You have to hand it to the owners of the National Football League — they recognize a public relations blunder when they see one coming.
As noted in earlier posts here and here, the NFL owners’ attempt to drive a hard bargain with cable companies that service most of the nation’s television viewers has backfired badly in regard to the owners’ NFL Network venture. The viewing marketplace couldn’t care less about the NFL Network’s product and the NFL owners have come off looking like petty moneygrubbers by not making a deal that allows most football fans to watch the NFL Network’s games. In the meantime, the NFL owners’ refusal to cut a deal with the cable companies meant that two post-season bowl games to be televised by the NFL Network — Houston’s Texas Bowl between Rutgers and Kansas State and the Insight Bowl pitting Texas Tech against Minnesota — would not be seen by most viewers in the nation.
Well, the huge collective yawn of viewers, combined with the growing crescendo from long-suffering Rutgers fans who were not going to be able to watch their team play in the Texas Bowl, has prompted the NFL owners to offer an olive branch — one week of free access to the NFL Network in the New York area during the week of the two bowl games.
Now, the only problem with the offer is that Time Warner — one of the largest cable companies in the country and the one that services most of Houston — has not decided whether to accept the NFL owners’ offer. Regadless, most football fans in Houston won’t see the game because the NFL owners’ offer is limited to the New York area.
Are you getting the same impression that I have that the NFL owners have overplayed their hand a bit on this one? ;^)
Category Archives: Business – General
Krispy Kreme’s new strategy
The mercurial rise and fall of Krispy Kreme used to be a common topic on this blog, so I took notice of an interesting observation about the company that the NY Times’ business columnist Floyd Norris recently made on his blog:
Krispy Kreme came out with some more sort-of numbers today, and the market liked it. Its stock rose 17 cents, to $9.98.
The doughnut company said sales were down, and that it continued to lose money in the quarter ended in October. But it said it couldnít get out a 10-Q report to the Securities and Exchange Commission, or calculate just how much it lost, because it was too busy working on older reports.
The company has not put out any reports for the current fiscal year, and is still missing one from the quarter than ended two years ago.
But the stock has done well. It is up 74 percent this year. Short-sellers still hate the company, with the last monthly report showing a short position of 19.3 million, more than 30 percent of the shares outstanding, but others think the glory days will return. Some of those shorts evidently cannot find shares to borrow, but hold on to their positions anyway. The company has been on the list of stocks with a large number of failures to deliver for 110 days.
When the New York Stock Exchange continues to list a company, and investors continue to embrace it despite long-delinquent filings, it is hard to see what incentive the company has to get the full numbers out. It promised the S.E.C. today that it ìintends to file the Exchange Act Reports at the earliest practicable date,î but did not speculate on when that might be.
In other words, the company is doing so poorly that it has almost crossed the line to doing well. ;^)
Continental’s big news
The big news story today in Houston is the announcement about Continental Airlines engaging in merger negotiations with Chicago-based United Airlines. Here are the stories from the Wall Street Journal ($), the NY Times, the Financial Times and the Houston Chronicle.
The bottom line on the proposed merger is that it’s a longshot for a variety of reasons, not the least of which is that such mergers are traditionally complex and expensive. However, the fact that merger talks between the second-largest (United) and the fifth-largest airlines are taking place at all is a reflection that the airline industry is primed for a round of consolidations as the industry rebounds from the severe downturn that was inflamed by the effects of September 11, 2001 attacks on New York and Washington. United ended up in a long reorganization case under chapter 11 that it emerged from in early this year, but both Continental and United have absorbed higher fuel costs and added capacity, and are among the carriers that are expected to Improve financially in 2007. Mergers could help both airlines reduce overhead by eliminating overlapping routes.
One of the issues that mitigates against a merger between the two airlines is “golden share” that Northwest Airlines Corp. holds in Continental, which is a special voting series of Continental preferred stock Northwest holds in connection with a marketing alliance with Continental that does not expire until 2025. Thus, if a proposed merger requires shareholder approval of Continental, then Northwest could use those shares to block the merger. But Continental and United could simply structure around the golden share, such as having Continental buying another airline so long as such a transaction didn’t require Continental shareholders’ approval.
Also, United is clearly playing the field right now. The airline has recently approached Delta Airlines, which is currently wallowing in a chapter 11 case, regarding a merger through a chapter 11 plan of reorganization as an alternative to a hostile takeover bid that US Airways is currently pursuing.
Continental shares declined yesterday 5.6% to $42.88, but they continue to trade near the top of their past year range. The stock of UAL, United’s parent, also is trading near its 52-week high after closing down 2.9% at $43.23. This is the type of deal that will either gain momentum quickly or fizzle out, so stay tuned.
Executive compensation is actually too low?
Larry Ribstein has been waging a lonely fight (examples here and here) against the politicians and media pundits who think that executives make too much money because . . well, . let’s see, . . because some of them make a lot of money. Or some logic similar to that.
At any rate, Dominic Basulto — who is the editor of the Fortune Business Innovation Insider — observes in this American.com op-ed that the conventional logic on executive pay actually has it backwards. Most executives are underpaid:
In fact, thereís strong evidence that, far from being paid too much, many CEOs are paid too little. Not only do the top managers of multibillion-dollar corporations earn less than basketball players (LeBron James of the Cleveland Cavaliers makes $26 million), they are also outpaced in compensation by financial impresarios at hedge funds, private equity firms, and investment banks. Should we care? Yes. If other positions pay far more, then the best and the brightest minds will be drawn away from running major businesses to pursuits that may not be as socially usefulóif not to the basketball court, then to money management.
Read the entire piece. I wonder what Gretchen Morgenson will say?
What’s going on at Ford?
While most of the auto industry news of late has been the hubbub over Kirk Kerkorkian bailing out on his investment in General Motors, my sense is that the more interesting (or pathetic) snippet is this one reporting that Ford Motor Company fell in November to fourth place in vehicle sales for the first time in history. Ford sold 10% fewer vehicles last month than it did a year earlier.
Meanwhile, Ford management is pursuing a restructuring plan in which the company is raising $18 billion secured by essentially all of the company’s assets in order to spend about $17 billion in an effort to stem Ford’s current annual revenue loss of close to $10 billion a year. About 38,000 employees — over 10% of the company’s work force — have resigned and accepted a buyout offer from the company. Thus, the new creditors are placing a rather large bet that Ford will be able to service the new mountain of new debt with expected profits from new products generated by a knockoff strategy similar to the one that the Japanese automakers used to make inroads in the US market during the 1970’s (Ford’s new products are expected to emulate the Lexus brand).
My impression of all this is to question what these people are smoking.
The Delta Center becomes the Melta Center
Naming rights deals on stadiums and arenas are notoriously speculative ventures, and sometimes the naming itself becomes rather odd. Inasmuch as debtors in bankruptcy such as Delta Airlines don’t normally renew naming rights deals, a nuclear waste company has bought the naming rights for what was formerly known as the Utah Jazz’s Delta Center, prompting local wags to propose nicknames such as Glow Bowl, the Isotope, the ChernoBowl, the Tox Box, and the Melta Center.
Of course, the Times story can’t report on this development without reminding us of Houston’s naming rights fiasco:
Radioactivity is quite new to naming rights, unless you count the brief time before Minute Maid replaced Enron as the name of the Houston Astrosí ballpark.
By the way, this Forbes slideshow (related article here) reviews the ten largest naming rights deals, which is led by another Houston deal.
The Committee on Capital Markets Regulation Report
As expected, the report of the Committee on Capital Market Regulation issued today is calling for represents arguably the most high-profile effort to date to present in the public forum the case that excessive business regulation — much of it an overreaction to the corporate scandals of the post-stock market bubble period earlier this decade — is stifling public securities markets and causing the U.S. markets to lose business to foreign competitors. A copy of the 148-page report can be downloaded here.
Most notably, as Larry Ribstein explains in more detail here, the report suggests that the premium for listing on both United States and a foreign market for foreign companies has dropped dramatically since 2002. Shares of a foreign company are generally worth more if they are listed both on U.S. markets as well as their home markets because — at least in theory — investors will pay more for the stock due to the additional confidence provided under the United States regulatory system. The report finds that the cross-listing premium has declined for companies also listed in countries with sophisticated markets and less onerous corporate governance controls, such as Hong Kong, Japan, and England, and that the premium has remained steady or increased only in regard to companies cross-listing from countries with questionable controls, such as Italy, Brazil and Turkey. Thus, the clear implication is that the U.S. is losing its previous competitive edge in securities markets to countries with sophisticated securities markets and less onerous corporate governance regulations.
The committee is directed by Harvard law professor Hal Scott and is co-chaired by former White House adviser Glenn Hubbard, now dean of Columbia University’s business school, and John Thornton, former president at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and now chairman of the Brookings Institution. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson is expected to welcome the report as he is already publicly advocating many of its recommendations and recently called for a broad re-examination of business regulations and laws.
The report’s theme is that a change in regulatory philosophy is necessary to preserve the viability of U.S. securities markets. The revised philosophy is one based more on general principles than rules, similar to England’s Financial Services Authority, which uses principles-based regulation and oversees all British financial firms, in comparison with the U.S.’s web of federal and state banking and securities regulators. The report recommends generally that the SEC act more like federal banking regulators and concentrate more on the underlying soundness of the financial markets and less on individual acts of wrongdoing “with less publicity surrounding enforcement actions,” a clear jab at the public relations campaigns that prosecutors have mounted over the past several years to demonize businesspersons.
The report makes 32 specific recommendations, six or which pertain to easing the application of Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act governing internal company-financial controls that are absurdly expensive for most businesses to implement. Other recommendations call for setting a higher bar for regulators or private litigants to sue outside auditors, independent directors and company employees, and also recommends that Congress cap auditors’ liabilities.
NFL Network draws a big yawn
This earlier post noted that the dispute between the fledgling NFL Network and various cable companies has kept the network off of most the nation’s homes that are wired for cable or satellite television.
Now, this NY Times article indicates that the inability to see the NFL Network’s first game on Thanksgiving Day evening was met with a huge collective yawn by viewers.
As noted in the earlier post, the Los Angeles area gets along just fine without its own NFL team. This WSJ ($) article notes that that there is a buyer’s market for advertising time to this year’s Super Bowl. There is no need for regulatory action in regard to the NFL Network’s petulant stance with the cable companies. Just let the markets give the NFL owners the message that there are other things to do on weekends and holidays than watch NFL games.
Chizik leaves Austin for Ames
Let me see if I’ve got this straight.
Iowa State University has hired former University of Texas defensive coordinator, Gene Chizik, as its new head football coach to replace my old friend Dan McCarney, who resigned under pressure a couple of weeks ago despite being the most successful coach in Cyclone football history.
Chizik is essentially the same age as McCarney was when ISU hired him in 1995. Moreover, Chizik’s background is basically the same as McCarney’s was at the time that ISU hired him, except that McCarney had far superior experience to Chizik in the Midwestern recruiting areas that are key to the ISU program.
Chizikís deal is worth a guaranteed $6.75 million over six years ó with incentives that could increase that to as much as $10 million over those years ó while McCarney’s contract was worth about $4.4 million, but only $780,000 guaranteed, through 2010.
More notably, however, is that ISU is guaranteeing Chizik $1.5 million annual budget for compensating his assistant coaches, which is one of the highest of such budgets among Big 12 Conference members. On the other hand, McCarney constantly requested ISU throughout his 12-year tenure for a budget sufficient to pay for the best assistants available on the market, but he was continually rebuffed by ISU’s athletic administration. As a result, McCarney’s budget for paying his assistants was in the lower tier of such budgets among Big 12 Conference members.
My question is this ó why didn’t ISU simply increase McCarney’s assistant coach compensation budget, and then avoid the extra money and risk involved in hiring Chizik? Maybe this all works out, but it sure looks to me as if ISU has taken a huge risk where a much smaller one would have been more likely to continue the most successful era in ISU football history.
By the way, UT’s defense gave its two most uninspired defensive performances of Chizik’s two seasons in Austin during losses to Kansas State and the Texas Aggies in its final two games of this season. Did Chizik’s distraction with negotiating a deal with ISU have anything to do with that? Mark Wangrin of the San Antonio Express-News observes:
Chizik has been more careful in his choice of destinations. Now, though, with the shine off his reputation, he may not have much of a choice. He must decide whether to jump toward a more mediocre program or stay at least another year and try to rehabilitate his reputation as a defensive mind. He must prove this season hasn’t exposed his thinking as only working when he has exceptional talent at safety. He must show he can adjust.
Bainbridge Cubed!
A month or so ago, Clear Thinkers favorite Stephen Bainbridge took some time off from blogging while revamping his blog site.
Now, he’s back. And he’s tripled!:
Professor Bainbridge’s Business Associations Blog
Professor Bainbridge’s Journal (Politics, Religion, Culture, Photography, and Dogs)
Professor Bainbridge on Wine