McClain keeps mailing it in

McClainThis really was not meant to be my "bash the Chronicle" week. I mean, really — the local newspaper already has enough problems.

But what else can one do when confronted with this blather from the Chronicle’s lead NFL columnist, John McClain?:

Let’s cut to the chase: The Texans should make the playoffs for the first time. We all know it.

The Texans are better than they’ve ever been. Their offense was terrific when Matt Schaub returned from his knee injury and won three of his last four starts. The Texans have got a better running game.

With Frank Bush as the new coordinator, the defense should improve dramatically with the addition of nine free agents and draft choices competing for playing time.

Just six months ago, this is what McClain was saying:

I picked the Texans to beat the Ravens by three. Many of you said, in so many words, that I was a moron to pick the Texans. I was. I’ve learned my lesson. After getting every pick right this season, I blew this one. I won’t make that mistake again this season.

After watching Sunday’s game against Baltimore, I think the Texans are fully capable of losing the rest of their games and finishing 3-13. It’s time to start preparing for the draft. Gary Kubiak’s third season is over.

The Texans are a joke, an embarrassment to themselves, the organization and to the city. They put on a wretched performance at Reliant Stadium on Sunday when they quit in the fourth quarter and allowed the Ravens to humiliate them 41-13.

Under the circumstances, I believe this was the worst loss in team history. A victory at home over a team with a rookie head coach and a rookie quarterback would have made them 4-5. Now they’re 3-6 with road games against Indianapolis and Cleveland, two more struggling teams that’ll be licking their chops at the prospects of playing such a putrid team.

The Texans were horrible on offense and terrible on defense. Everyone on the team — indeed, everybody in the organization — should be embarrassed to say they participated in or witnessed this debacle.

Anyway, you saw what I saw. There’s nothing left for me to say about this abomination  .  .  .

Despite McClain’s despair, the Texans somehow pulled themselves together to finish 8-8 on the season.

Of course, the above outburst came over a year after McClain had breathlessly anointed Coach Kubiak as the second coming of Bill Walsh.

And that came after years of McClain columns in which he extolled how former Texans GM Charlie Casserly and head coach Dom Capers were "building the Texans the right way." McClain quickly changed his tune when Casserly and Capers’ "effective building" resulted in a disastrous 2-14 record in the Texans’ fourth season.

Frankly, the Chronicle’s NFL citizen-bloggers Stephanie Stradley and Lance Zierlein are much more measured and analytical than McClain in their coverage of the NFL and the Texans.

Does anyone in Chronicle management even notice?

Permanent Enron myopia

Loren Steffy Inasmuch as what took place with regard to Enron earlier in the decade has now happened to much of Wall Street, the vacuity of the Houston Chronicle’s coverage of Enron-related matters has become clear.

Nevertheless, Chronicle business columnist Loren Steffy still cannot work himself out of his small Enron shell.

Most recently, Steffy wrote this column in which he compares Sir Allen Stanford of the beleaguered Stanford Financial Group to former Enron executives, Ken Lay and Jeff Skilling:

All this finger pointing should bring a strong sense of déjà vu to Houstonians, who watched Enron’s meteoric rise and fall, as well as the unsuccessful efforts of the late company chairman Ken Lay and CEO Jeff Skilling to plead ignorance of the company’s fraudulent accounting practices and blame any criminal behavior on the chief financial officer, Andy Fastow.  .  .  .

If Stanford is any indication, the “I’m not a crook, I’m an idiot” defense for CEOs remains alive and well. For those who buy the idea that people who construct and direct massive financial enterprises are really dunces who haven’t a clue how they function, we’ve got a truckload of Enron shares to sell.

Of course, the foregoing is a complete misrepresentation of Skilling and Lay’s defense. Rather than contending that he did not know what was going on at Enron, Skilling contended that he was a hand’s-on manager over virtually all facets of Enron’s far-flung business operations. Similarly, Lay contended that he became intimately involved in day-to-day management of the company after re-taking the Enron CEO role when Skilling resigned unexpectedly in August, 2001. Thus, Skilling and Lay’s position was that they were totally engaged in Enron’s massive business operations, that there was no wide-ranging fraud, and that Enron’s trust-based business model failed when skittish post-9/11 markets became spooked over conflict-of-interest allegations regarding Fastow’s role in generally legitimate special purpose entities.

That’s a bit different than Sir Allen’s defense that "he left all the financial stuff" to Stanford Capital’s CFO James Davis, don’t you think?

Steffy has done this before in regard to Enron-related matters, so another misrepresentation isn’t really surprising. But what is troubling is the Chronicle’s continued promotion of Steffy’s simplistic world view in which most troubled businesses are seen as merely a vehicle by which greedy and unethical executives exploit helpless investors. Indeed, Steffy’s fatuous viewpoint casts complex business events as merely struggles by honest investors against bad executives. Not only does this viewpoint ignore reality, it provides Steffy comfort by allowing himself to feel morally certain and superior to those he is belittling, while saving himself from the hard work of performing any serious analysis.

Morality plays are comfortable and easy to tell. The truth is more nuanced and harder to explain. In choosing to take the easy way out, the Chronicle and Steffy have forfeited the opportunity to provide a valuable service to investors and businesspeople by furthering understanding on such key subjects as the importance of hedging risk and the fragile nature of trust-based businesses.

That type of understanding sure would have come in handy for many investors in Wall Street firms over the past couple of years.

April 30, 2009 Update: Loren Steffy responds here and points out that the quote that I used above is from a Chronicle editorial that he did not write. For that error, I apologize.

However, Steffy’s related column here makes the same misrepresentation regarding Ken Lay’s defense and Steffy’s blog post continues to fail to respond to the misrepresentation.

Some things never change.

NBA Playoffs Win Probability

nba chartThis is very cool.

Brian Burke, who authors the Advanced NFL Stats webpage, has developed a model for win probability for the NBA playoffs.  So, as you watch the Rockets/Blazers playoff game tonight, you can also watch a chart that calculates and constantly updates the probability of victory for each team while the game progresses.

Can you imagine the dynamic that these charts will contribute to the already electric playoff atmosphere at the Las Vegas casino sports books? ;^)

Barcelona 1908

This 36 Hours in Barcelona column in Sunday’s New York Times reminded me of this fascinating video of Barcelona in 1908 shot from a streetcar. Enjoy.

Sisters Morales "You Wanna Love Me"

Another talented group that came of age in the Houston club scene, the Sisters Morales.

Remember Ken Lay?

KenLayJoe Weisenthal and Henry Blodget over at Clusterstock have been all over the breaking story yesterday that, as many of us suspected, former Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and perhaps other governmental officials threatened Bank of America CEO Ken Lewis and the BofA board if the bank exercised its right to terminate the Merrill Lynch acquisition based on a material change in Merrill Lynch’s financial condition.

Of course, this is not the story that Lewis and Paulson were telling to BofA shareholders. They were assuring the shareholders that the Merrill Lynch acquisition was a great deal for BofA.

A few years ago, former Enron chairman Ken Lay was prosecuted to death for promoting Enron even though he had a reasonable basis for believing that what he was saying about his company was true. In contrast, neither Lewis nor Paulson could even offer the defense in a criminal fraud trial that they thought that the good things that they were telling BofA shareholders about the Merrill Lynch deal were true. We now know that they knew that the assurances were false.

This is not to suggest that Paulson or Lewis should be prosecuted for criminal fraud. They were in an extremely difficult situation — they and others were concerned that the U.S. and world financial system might collapse if the markets became spooked by BofA backing out of the Merrill Lynch deal. I didn’t agree with that concern, but I understood the position of those that did. They may have been correct. At this point, we’ll never know for sure.

However, regardless of whether that view was correct, neither Paulson nor Lewis should be prosecuted for a violation of criminal law for their actions. Although they made false statements to the markets regarding BofA’s acquisition of Merrill Lynch, there is no question that they thought what they were doing was essential to saving the financial system and firms such as BofA.

If their actions make them responsible for damages to BofA shareholders, then let that liability be sorted out in civil court where liability can be allocated fairly to everyone who had a hand in causing those damages. What’s to be gained by throwing them in prison? They simply were not operating on the same fraud plane as Bernie Madoff.

But here is my other point — Ken Lay was prosecuted to death for conduct that was not even intentional. Now that what happened to Enron has happened to many of the biggest and most prestigious Wall Street firms, isn’t it about time that somebody in the federal government acknowledges that what was done to Ken Lay was a massive injustice?

And in the meantime, isn’t it about time that this barbaric injustice be rectified, too?

Checking in on J.R. Richard

RichardAccording to this interesting Bugs and Cranks interview of former Stros fireballer J.R. Richard, the 6′ 8" righthander is still holding some grudges against the local ballclub:

Five Astros pitchers have had their numbers retired, including two, Nolan Ryan and Don Wilson, who won fewer games with Houston than you did. Why isn’t your number 50 retired at Minute Maid Park?

That question I cannot answer. I do not have anything to do with that. Really, the same question has often been offered at me — why? But I cannot ask myself too many questions about that, I don’t try to seek the answers, because at this time, I really don’t know. And I have a lot of people, everywhere I go asking me the same question — why? And I have no answer.

Richard’s career was tragically cut short by the stroke he suffered at the age of 30, and it is well-chronicled that the Stros management at the time did a poor job of arranging for a proper diagnosis of Richard’s condition that might have prevented the stroke. That led Richard to undertake some questionable treatment on his own, including a trip to a chiropractor on the day he suffered the stroke.

However, as good as Richard was from the age of 26 to 30, he was not as good as current Stros ace, Roy Oswalt. In those five seasons, Richard saved a total of 73 more runs than an average National League pitcher would have saved pitching the same number of runs as Richard pitched (Runs Saved Against Average — "RSAA"). In his seasons from age 26-30, Roy O’s RSAA was almost 137, almost twice that of Richard’s.

Interestingly, Nolan Ryan, who was Richard’s teammate at the time of Richard’s stroke, had an RSAA for the same period in his career of 77, just slightly better than Richard’s.

The career statistics or Richard, Oswalt and Ryan are below, courtesy of Lee Sinins‘ sabermetric Complete Baseball Encyclopedia. The abbreviations for the pitching stats are here:

J.R. Richard Stats

The importance of good timing

Zurich Classic As noted earlier here, the Shell Houston Open had its best field in decades earlier this month when it was played the week before the Masters. Based on the World Golf Rankings, 15 of the top 20 players, and 21 of the top 30 played in the SHO, including No. 2 Phil Mickelson, No. 3 Sergio Garcia, No. 5 Padraig Harrigton and No. 6 Vijay Singh.

Just three years ago, when the SHO was being played in the slot two weeks after the Masters, Only two of the top 10 players in the World Rankings played and only ten others in the top 60 of the World Rankings bothered to show up.

This year, the Zurich Classic of New Orleans has the slot two weeks after the Masters that the SHO used to inhabit. Only one of the top 10 players in the World Rankings is playing — Kenny Perry (5) — and only two more of the World top 20 are in the field, Steve Stricker (12) and Mike Weir (20). And that’s even with New Orleans offering arguably the best cuisine of any event on the PGA Tour.

Timing is everything in the Tiger Chasm.