Continuing to suspend reality on financing the soccer stadium

Soccor stadium proposed dynamo_4 This earlier post addressed the economic absurdity of having financially-strapped Texas Southern University make an investment in the long-proposed Houston Dynamo downtown soccer stadium.

However, why is it that common sense seems to evaporate into thin air whenever either TSU or the soccer stadium is mentioned? Buried in this Chronicle article about TSU’s failure to prepare its students adequately to pass state licensing examinations is the following gem of analysis on TSU’s proposed investment in the Dynamo stadium:

TSU President John Rudley and athletic director Charles McClelland also gave an early report on negotiations to share a new stadium with the Dynamo, Houston’s professional soccer team.

McClelland said the proposed $105 million stadium would seat 21,000. In exchange for a $2.5 million investment, TSU would get a 20-year lease, a locker room, 50 percent of concession sales and 100 percent of the profit on TSU merchandise sold there, he said.

The deal is preliminary, and regents won’t vote for a while. The stadium won’t be completed until 2010 or 2011, he said.

McClelland, on the job just a few months, said the deal would be a good investment for the university, whose football team plays mostly at the University of Houston’s Robertson Stadium, at a cost of $40,000 a game.

The Tigers occasionally rent Reliant Stadium, which costs $115,000 a game, he said.

Investing in a new stadium would be cheaper in the long term, he said.

TSU has a stadium, but it seats only 4,500 — too small for the competitive football program McClelland has promised to build — and lacks the amenities people expect.

Let’s see now. In return for pre-paid rent of $2.5 million (which TSU really doesn’t have to throw around right now), TSU gets a 20-year lease, 50% of concession sales (on only its games or on all events of any type?), a locker room, 100% of TSU merchandise sales and a pink slip at the end of the 20-year lease term. I hope that locker room is really nice.

Meanwhile, without paying a dime up front, TSU can continue to lease Robertson Stadium on the University of Houston campus for about $200,000 per year (5 home games x $40,000) or $4 million over a 20-year term. While playing at Robertson, TSU could invest the $2.5 million that it wouldn’t have to pay the Dynamo and easily generate at least another $2.5 million off that investment over the 20-year lease term. At the end of 20 years of playing at Robertson, TSU would have a net surplus of at least $1 million to play with.

So, in view of the foregoing, my question is this: How could any reasonably responsible TSU leader even consider using the scant existing financial resources of that institution to invest in the Dynamo soccer stadium?

Perhaps the answer is revealed in the last paragraph of the Chron article:

Regents cautioned Rudley and McClelland to make sure TSU has good representation in the negotiations. "They’re sharks," Javier Loya said of the Dynamo’s leadership.

Update: Some folks actually think this is a good deal for TSU!

On the driving range in The Woodlands

Stacy Lewis Several years ago, during the early part of the final round of the U.S. Women’s Open, I was hitting balls at the driving range of the Player Course here in The Woodlands. I figured that I would hit balls for awhile and then catch the final part of the Women’s Open on television.

It was quite hot that day and so the only other person hitting balls that day on the range was a young woman and her father. In between hitting balls, I watched the young woman hit some shots. Her swing was impeccable and frankly much better than most of the professional golfers who I had seen during the earlier rounds of the Women’s Open. As I left the range that day, I complimented the young woman on her swing and observed that, with that swing, she really ought to be playing that afternoon in the final round of the U.S. Women’s Open. The young woman and her father thanked me graciously for my compliment.

Well, what do you know. That young woman — Stacy Lewis — is now playing in her first tournament as a professional and leads the 2008 U.S. Women’s Open going into the final round. Read about Stacy’s remarkable story here.

Update: Lewis faded to a 78 in the final round and finished third behind Inbee Park.

The Quad previews the Coogs

New Picture In its countdown of the 120 Division I-A football programs, The Quad previews the 2008 Houston Cougar football team at no. 64.

U.S. Energy Policy

energypolicy

Via Tom McMahon.

The stress of selling snake oil

snakeoil_1 In my annual preview of the Stros’ season, I made the following observation about the then newly-acquired Stros pitcher, Shawn Chacon:

"Chacon was an inconsistent starter for six seasons before washing out with the Yankees and Pirates in 2006 (-24 RSAA — ouch!). He revived his career last season with the Pirates as a setup man, so what do the Stros do? Insert him back into the starting rotation. This is unlikely to turn out well."

You can say that again.

Boys will be boys. Chacon was not a happy camper after being banished fromthe starting rotation to the Stros’ bullpen last week, so his outburst is not all that surprising. It’s not as if Chacon (-3 RSAA; 5.04 ERA) has pitched appreciably worse over the course of the season than Brandon Backe (-1 RSAA/4.82 ERA), who inexplicably enjoys a secure spot in the rotation with nary a hint of a demotion. Indeed, Backe and Chacon’s career numbers are not much different — they are both below National League-average pitchers. Backe has pitched a tad better lately, but beware of small sample sizes. Sure, the Stros demoted Chris Sampson from the rotation earlier in the season, so there was precedent for demoting Chacon. But Sampson had pitched appreciably worse as a starter than Chacon, and without any demonstrably better starters on the pitching staff or in the farm system, I can understand how Chacon thought that his demotion was at least premature under the circumstances.

It’s not particularly surprising that first-year Stros GM Ed Wade flew off the handle, either. His attempt to retool the Stros into a playoff contender on the fly is looking more like an unmitigated disaster by the day. Wade made four major off-season acquisitions and none of them have panned out. CF Michael Bourn (18 RCAA/.305 OBA/.331 SLG/.636 OPS) has been one of the worst hitters in the National League among regular players this season.  Expensive 2B Kaz Matsui (-6 RCAA/.336 OBA/.342 SLG/.678 OPS) is continuing his legacy of never playing more than 114 games in any one of his five seasons in Major League Baseball, while SS Miguel Tejada (-4 RCAA/.329 OBA/.459 SLG/.789 OPS) has continued the decline in production that began three seasons ago in Baltimore. Even the barely above-average performance of closer Jose Valverde (2 RSAA/4.34 ERA) has paled in comparison to that of the closer that Wade ran off, Brad Lidge (12 RSAA/0.87 ERA). Add in the fact that the Stros’ hitters — other than slugger Lance Berkman — have generated an astounding 93 fewer runs this season than an average National League team would have created using the same number of outs as the Stros’ hitters have used and it’s easy to understand how Wade is feeling the heat these days.

Ironically, acquiring Chacon was not one of Wade’s particularly bad deals from this past off-season. Inasmuch as Chacon accepted a below-average MLB salary ($2 million) for a shot at earning a spot in the Stros’ rotation and performed at just below National League-average for the season to date, Wade certainly didn’t overpay for that performance.

But the reality is that Wade and the Stros have been selling snake oil this season, and the suckers are starting to thin out. This Stros club is a seriously bad baseball team and it doesn’t have the Craig Biggio Farewell Tour to distract the paying public from the club’s glaring inadequacies. As noted in this most recent season review, it’s well past time for Stros management to quit attempting to patch together a winner from year-to-year. Now is the time to focus on development of a rebuilding plan that has a better chance of re-creating the sustained success that the club enjoyed during the Biggio-Bagwell era.

Rebuilding is not as snazzy as selling snake oil, but it’s honest and much less likely to provoke the frustrations that boiled over in the Stros clubhouse on Wednesday.

Colbert on Hannity

Stephen Colbert channels Jessica Hagy in analyzing conservative talk-show host Sean Hannity.

The Future of Law Firm Advertising?

Clear Lake-area plaintiff’s lawyers Ron and Scott Krist use the YouTube video below to explain why helicopter crash victims should hire their firm. Not exactly To Kill A Mockingbird, but pretty darn effective nonetheless. By the way, I wonder who the defense attorney was that Scott got fired?

Browse while finding a pickup game

basketball Proving that there is a market in almost everything, Infinite Hoops allows you to find or schedule pickup basketball games. About 15 years and a blown out Achilles’ Tendon late for me, though.

Meanwhile, Zoomii is a slick virtual bookstore for Amazon books. Zoomii is a real world bookstore that allows you to browse through Amazon books just as if you were wandering through Border’s or Barnes & Noble. Zoomii – Virtual Bookstore for Amazon Books.

The Web is truly amazing.

Clear thinking to begin the week

 

Expanding DKR Memorial

PICT0041 A couple of years ago, while attending the Texas-Iowa State football game (blog post here), I took the photo on the left of the horseshoe section on the north end of the University of Texas’ Darrell K. Royal Memorial Stadium. After the 2006 season, UT began the process of replacing the horseshoe section with a more modern end zone section that is closer to the field and contains the now-ubiquitous luxury suites and club section that are a part of most big-time college football stadiums these days. The new section is now complete and ready for the 2008 season, so check out this cool time lapse video of the construction of the section. We get things done fast down here in Texas. ;^)