Lone Survivor

lone survivor (2) I recently finished reading Lone Survivor: The Eyewitness Account of Operation Redwing and the Lost Heroes of SEAL Team 10 (Little, Brown and Company 2009), Marcus Luttrell’s engrossing story of his experience in surviving a vicious battle against the Taliban in Afghanistan. I recommend the book highly to anyone who is interested in United States foreign policy.

Lone Survivor is not a great book. A substantial part of it – particularly the parts of Luttrell’s Navy SEAL training – are repetitive and unnecessary. Likewise, Luttrell’s political views are somewhat simplistic and do not add much to the story.

But Luttrell’s story is spot on in portraying the troubling problem that the U.S. Armed Forces face in fighting wars under rules of engagement that constrain doing what is necessary to accomplish the purpose of the war. During their mission, Luttrell and his squad mates had to make a key decision under the rules of engagement — and it was not even a clearly wrong one — that ultimately resulted in a disaster for the squad.

Luttrell’s story is also insightful from a cultural standpoint. After fending off over a hundred Taliban attackers in battle, Luttrell was ultimately saved by members of an Afghan community who decided to resist the Taliban. The cultural dynamics at play are as confusing as they are fascinating.

Should the United States be sending true American heroes such as Luttrell and his comrades into such a complicated cultural conflict under rules that hinder them from accomplishing the mission?

It is a question that should be much more difficult for our government’s leaders than it appears to be.

At one time, the NY Times was an interesting place to work

From Big Think, Guy Talese wonders how on earth he and his co-workers at the New York Times ever got the paper to publication:

Tales of Two Lives

Tim Geithner Wednesdayís Congressional testimony of Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner and the Department of Justiceís incredible shrinking case against former Enron CEO Jeff Skilling got me to thinking.

Geithner has made his share of dubious decisions over the past several years. I think he was wrong not to allow the markets to allocate the risk that many financial institutions took, particularly in regard to American Insurance Group. As a result of these decisions, I donít think he should be the Secretary of the Treasury.

But I do not think it is fair to question that Geithner honestly believed that the actions he took were necessary to save the U.S. and world financial systems from chaos. You, like me, may not believe he was right about that, but there is little question that he honestly believed that he was mitigating the risk of a financial tsunami.

Turning to Skilling, the DOJís case against Skilling now boils down to several alleged misrepresentations that Skilling approved regarding a couple of financially-troubled divisions of Enron. But the overwhelming evidence at trial was that Skilling truly believed that the statements he approved regarding those divisions were accurate.

For example, one of those divisions ñ Enron Broadband ñ was attempting to develop and deliver the video-on-demand service that is now a popular and profitable product of digital television and such gadgets as Apple’s iPod. These systems are a creative accommodation to copyrighted music and video programming that has generated enormous wealth for artists and shareholders of companies in the business.

Skilling testified at trial about his optimism regarding Broadband:

ìAnd one last thing — I’ll make the last one argument for Broadband because people criticize me about Broadband, and I will take the criticism. We — certainly, we made a mistake. But it wasn’t big. I mean, it was a billion dollars. We invested a billion dollars in the Broadband business. If it had worked, it could have been worth $30 billion. It didn’t work. We lost a billion dollars, but if you can make those kinds of bets, that’s the kind of the risk you [should be taking] as a corporation. And if you do a lot of [deals with a] downside of a billion and upside of 30 [billion], you’re doing a good job for your shareholders in the long run, in my opinion. This one didn’t work.î

Given the current value of video-on-demand technology, Skilling’s valuation of Enron’s Broadband business opportunity was probably low. But regardless of the wisdom of Enronís timing in investing in that technology, there is little question that Skilling honestly believed that Enron Broadband could generate enormous wealth for Enronís shareholders.

Geithner will probably leave the Treasury soon and return to a Wall Street firm to make his fortune. Skilling lost his fortune and remains in a Colorado prison, where he is enduring a 24-year prison sentence.

I submit that no rational basis exists for the radically different futures of these two men.

The DOJ’s Merits Brief in the Skilling Appeal

Skilling6 On the heels of last monthís filing with the U.S. Supreme Court of Jeff Skillingís brief on the merits of his appeal to the U.S. Supreme Court, the Department of Justice filed its brief on the merits of Skillingís appeal earlier this week.

A copy of the brief is below, but I recommend downloading it so that you will have the version bookmarked in Adobe Acrobat that facilitates review of the brief.

The DOJís brief is surprising in a couple of key respects.

First, the DOJís case against Skilling has shrunk dramatically. The DOJ now bases its entire case on Skillingís involvement in alleged misrepresentations that were made to the market regarding two Enron divisions, Enron Broadband Services and Enron Energy Services. Nothing in regard to the dubious Nigerian Barge transaction. No mention of the theory that Enronís earnings were lagging in 1999 and thatís why the reason why Skilling supposedly had former CFO Andrew Fastow engineer the allegedly corrupt LJM special purpose entity. Heck, there is not even a mention of the supposedly key Global Galactic Agreement. I mean really ñ is the DOJ even talking about the same case that it tried?

Stated simply, has the DOJís entire case against Skilling now been reduced to his optimistic statements about those two divisions?

The other surprising aspect of the brief is the DOJís apparent surrender on the lack of private gain issue in regard to Skillingís conviction on honest services wire fraud. Check out this reasoning from p. 50 of the brief:

Petitioner had, and acted upon, his personal financial interests, which conflicted with those of the shareholders to whom he owed a fiduciary duty. The company and its shareholders attempted to align their long-term interests with petitionerís by linking his compensation to stock price. But the obvious premise of that arrangement was that petitioner would act to maximize shareholder wealth. Petitioner subverted that premise, and placed his interests in conflict with that of the shareholders,when, for his own financial benefit, he engaged in an undisclosed scheme to artificially inflate the stockís price by deceiving the shareholders and others about the companyís true financial condition. That conduct constituted fraud. The only question here is whether the public nature of petitionerís compensation scheme prevents his conduct from constituting honest services fraud. It does not. Although petitionerís basic compensation scheme was public, his scheme to artificially inflate the companyís stock price by misrepresenting its financial condition, in order to derive additional personal benefits at the expense of shareholders, was not. Petitionerís deception deprived shareholders of the information they needed to make informed decisions and thereby defrauded them of his honest services.

So, what about the shareholders who sold stock at the allegedly inflated price resulting from Skillingís supposed deceptions? Did Skilling defraud them, too? If so, I can think of quite a few investors who wouldnít mind being defrauded like that.

And what about Skilling himself, who continued to acquire large amounts of Enron stock right up to the time he resigned from the company several months before its collapse. Did Skillingís alleged ìdeception deprive [Skilling] of the information [he] needed to make informed decisions and thereby defrauded [himself] of his honest services.î

Iíll bet that reasoning will raise a few questions during oral argument, which is currently scheduled for the afternoon of March 1st.

DOJ Merits Brief in Skilling Appeal

Checking in on the Rockets at the halfway point

Houston_Rockets_2 The football season still has two weeks to go and the NBA season is already at the halfway point?

The always interesting Dave Berri posted his wins produced/productivity stats for each NBA player through mid-season yesterday. As usual, the statistics reveal some interesting developments:

  • Unsurprisingly, LeBron James is the most productive NBA player so far this season. Surprisingly, Gerald Wallace of Charlotte is the second-most productive player.
  • So far this season, there are no super teams, but a bunch of really good ones. The top teams in the NBA in terms of Wins Produced and efficiency differential are the Lakers, Cavaliers, Celtics, Hawks, and Spurs, each of which posted a Wins Produced mark of more than 27.5, which means that each such team is halfway to 55 wins.  Denver, Orlando, Portland, and Utah are halfway to 50 wins.
  •  The Rockets are over-achieving a bit, having generated 23 wins out of a Wins Produced and efficiency differential score of 21. Blue-collar PF Luis Scola is the most productive Rocket at 5 Wins Produced, while flashy PG Aaron Brooks ñ who the Chronicle sports page christened the new Rockets star last week ñ is the least productive Rocket player in the regular rotation at 0.9 Wins Produced.
  • The most productive player at each position so far this season are as follows: SF James (13.8 Wins Produced); PF: Marcus Camby (11.8 Wins Produced), C: Dwight Howard (10.0 Wins Produced), PG: Chris Paul (9.8 Wins Produced), and SG: the 76erís Andre Iguodala (8.0 Wins Produced).

This seasonís edition of the Rockets is an entertaining mix of good complementary players who move the ball very well offensively and generally play hard-nosed defense.

But they donít shoot particularly well as a team and the lack of an inside presence defensively hurts the Rockets. Barring a major injury, the Rockets might make it to 45 wins, but my sense is that breaking even (i.e., 41 wins) would be a good performance by this club given its personnel limitations at this point in time.

With the Tracy McGrady contract expiring after this season, look for the Rockets GM Daryl Morey to make a deal for a go-to player either at some point during the remainder of this season or in the off-season. Thus, despite their gritty play so far this season, I would not be surprised if the Rocketsí nucleus looks substantially different going into next season.

Visiting Florence

Regular readers of this blog know that I’ve been traveling to Florence, Italy frequently over the past year to visit my son Andy, who is attending the Angel Academy of Art there. Here is slideshow of photos from that beautiful city with musical accompaniment from Alison Krauss and Robert Plant. Enjoy!

Winter Golf in The Woodlands

The following are recent photos of the Tournament Course at The Woodlands that I recently took during a brilliant Texas morning in January with my buddies, Jerry Sagehorn and John Stevenson.

The Tournament Course is still known to most Houstonians as “the TPC” from the days when the course was known as the Tournament Players Course at The Woodlands.

Opened as The Woodlands East Course in 1978, the TPC is a wonderful design from the collaboration of Robert Von Hagge and Bruce Devlin from their time together in the late 70’s and early 80’s.

In the mid-1980’s, the Houston Golf Association and the PGA Tour arranged a licensing arrangement with The Woodlands Corporation and The Woodlands Country Club in which the East Course was transformed into a Tournament Players Course with the typical spectator mounds found on such courses. After that, the HGA moved the Houston Open golf tournament to the TPC and, for the following 18 years, the tournament enjoyed its most successful run in its long history. As a result, Shell Oil Corporation decided to become the tournament’s title sponsor, which solidified the Houston Open as one of the top second-tier tournaments on the PGA Tour.

When the HGA decided to move the Houston Open to Redstone in 2002, the license deal with the PGA Tour was terminated and the TPC reverted to The Woodlands Country Club, where it is now one of that club’s three courses and one of the seven courses in The Woodlands. A couple of years ago, the Champions Tour moved its Houston tournament to the TPC, a move that has catapulted that tournament into one of the top Champions Tour events because of the popularity of the TPC among the senior players.

The TPC is a joy to play and one of the best courses in the Houston area. From the men’s tees, it’s a pleasant 6600 yards (131 slope rating; 7000 yards and 138 slope from the tips) and is a great course to walk.  It has a wonderful variety of holes, punctuated by the final two holes — 17 (nicknamed “the Devil’s Bathtub”) and 18 – a long par 4 over water – are two of the two finest finishing holes that you will find anywhere.

I love the contrast in the photos between the light brown of the dormant Bermuda grass with the various shades of greens of the trees, winter rye-seeded tee areas and the lightly overseeded greens. Enjoy!

Update: Another slideshow of the course, this time on a cool Autumn morning with the course in full bloom, is here.

Sharp cheddar

In our continuing series of splendidly creative commercials, check out this one for Normís Cheddar (H/T Bill Hesson):