Following on these earlier posts regarding the increasing threat of criminal indictment that is being place on American International Group executives, AIG canned two of its top executives — CFO Howard I. Smith and VP Christian M. Milton — after the two invoked their Fifth Amendment right against possible self-incrimination in the ongoing investigation into whether whether AIG manipulated its books in connection with a transaction involving General Re Corp., a unit of Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc.
Both men were terminated pursuant to an AIG company policy that requires employees to cooperate with government authorities investigating matters pertaining to the company. However, the two employees were clearly placed in an untenable position given recent developments in similar criminal investigations. In connection with this investigation involving Computer Associates, three former executives of that company pleaded guilty to obstruction of justice charges that were not tied to alleged misstatements told to federal investigators, but to alleged misstatements made to the company’s own law firm during the company’s internal investigation. Similarly, in this case involving accounting giant KPMG, the government required threatened criminal action against KPMG in connection with a tax avoidance scheme unless the firm forced one of its partners to cooperate with the government, which of course can use the partner’s statements against him in prosecuting a crime.
Accordingly, rather than attempt to facedown the government over its increasingly common use of its odious power to criminalize merely questionable business transactions, the AIG Board has decided to offer several sacificial lambs to the Lord of Regulation in an effort to avoid a meltdown of the company. One can only ponder how many such lambs this Lord will require?
Category Archives: Business – General
John DeLorean, RIP
John DeLorean died yesterday at the age of 80 from the effects of a recent stroke.
John Zachary DeLorean was one of the more interesting business characters of the past two decades. His famous stainless-steel sports car project collapsed in the 1980’s, although the use of the futuristic auto as the time travel machine in the Back to the Future movies ensures that the car will never be forgotten.
Moreover, DeLorean’s criminal trial in California in the 1980’s on cocaine trafficking charges introduced America to the entrapment defense as DeLorean’s lawyers persuaded the jury that DeLorean had been the unwitting victim of a government sting operation. Or, as one wag put it at the time, “the government successfully managed to frame a guilty man.”
DeLorean was the son of a Ford factory worker and grew up on Detroit’s east side during the Great Depression of the 1930’s. After earning an undergraduate engineering degree and an MBA graduate degree, DeLorean went to work in the automotive industry, first for Chrysler and then Packard.
But when he moved to General Motors in the 1960’s, DeLorean’s star really began to rise and, as head of GM’s Pontiac division, he pulled off a marketing coup by turning the innocuous Tempest LeMans compact coupe into a hot rod called the GTO. The combination of an intermediate body with the most powerful engines available soon became a legend within the automotive industry.
Had he remained with General Motors, DeLorean may have accomplished even greater feats, but he was too flashy for the notoriously buttoned-down GM culture. Handsome and stylish, DeLorean became a celebrity himself, dating such beauties as Ursula Andress and Raquel Welch, and eventually marrying supermodel, Christina Ferrare.
Alas, DeLorean’s life was a struggle over the last two decades. Although he managed to beat the cocaine trafficking charges, he was married and divorced several times, and filed bankruptcy twice. In the most recent bankruptcy, DeLorean sadly was forced to sell his luxurious New Jersey estate to generate proceeds for his creditors. His most recent business venture was a company that marketed watches under his name. In the end, DeLorean’s legacy is that of a talented innovator who did not have the depth of business or management skills to be a successful entrepreneur.
Update: As is typical of British obituaries, the Guardian’s on DeLorean is delicious.
Interesting graph on the historic price of oil
Oil prices are a common theme of many posts on this blog, and this interesting Forbes magazine graph does a great job of placing current oil prices in historical perspective over the past 145 years.
Though some grades of crude have recently set record price highs on New York and London futures markets, the Forbes graph shows that, when adjusted for inflation, the price of oil is still only 60% as expensive as it was in 1980.
Continental reiterates pessimistic earnings forecast
Houston-based Continental Airlines reiterated this earlier warning by announcing in this Form 8K filing that it is forecasting continued “significant” losses for 2005, but projecting cash flows and reserves are sufficient to carry it through the year so long as employee unions approve management’s proposed spending reductions. The company said in this latest filing that it expects ratification of the new labor contracts by the end of March.
Continental’s update followed similarly downbeat forecasts issued in recent days by other legacy airlines. Continental expects cash expenditures during the quarter of $200 million, which would allow it to come out of the first quarter with decent unrestricted cash and short-term investments balance of $1.3 billion to $1.4 billion.
Continental also said in the filing that it does not currently have any fuel hedges in place, which is a move that has protected Southwest Airlines from escalating oil prices.
The high risk of conducting business in Russia
Earlier this year, the Yukos chapter 11 case in Houston highlighted the fact that governmental persecution is a risk of doing business in the still emerging capitalist markets of Russia. An incident yesterday underscored another risk of doing business in Russia that is difficult to hedge effectively — i.e., that extra-judicial means are still the approach favored by many in resolving business disputes in Russia.
Anatoly Chubais, the CEO of Russia’s state electric company and one of Russia’s most prominent pro-Western politicians, survived a brazen assassination attempt in Moscow yesterday as the attackers detonated a roadside bomb and then sprayed Mr. Chubais’s armored car with machine-gun fire. A retired Russian army colonel and explosives specialist was arrested a few hours after the attack, which was at least the third on Mr. Chubais’ life over the years.
Inasmuch as he was the architect of the rigged privatizations during the 1990s that transferred the country’s business wealth from the state into the hands of a few Kremlin-connected cronies, Mr. Chubais certainly has his share of enemies. More recently, he has been pushing a plan to overhaul Russia’s deteriorating power grid and to restructure the state electric company. Mr. Chubais also has a somewhat testy relationship with Russian president Vladimir Putin after Chubais sided with a liberal party against Mr. Putin in the most recent parliamentary elections in Russia.
Although the number of business contract murders in Russia reportedly have declined in recent years from the “cowboy era” of the period after Communism failed, the killings still occur and the Russian government’s response tends to differ based on the state view of the moment toward the victim. That does not evoke warm and fuzzy feelings for foreign investors who are considering committing capital in any of Russia’s numerous undercapitalized industries or markets.
Meanwhile, over at AIG and Berkshire . . .
And while the business and legal worlds focus on the implications of the Ebbers conviction, this NY Times article reports on the uneasiness at Berkshire Hathaway as New York Attorney General Eliot Spitzer carves another notch in his anti-business holster with the resignation of longtime American International Group chairman, Maurice “Hank” Greenberg, who is every bit as prominent in financial circles as Berkshire chairman Warren Buffett is in the investment field.
In striking contrast to Mr. Ebbers’ fate, this week’s “retirement” of AIG CEO Greenberg was the result of AIG’s board trying to soften the wrath of AG (i.e., “Aspiring Governor”) Spitzer. AIG remains one of the world’s largest and most lucrative financial services businesses. Mr. Spitzer was about to take Mr. Greenberg’s deposition in his ongoing investigation of transactions between AIG and Berkshire’s General Re Corp., so the AIG board unceremoniously elected to dump the man who had built the company into a giant in the hope of avoiding further legal scrutiny by the Aspiring Governor.
What is unfortunate about all of this is that, in the current anti-business culture that is fostered by films, the MSM, and prosecutors such as Mr. Spitzer, the AIG Board’s throwing of Mr. Greenberg to the wolves just might have been the most reasonable business decision under the circumstances. In light of recent civil settlements by directors in the Enron and WorldCom cases, the main risk for directors now is failing to get rid of a CEO at the first sign of Mr. Spitzer or some other irregularity. Even if that that means showing the door to a CEO with Mr. Greenberg’s long record of great returns for shareholders, that’s just life in the big city.
Based on what is publicly known about Mr. Spitzer’s investigation into the AIG-General Re transaction, it would not be unreasonable for any CEO to run for cover out of fear that she is the next target of this voracious appetite to criminalize even normal business practices. If you believe Mr. Spitzer, Mr. Greenberg arranged a transaction in 2000 with General Re that made AIG’s reserves look slightly better than they really were. However, the deal did not affect AIG’s net income and was the type of transaction that AIG — and many other companies in the insurance industry — have done for years without any adverse market reaction, much less a criminal investigation.
Nevertheless, as Mr. Spitzer continues pressing his campaign to criminalize business, it does not matter whether a transaction was considered proper in the past. Mr. Spitzer knows that he can get what he wants without the details of due process and a trial by undermining a company’s stock price in the media. Such an approach is contrary to the rule of law, but Mr. Spitzer proceeds with the warm understanding that no one in the MSM will ever call him out on the injustice of his ways.
Perhaps the Aspiring Governor will yet turn up something more damaging at AIG and Berkshire than what has been reported to date. But the AIG morality play is turning out about the same as other Spitzer investigations — a CEO gets canned, the company pays a big fine, and the Aspiring Governor gets good P.R. with perhaps a few crimes sprinkled in to titillate public interest in the matter. Although the dubious policy of criminalizing business generally is bad enough, Spitzer’s manipulation of huge companies by publicly attacking common business practices — without any measure of prosecutorial discretion or due process — is taking governmental regulation of business to an entirely new and more dangerous level.
Update: Don’t miss Professor Ribstein’s observations on the foregoing process, which he insightfully characterizes as the “Imperial Regulator and the Divine CEO.”
Oil price bubble?
Traditionally, the NY Times views high energy prices as a failure of the government to regulate the oil barons properly. Thus, when the Times starts talking about a possible bubble in energy prices, take note.
CEO news
After a couple of years of shareholder unrest over the direction of the Walt Disney Co., the company’s board yesterday named veteran Disney insider Robert Iger to replace Michael Eisner as the company’s CEO. Mr. Iger was Mr. Eisner’s choice to to succeed him. Here are the previous posts over the past year on the turmoil at Disney.
The theory behind the appointment of Mr. Iger is that he is best suited of all the candidates to continue Disney’s recent financial success because of his experience with the inner workings of the unique Disney culture. On the other hand, some Disney board members are still smarting over the choice of Mr. Iger over over outsider Meg Whitman, the eBay Inc. CEO who interviewed for the job a week ago but almost immediately withdrew her name from consideration because she felt the Disney board favored Mr. Iger.
Consequently, Mr. Iger’s selection is unlikely to bring immediate peace to the fractured Disney boardroom, in which dissident board members Roy E. Disney and Stanley Gold have already criticized Mr. Iger’s selection as being a sham orchestrated by by Disney Chairman George Mitchell.
Meanwhile, Eliot Spitzer is about to carve another notch in his belt as this NY Times article reports that Maurice R. “Hank” Greenberg, who turned American International Group Inc. into a financial services industry giant over the past generation, is planning to step down as chief executive amidst concern on the company’s board over investigations into certain of the company’s structured finance transactions with a Berkshire Hathaway insurance unit. Here is an earlier post on Mr. Spitzer’s investigation into AIG’s practices.
Mr. Greenberg’s imminent departure from AIG is a stunning reversal for the New York-based financial-services titan. Mr. Greenberg is one of America’s most successful CEO’s, and has personally transformed AIG over the past 40 years from an obscure property-casualty insurer into one of the world’s largest financial-services companies. Its market capitalization of almost $170 billion makes it one of the world’s most valuable companies, and Mr. Greenberg is one of the company’s largest individual shareholders.
Finally, President Bush on Friday picked John Hopkins University physicist Michael Griffin to lead the National Aeronautics and Space Administration to replace Sean O’Keefe, who left NASA earlier this year after three years in the top job to become chancellor of Louisiana State University. Dr. Griffin will become the space agency’s 11th administrator.
For the past year, Dr. Griffin has headed the space department at Johns Hopkins University’s Applied Physics Laboratory in Laurel, Md. It is the lab’s second-largest department and specializes in projects for both NASA and the military. Dr. Griffin has a fairly incredible academic background, which includes a Ph.D. in aerospace engineering and five master’s degrees — aerospace science, electrical engineering, applied physics, civil engineering and business administration. Before taking over the space department at Johns Hopkins, Dr. Griffin was president and chief operating officer of In-Q-Tel, a CIA-bankrolled venture-capital organization and, earlier in his career, Dr. Griffin worked at NASA as chief engineer and as deputy for technology at the Strategic Defense Initiative Organization.
Last year, Dr. Griffin was a part of a team of experts who recommended that NASA retire the space shuttle by 2010, send astronauts back to the moon by 2020, and then mounting human expeditions to Mars and beyond. The report recommended retiring the space shuttle in order to accelerate work on a spaceship that could carry astronauts to the international space station and ultimately to the moon.
Texas Pacific’s purchase of Enron Oregon utility scuttled
The Oregon Public Utility Commission announced Thursday that it had decided not to approve Texas Pacific Group‘s proposed $2.35 billion purchase of Enron subsidiary Portland General Electric because “the potential harms or risks to PGE customers from the deal outweigh the potential benefits.” Here are the earlier posts on this situation.
PGE is Oregon’s largest utility with about 755,000 customers. Texas Pacific is the closely-owned Fort Worth investment firm that has been trying to buy PGE out of Enron’s bankruptcy estate for more than a year despite widespread public resistance in Oregon. Even such major industrial customers of the utility such as Intel Corp. came out against the deal.
State law required the state regulators to decide whether ratepayers would benefit from the takeover and that no public harm would result. Inasmuch as the commission could have approved the deal outright or conditioned approval of a sale on certain additional requirements, the outright denial of the proposed purchase is a crushing defeat for Texas Pacific and Enron creditors.
If Texas Pacific does not win an appeal of the utility commission’s ruling, then Enron’s creditor’s committee will essentially decide what to do with PGE. The two most likely results are just to distribute new stock of the utility among Enron creditors or reopen the bidding for the utiity. Representatives of the City of Portland has publicly stated that it would make a bid for the utility.
Continental reports big revenue decrease
The airline industry just continues to reel. Yesterday, Houston-based Continental Airlines announced that competition from Delta Air Lines‘s recent broad-based fare cuts is the primary factor behind a revenue decrease that will be at least $50 million more than it originally expected. Last year, Continental reported a net loss of $363 million on revenue of $9.74 billion.
Continental now expects annual revenue to sink by about $200 million instead of its previous estimate of $150 million, according to this SEC filing made yesterday. Although the fare cuts have brought more customers to Continental, the fare cuts are producing less total revenue.
Continental is one of Houston’s largest employers and is generally regarded as one of the healthier legacy U.S. airlines. Nevertheless, it continues to struggle to compete more effectively with lower-cost carriers such as Southwest Airlines.