s DVD had fallen about 7% short of estimates.
The studios are probably already working on a documentary similar to this one. As for what such a film would look like, Professor Ribstein — the expert on how business is portrayed in filmspresents his case.

Prosecution increases the stakes in another trader case

traders2.jpgThe Justice Department announced Thursday that it has filed a superseding indictment alleging additional counts of wire fraud and reporting fake trades against former El Paso Corp. trader Donald Burwell. The superseding indictment is the latest development in a series of criminal cases that the U.S. Attorney’s office for the Southern District of Texas has been pursuing against former traders of natural gas who worked for various Houston-based companies. Previous posts on the trader cases are here, here, here, here, here, here, here and here.

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Biggio and Lane

jason_lane.jpgBidg6.jpgContinuing on our series of posts (previous posts here and here) providing a more thorough statistical analysis of the Stros’ key players, today we examine the star-crossed careers of Craig Biggio and Jason Lane.
Bidg is already a Stros legend and may well be the first true Stros player to be elected to the Baseball Hall of Fame. Bidg was the best secondbaseman in Major League Baseball during the decade of the 90’s, and baseball stat guru Bill James has rated him as the fifth best secondbaseman in Major League Baseball history. Accordingly, Bidg’s place as one of the best Stros players of all-time is well-secured.

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Biggio and Lane statistics





























































































Craig Biggio

YEAR

AGE

RCAA

OBA

SLG

OPS

AVG

HR

RBI

SB

G
2003 37 1 .350 .412 .763 .264 15 62 8 153
2004 38 8 .337 .469 .806 .281 24 63 7 156
2005 39 7 .334 .456 .790 .269 17 50 11 122
CAR 353 .371 .436 .807 .285 251 1044 407 2531
LG AVG 0 .338 .419 .757 .268 274 1213 205
POS AVG -102 .333 .392 .726 .265 198 1022 229





























































































Jason Lane

YEAR

AGE

RCAA

OBA

SLG

OPS

AVG

HR

RBI

SB

G
2003 26 3 .296 .815 1.111 .296 4 10 0 18
2004 27 3 .348 .463 .812 .272 4 19 1 107
2005 28 1 .306 .499 .804 .260 19 61 6 111
CAR 11 .323 .509 .832 .267 31 100 8 280
LG AVG 0 .340 .430 .770 .269 19 80 10
POS AVG 10 .349 .461 .810 .271 24 88 10

Curt Sampson on Bobby Jones

Bobby Jones.jpgCurt Sampson has already written the best biography on Ben Hogan, and now he is attempting to equal that feat in regard to Bobby Jones, who remains the only golfer to win the Grand Slam of Golf in the same year and who retired from competitive golf almost immediately after doing so. Mr. Sampson’s new book on Mr. Jones is excerpted in this Golf World piece entitled Bobby in a New Light – Seventy-five years after his Grand Slam, Bobby Jones is more compelling than the myths surrounding him:

[L]ike Lincoln and Churchill and Marilyn Monroe, Jones led a life big enough to be considered from a variety of angles and with varying levels of awe and skepticism. Perhaps by considering his life in reverse, we can appreciate golf’s greatest hero in a new light. After all, he won the Slam at age 28, and then quit the game. He lived 41 more years.

Hat tip to Geoff Shackelford for the link to the Golf World piece.