Who is running this asylum?

ReliantStadium%20and%20the%20Astrodome.jpgLet’s get this straight.
First, the local hotel market has been overbuilt for years, partly because the city government financed some deals of questionable merit. Heck, most any weekend, it’s easy to obtain a discount rate on a very nice luxury hotel room in downtown Houston.
Then, the private financing market tells us that the redevelopment of the Astrodome into a resort hotel is not financially feasible.
So, given those clear messages, what does the chairman of Harris County Sports & Convention Corp conclude? Explore a financially feasible use for the Dome property, such as demolishing the Dome to save the county the millions it has spent over the past five years mothballing the facility and provide much needed parking for the Reliant Park complex?
No, he would rather do precisely the one thing that will ensure that the county will lose the maximum amount in regard to the Dome property:

The county may consider picking up some costs of transforming the Reliant Astrodome into a luxury hotel or doing the $450 million redevelopment itself if a private effort to carry out the project falls through, a top official said Friday. [. . .]
“From day one, we have always known that it is an option to do this as a publicly developed program,” said Mike Surface, chairman of the Harris County Sports & Convention Corp., which manages Reliant Park. “If I’m looking out for Reliant Park’s interests, I would say, ‘County, you should think about doing this.’ “

And just how would the county pay for such a folly?

No property taxes would go toward the project in any case, he said.
If the county paid for part or all of the project, it would use hotel and sales taxes generated by the hotel complex and other Reliant Park revenue, such as concessions.

Except that Houston already has among the highest hotel and sales tax rates in the country. Moreover, the county doesn’t even own the rights to receive the proceeds from a substantial amount of the concession sales at Reliant Park, such as those the Texans and the Houston Livestock Show & Rodeo generate in their events at Reliant.
Surface, bless his soul, sounds delusional:

Surface said he and some other board members are so confident in the project that the board may look for another developer to step in if Astrodome Redevelopment’s effort fails.

Thank goodness there appears to be at least one stable attitude among Harris County Commissioners toward the proposed Astrodome hotel:

County Commissioner Steve Radack has said, however, that he does not think the project makes sense and will oppose any county participation.

From my vantage point, it appears that Surface floated a trial balloon that Radack mercifully shot down. Hopefully, Radack’s clear statement will put an end to this foolishness. The county needs to move on and consider productive uses of the Dome property rather than chasing rainbows.

Astrodome Hotel deal on the rocks

Reliant%20Astrodome%20Hotel%20032907.jpgIn an era of tightening credit and equity markets, the Astrodome Hotel idea — which never gained enough traction to become an official boondoggle — finally appears to be on the ropes:

The developer endorsed by Harris County to transform the Astrodome into a 1,000-room destination hotel complex has missed two deadlines to show suitable proof of a financial partner for the $450 million project.
An August 2006 letter of intent signed by the county and Astrodome Redevelopment Corp. outlined various milestones to be met in the process.
When proof of funding did not meet the specified December 2006 deadline, the county granted an extension to March 1.
Scott Hanson, president with Astrodome Redevelopment, found a New York bank interested in backing the mammoth development. County officials were not satisfied with the commitment as presented. [. . .]
Says Hanson: “It’s happening. It’s just a timing issue. Sometimes the wheels don’t turn as fast as we’d like them to.” [. . .]
The developer wants to enter into a definitive agreement with the county this year on the project, and hopes to begin construction by early 2008.
“I think that’s probably aggressive,” says Mike Surface, chairman of the Sports & Convention Corp.
“These projects wind up taking a lot more time than you anticipate,” he adds. “There are still a lot of approvals that have to take place.” [. . .]
“We’ve come a long way … but there is a long way between now and getting a deal inked,” Surface says. “For people to start booking their rooms today is a bit premature.”

Translation: This deal, which always has had earmarks of being a pipe dream, is on life support. The problem with procrastinating about demolishing the Dome and using the land for a better use (i.e., badly needed parking at Reliant Park) is that the Dome continues “to eat” — that is, Harris County continues to pay between $1.5 and $2.0 million a year just to maintain it on a mothballed basis. That’s an expensive price to pay while Harris County Commissioners chase rainbows. The only thing surprising to me about all this is that we’ve been talking about it for almost three years now!
Update: A very bad idea.

Romanticizing boondoggles

metrocar020107.jpgThis recent NY Times article caught my attention because it extols the virtues of Portland, Oregon’s pretty new Aerial Tram mass transit project despite the fact that it’s quite expensive relative to the number of folks who will regularly use it. These fatuous media reports that ignore the dubious underlying economics of such projects are a consistent element of urban boondoggles.
Turns out that some other folks noticed the Times story, too. Wendell Cox wrote the following letter to the NY Times editor about the article:

Re: City that Loves Mass Transit Looks to the Sky for More (January 28)
Now The New York Times has been taken in by the Portland transit hype. The ìcity that loves mass transitî shows it by not using riding very much. Today, the share of workers using transit to get to work is less than before the first light rail line was built. Today, little more than two percent of travel in the Portland area is on transit and 98 percent of motorized travel is by car. That is really not much different than automobile champion Kansas City, where the figure is above 99.5 percent. The kind of cheerleading in this article may warm the hearts of urban elites, but only serves to muddle and mislead.

Meanwhile, Houston’s own urban policy wonk — Tory Gattis — provides a balanced analysis of the Portland mass transit system in this post about a recent lecture that he attended by a fellow who was instrumental in the planning of the Portland system. The NY Times report on the Portland system reads like an advertisement in comparison to Tory’s post.

More ripples from Kelo

eminent domain.jpgThe economic and legal impact of the Supreme Court’s controversial decision last year in Kelo v. New London has been a common topic on this blog, so this Institute for Justice press release on a property dispute that arose from a developer manipulating a local government’s eminent domain power for his own benefit:

A federal court has now approved an extortion scheme using eminent domain under last yearís Kelo decision. Unless the U.S. Supreme Court overturns the rulings, developers may threaten property owners, ìYour money or your land.î
Think this is an overstatement?
Consider what is happening right now in Port Chester, N.Y., to entrepreneur Bart Didden and his business partner, whose case will be considered for review by the U.S. Supreme Court on January 5, 2007.
With the blessing of officials from the Village of Port Chester, the Villageís chosen developer approached Didden and his partner with an offer they couldnít refuse. Because Didden planned to build a CVS on his propertyóland the developer coveted for a Walgreensóthe developer demanded $800,000 from Didden to make him ìgo awayî or ordered Didden to give him an unearned 50 percent stake in the CVS development. If Didden refused, the developer would have the Village of Port Chester condemn the land for his private use. Didden rejected the bold-faced extortion. The very next day the Village of Port Chester condemned Diddenís property through eminent domain so it could hand it over to the developer who made the threat.
The 2nd U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals upheld this extortion under last yearís Kelo eminent domain decision. The court ruled that because this is taking place in a ìredevelopment zoneî they couldnít stop what the Village is doing.

Read the entire piece. Is it any surprise that most property owners over on Richmond Avenue in Houston want no part of the new proposed Metro light rail line? Bad law makes for perverse incentives, particularly when the incentivized party can use the 800 pound gorilla of the state for private purposes.

Phoenix’s light rail boondoggle

Metrorail car-Houston4.jpgThe dubious economic nature of Houston’s light rail system is a common topic on this blog, so I took interest in this insightful Warren Meyer post that ponders why a light rail system is being built in Warren’s hometown of Phoenix, which is one of the few metro U.S. areas that may be even less conducive to such a system than Houston.
Given the inefficiency and inflexibility of such systems, Warren wonders who supports such boondoggles and suspects that a few powerful businesspeople are using the rail line in an effort to jumpstart the misguided goal of establishing a dominant downtown area in the decentralized Phoenix metro area. Add in a few high-minded environmentalists and many others who are simply ignorant of the enormous cost relative to the benefit of such systems and, as Peter Gordon wryly-noted awhile back:

“It adds up to a winning coalition.”

Unfortunately, as another Phoenix-area resident — Nobel Laureate Ed Prescott — reminded us recently, once such coalitions are successful in establishing a governmental policy subsidizing such boondoggles, it is much more difficult to end the public subsidy of the boondoggle than to start it in the first place.
By the way, Houston Metro’s subsidy of its light rail system has other perverse effects, such as the lack of security for one of the transit options that actually makes sense for the Houston area.

Keep those buses handy

Metrorail car120506-Houston.jpgWendell Cox reports on a little problem that occurred in St. Louis recently that ought (but probably won’t) give the Houston Metropolitan Transit Authority pause:

Buses Replace Light Rail in St. Louis
A large ice storm hit the St. Louis area last night and power is out to nearly one-half of the area. The areaís light rail line, Metrolink, has suspended service for much of its alignment and is providing substitute bus service.
Meanwhile, there appears to be no instance of light rail providing replacement for buses anywhere in the metropolitan area — for that matter probably never in history, anywhere. Another demonstration of the flexibility of urban rail.

The enormous cost relative to usage and inflexibility of most rail systems reminds me of something that Peter Gordon observed awhile back about the political forces that support these boondoggles. Some are disingenous promoters seeking to profit from the rail lines, some pose as high-minded environmentalists and many are simply ignorant of the inefficiency and inflexibility of such systems. As Professor Gordon wryly points out:

“It adds up to a winning coalition.”

By the way, Anne Linehan over at blogHouston.net continues to follow another cost of the Houston light rail system that Metro doesn’t much like talking about.

Costly assumptions

Metrorail car-Houston2.jpgTory Gattis over at Houston Strategies continues to do a great job of analyzing Houston Metro’s proposed Richmond (or is that Westpark?) rail line (see here and here). However, I continue to be amazed by the Houston mainstream media’s myopia in failing to take a look at the rail experience of Los Angeles, an area that shares many characteristics with the Houston metro area, but is much more densely-populated, which is normally a requirement for making an urban rail line successful.
That myopia is leading to a dangerous dynamic in the rail transit debate that USC urban economics professor Peter Gordon notes in commenting on this LA Times story regarding extension of the LA region’s rail system. Professor Gordon observes that, despite irrefutable evidence that the LA rail system has been a boondoggle of massive proportions, the LA Times article does not even bother to address the threshold issue of whether more money should be dumped into the black hole rail transit system in the first place. Rather, the article assumes that the money will be spent and then simply addresses the issue of where it will go. Professor Gordon notes the incongruity of it all:

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You just knew this was coming

Magnolia2.jpgFollowing on posts here and here from last year regarding the City of Houston’s ill-advised investment in several downtown hotel properties, this Matt Stiles/Chronicle article reports that the City had decided to “restructure” (translated: Can you please pay us something?) $15 million in second lien loans on the Magnolia and the Crown Plaza hotels in downtown Houston rather than attempting to foreclose on the properties and deal with the messy business of attempting to eke out a profit from the two highly-leveraged properties in an overbuilt downtown hotel market.
As noted in this previous post, the Magnolia and Crowne Plaza are poster projects for why local governments should rarely get involved in financing projects that private financing sources will not support. In reality, the City is nothing more than a preferred equity investor in these highly-leveraged properties and, thus, its entire $15 million investment is at serious risk of being lost. That type of loss is not going to break the City of Houston finances, but the quality of the City’s investment decision should give one pause when considering the amount of money the City is throwing around in regard to these equally dubious investments.

A $43 million limousine service

Metrorail car-Houston.jpgAnne Linehan and Kevin Whited, and Tory Gattis continue to do a good job of covering Houston Metro Rail’s ever-present expansion plans, which seem to be impervious to whether the expansion is actually needed. Previous posts on the boondoggle of rail systems in cities such as Houston are here.
Although not as slick as a trendy Metro economic report analyzing the projected benefits of an expansion of the light rail system in Houston, this Bill Schadewald/Houston Business Journal ($) op-ed describes his rather compelling analysis of Metro Rail’s ridership on one portion of the existing rail line:

As Yogi Berra once observed, sometimes you can see a lot just by looking. Neighborhoods can change character in a just a year.
Today I’m revisiting the outer Texas Medical Center area with a stroll down Fannin past Reliant Stadium along the light rail line.
It’s half-past five on a Tuesday afternoon. The walk from South Braeswood to the end of the line is about a mile, give or take. . . .
A Metro train passes, whistle wailing. The trains regularly come and go in opposite directions every few minutes.
I’m focused on heart rate and rock, not paying much attention to the rhythm of the rails. Then I happen to look over. Staring back is a single solitary face on an entire train.
The cell phone says a quarter to six. Just one rider? During rush hour? It doesn’t make sense.

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Dome redevelopment plan lurches forward

Reliant Astrodome Hotel.jpgHas it really been almost two years since we began talking about what to do with the Astrodome? (previous posts here, here, here and here).
After floating a Gaylord Texan-type concept for the past year or so, Astrodome Redevelopment Corp. and Harris County are ready to enter into a letter of intent regarding ARC’s $450 million plan to reinvent the Astrodome as a luxury convention hotel with a parking garage and new exit from Loop 610 South to keep the facility from interfering with Houston Texans games and the Houston Livestock Show and Rodeo. ARC is a consortium comprised of Oceaneering International Inc., a publicly traded firm working in engineering, science and technology; URS, an architectural and design firm; NBGS International, a theme park developer; and Falcon’s Treehouse, a Florida-based design firm.
Although touted “as a major milestone,” the letter of intent is not such a big deal. ARC needs it to be able to negotiate deals with the array of entities (Texans, Rodeo, Harris County, financiers, investors, etc.) that it will have to cut deals with in order to make a deal of this magnitude come together. The letter of intent requires ARC to have its financing arranged in six months and to have its final deal cut with the county in a year.
Although I’m surprised that this proposal has gotten this far, I give the chances of the Astrodome hotel actually coming together without public financing as roughly the same as the Texans making the Super Bowl this upcoming season.