Anne Linehan over at blogHouston.net alerts us to this Chronicle article that updates the situation facing the City of Houston in regard to its investment in two downtown Houston hotels, The Magnolia and the Crowne Plaza. This earlier post examined the City’s problem investments in the hotels, while this post addressed the soft market for hotel rooms in downtown Houston.
As Anne notes, not much has changed in regard to the situation since the prior report on the hotels’ financial problems. The hotels are still not generating enough revenue to service the City’s subordinated debt on the hotels, and it is not at all clear from the article that the hotels are even generating positive cash flow from operations exclusive of debt service. Thankfully, the City’s total investment in both hotels is under $15 million, which is a drop in the bucket compared to this other dubious investment.
Nevertheless, after throwing a few $15 millions around, you could be talking about some real money, so the City needs to address the situation responsibly. As noted in the earlier post, despite its notes on the properties, the City is really just a preferred equity investor in these hotels. Consequently, the main issue at this point is whether the hotels are being managed properly and whether there is a reasonable chance that they can generate enough revenue to break even from an operations standpoint. Assuming a “yes” answer to those two questions, then the City simply needs to look at these properties as long-term (make that very long-term) investments that need to be monitored as a part of its long-term investment portfolio. The hotels could also be productively used as poster children from time to time whenever some City official floats the idea that it is good economically for the City to loan money on a project that private financing will not support.
On the other hand, if either of the answers to the foregoing questions is “no,” that raises additional issues that a City government is institutionally incapable of handling well. In that event, some second or third buyer of one of these hotels might just be able to turn a profit on the City’s dime.
Category Archives: Business – General
The Jobs commencement speech
How many people would have predicted that Steve Jobs would give the best commencement speech of the year?
The text of his address to the graduating class of Stanford University proves that he did. After noting his experience as a cancer survivor, Mr. Jobs observed:
Death is very likely the single best invention of Life. It is Life’s change agent. It clears out the old to make way for the new. Right now the new is you, but someday not too long from now, you will gradually become the old and be cleared away. Sorry to be so dramatic, but it is quite true.
Your time is limited, so don’t waste it living someone else’s life. Don’t be trapped by dogma – which is living with the results of other people’s thinking. Don’t let the noise of other’s opinions drown out your own inner voice. And most important, have the courage to follow your heart and intuition. They somehow already know what you truly want to become. Everything else is secondary.
Read the entire speech. Bravo!
Update: Here is an audio link to Mr. Jobs speech.
The legacy of Lee Brown?
This Dan Feldstein/Chronicle article reports that the brother of former Houston mayor Lee P. Brown was implicated this morning during the opening stages of the federal corruption trial of Cleveland, Ohio businessman Nate Gray:
[O]n the first day of a major bribery trial here of three other men, prosecutors played a wiretapped cell phone conversation in which Cleveland businessman Nate Gray brags that “the mayor’s brother and I are like this.”
“I can go into Houston and have more juice than a local guy,” Gray told a young attorney who wanted to learn the ropes of Gray’s consulting business.
“Greasing palms” was how to get things done, said Gray, who faces 44 counts of bribery-related charges.
Two other people Gray allegedly gave cash and gifts were Houston city officials ? former Brown chief of staff Oliver Spellman and building services director Monique McGilbra.
Both pleaded guilty to accepting bribes and are expected to testify against Gray. . .
Prosecutors said Brown got monthly payments totaling thousands of dollars and even a payment specifically for promising to talk to his mayoral brother about a pending contract.
Here is a previous post regarding Ms. McGilbra’s plea deal, and Kevin Whited over at blogHouston.net (more here) has been covering these developments from the beginning.
Where there is smoke in such matters, there is often fire. Stay tuned on this one.
Is Bethune going after United?
This Houston Business Journal article is reporting that former Continental Airlines CEO Gordon Bethune is leading one of the investor consortiums that the United Airlines’ Creditors’ Committee is touting as one of the groups that is interested in investing in a plan of reorganization in United’s chapter 11 case. Mr. Bethune stepped down as Continental’s CEO this past December 31, and is widely credited with managing Continental in a manner that avoided a third chapter 11 case for the Houston-based airline.
It’s yet another reflection of the abysmal nature of the airline business that a CEO’s success in that business is defined by whether he can manage around a chapter 11 filing.
Greater Houston Partnership names new Executive Director
The Greater Houston Partnership Monday named Jeff Moseley as its new Executive Director to replace Jim Kollaer, who announced his resignation in February after 15 years in that position. Mr. Moseley is a former Denton County Judge who is currently the Executive Director of Texas Economic Development office, an agency that markets Texas for business and tourism development. Here is the Chronicle story on the appointment.
The Greater Houston Partnership is a private, non-profit organization formed in 1989 that serves as the primary advocate of Houston’s business community and is dedicated to building economic prosperity in the region. It counts about 2,000 local businesses as members.
Update: Mr. Kollaer reminisces on his tenure in this Chronicle interview, in which he notes that the highlight was helping to arrange for the new downtown ballpark and the lowlight was the demise of Enron. One particularly interesting observation is the following:
Q: How about the economy of Houston? How will that look in 20 years?
A: In 1982 we were 82 percent energy. Today we’re at 45 percent energy. In 20 years we’ll be somewhere in the low 30s if we continue on the path we’re on now.
Purcell finally resigns from Morgan Stanley
In the face of an exodus of key employees and an embarrassing $1.45 billion jury verdict in the Perelman case, Philip J. Purcell and the Morgan Stanley board jointly announced yesterday that Mr. Purcell was resigning as CEO of the venerable financial services firm.
Although some characterized the fight that Mr. Purcell faced at Morgan as a dispute between Morgan’s financial bluebloods with Mr. Purcell’s more modest banking types, that’s really a gross over-simplification of the reason for the infighting. Rather, Mr. Purcell represented the dubious concept of the “financial supermarket,” which prompted Morgan’s 1997 merger with Dean Witter. The theory of that merger was that bringing together a top investment bank creating stocks and bonds with the business of advising retail investors which stocks and bonds to buy was a sure-fire winner.
Geez, what a doozy of a miscalculation that was.
The carnage at Morgan over the past couple of years was borne of the resentment by the Morgan investment banker-types over just how badly Dean Witter’s Mr. Purcell had taken them to the cleaners over that merger. Dean Witter’s Discover credit card unit accounted for just 5% of the market eight years ago and still accounts for 5% of the market. Similarly, Dean Witter’s mutual funds were mediocre performers then and remain mediocre performers now. Finally, Morgan Stanley paid a $50 million civil penalty a couple of years ago because former Dean Witter brokers had been highly compensated for steering customers to inferior mutual funds. So, it’s not exactly like Dean Witter added much to Morgan Stanley’s reputation.
However, Mr. Purcell continually outmanuevered Morgan Stanley’s investment bankers in taking control of the combined company. Mr. Purcell refined his management skills as a McKinsey consultant who advised Sears on its financial diversification, then spun off his Dean Witter unit while Sears spit the bit on his financial diversification model.
In the merger with Morgan Stanley, Mr. Purcell allegedly arranged to have himself named initially as chairman and CEO, but agreed to have Morgan’s John Mack takover after the merger had stabilized. Regardless of whether such a promise was really made, Mr. Purcell quickly stacked the board in his favor and Mr. Mack eventually left Morgan in a huff in 2001.
Accordingly, over the past several years, many key traders, bankers and rainmakers exited Morgan as it became clear that loyalty to Mr. Purcell was a condition for advancement. Meanwhile, a growing contingent of former Morgan executives began a campaign to oust Mr. Purcell, most of whom were embarrassed by the way Mr. Purcell orchestrated the 1997 merger and all of whom believed that Dean Witter and Mr. Purcell had kidnapped the firm’s formerly sterling investment banking reputation. It simply grates the old-time Morgan executives to no end that Mr. Purcell and his Dean Witter allies control Morgan’s name while the Morgan investment bankers still contribute most of the firm’s profits. Meanwhile, the Dean Witter businesses that Mr. Purcell brought to the table continue to contribute relatively little to Morgan’s bottom line.
At any rate, Mr. Purcell’s resignation is not particularly surprising, given the recent exodus of top executives, the Perelman mess and the fact that has stated repeatedly that he would retire in three years, anyway. Any bitterness on Mr. Purcell’s part over his earlier-than-expected exit will be softened by the fact that he will likely walk away with a total of at least $62.3 million in restricted stock, stock options, pension benefits, deferred compensation and other retirement savings.
One can only wonder what he would have earned had the 1997 merger gone well?
Optimism and pessimism in the airline business
It’s a bit difficult to keep up with the different perspectives regarding the airline business these days.
On one hand, this NY Sunday Times article laments just how close some of the major airline companies are to breaking even on an operations basis. It is perhaps the best reflection of the state of the airline industry that breaking even on an operational basis is viewed as a breakthrough achievement for many airlines.
On the other hand, this Wall Street Journal ($) article on Monday reports that Northwest Airlines appears headed toward chapter 11. The company’s stock has lost 42% of its value this year and its largest individual shareholder is bailing out. Rating agencies recently downgraded the company’s senior unsecured debt to junk while citing unsustainably high labor costs and pension-plan obligations.
Professor Ribstein continues to tout the right idea for beginning to solve the financial problems of the airline industry, but it remains difficult to put an airline company out of its misery.
The Enron Airline?
A sure sign that a discussion on a particular subject has deteriorated to an unrecoverable level is a participant’s allegation that the other side’s position defends Nazism in some respect. With regard to discussions about business, it’s quickly becoming evident that such discussions have degenerated into uselessness when one participant accuses the other side’s position of defending Enron.
This NY Times article reports on a Congressional hearing yesterday in which Delta Air Lines Chief Executive Gerald Grinstein, Northwest Airlines President and Chief Executive Officer Douglas Steenland, and UAL Chairman, President and CEO Glenn Tilton testified in favor of proposed legislation that would allow airlines to freeze pension plans and extend their current obligations over 25 years. Last month, United Airlines obtained Bankruptcy Court approval to shift its employee-pension plans — including their nearly $10 billion shortfall — on to the federal government’s Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp.
In response to the airline executives’ rather reasonable comments in support of common-sense legislation, Senator Charles Grassley (Rep. Iowa) called United Airlines a “catastrophe” and compared United Airlines to Enron Corp., saying the carrier used “illusory investment gains” to “hide and disguise” the true financial condition of its pension plans. “Unlike Enron, however,” concluded Sen. Grassley. “Everything United did was perfectly legal.”
Well, playing the Enron card may make for a good sound bite, but it’s a sure sign that Mr. Grassley wants to avoid addressing what’s really troubling the airline industry — i.e., Big Labor supported by compliant politicians. Let’s take United as a case in point. At a time when unions owned over 50% of the company, controlled three board seats, and effectively hired and fired the company’s CEO, the unions decided to increase their retirement compensation by approving unfundable pension obligations while, at the same time, extracting maximum current wage benefits that made United uncompetitive from an operations standpoint. Thus, United’s owner-employees effectively looted the company with high current compensation benefits while, at the same time, effectively insuring that they would also ultimately loot the federal government’s Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation, which they knew would be the guarantor of at least a substantial portion of United’s unfundable pension obligations.
Frankly, even the Enron sharpies didn’t think of such a scheme.
George Will on the Wright Amendment
Washington Post columnist George F. Will adds this column to the growing body of opinion that the Wright Amendment — which restricts Southwest Airlines from flying to most states from its Dallas Love Field hub — is at least obsolescent and probably bad public policy in the first place. Here are previous posts on the Wright Amendment.
In his column, Mr. Will passes along a humorous anecdote from Herb Kelleher, Southwest’s chairman, regarding the Wright Amendment and the beginning of the airline:
In 1971, after years of harassing litigation by two airlines averse to competition, Southwest Airlines was born. It had just three aircraft and flew only intrastate, between Dallas, Houston and San Antonio. This first of the no-frills, low-cost airlines, under the leadership of its ebullient founder Herb Kelleher, was to democratize air travel and revolutionize the airline industry.
The cities of Dallas and Fort Worth, and the Dallas/Fort Worth airport, which opened in 1974, tried unsuccessfully to force Southwest to move its operations from close-in Love Field out to DFW, arguing that the new airport depended on this. Today Kelleher laughingly recalls telling a judge:“If a three-aircraft airline can bankrupt an 18,000-acre, nine-miles-long airport, then that airport probably should not have been built in the first place.”
The noose tightens — General Re exec cops plea
John Houldsworth, an executive at Berkshire Hathaway Inc.’s General Reinsurance Corp. unit, has agreed to plead guilty to a charge of criminal conspiracy in connection with the company’s nontraditional insurance finance transactions with American International Group Inc. Although Mr. Houldsworth — who is on paid leave, but who headed General Re’s reinsurance unit in Dublin — faces up to five years in prison for participating in the disputed 2001 transaction between AIG and General Re, that sentence will likely be less so long as Mr. Houldsworth fulfills his pledge to cooperate with the U.S. Justice Department and the Securities and Exchange Commission in their investigation of AIG and Berkshire. Here are the previous posts on the various investigations of AIG and Berkshire.