The real New York squeeze play

hrlogo.jpgOne of Houston’s many alluring qualities is the depth and variety of affordable housing, so those local businesses or institutions in competition with New York entities for employees should take note of this recent NY Times article:

As the [New York City] apartment-hunting season begins, fueled by college graduates and other new arrivals, real estate brokers say radical solutions among young, well-educated newcomers to the city are becoming more common, because New Yorkís rental market is the tightest it has been in seven years. High-paid bankers and corporate lawyers snap up the few available apartments, often leading more modestly paid professionals and students to resort to desperate measures to find homes.
While young people in New York have always sought roommates to make life more affordable, they are now crowding so tightly into doorman buildings in prime neighborhoods like the Upper East Side that they may violate city codes. [. . .]
. . . The rents for one-bedroom apartments in Manhattan average $2,567 a month, and two-bedrooms average $3,854 a month, . . . but rents tend to be far higher in coveted neighborhoods like the Upper West Side and TriBeCa.
Because landlords typically require renters to earn 40 times their monthly rent in annual income, renters of those average apartments would need to earn at least $102,680, individually or combined, to qualify for a one-bedroom and $154,160 to afford a two-bedroom.

Comparing economic development

Statesa.gifIn this NRO op-ed, Greg Kaza compares the economies of Texas and Arkansas over the past generation and concludes that talent and capital really do react logically to choices:

State Line Road is the boundary that separates the Arkansas and Texas sides of Texarkana, a border town that is sometimes described as ìthe Gateway to the American Southwest.î State Line, to the casual observer, is merely another road separating two states. But for those in the neighborhood, the road represents something of a great divide.
Of course, on the cultural side of the ledger, we have the date that will live forever: December 6, 1969. Thatís when the top-ranked Texas Longhorns edged the second-ranked Arkansas Razorbacks, 15-14, in a dramatic college football game witnessed by President Richard M. Nixon and George H.W. Bush, a congressman at the time. ìThe Game,î as it is known locally, is still talked about on both sides of State Line Road.
But in terms of economic growth, the divide is much more lopsided: Employment growth in Texas has been significantly higher than in Arkansas during periods of economic expansion. The population in Dallas has nearly tripled in the post-WWII period, while the population in Little Rock has barely doubled in size. Per capita personal income in Texas is 94 percent of the U.S total. In Arkansas itís 77 percent of the nationís total, a level that has hardly budged since the 1970s.
The list of statistical disparities is long, and thereís a good reason why: While Arkansas and Texas share a common border, each taxes income and capital in radically different ways.
Arkansas has a top income-tax rate of 7 percent, the highest among the bordering states. Texas, however, does not impose an income tax. The imbalance is the same for capital gains: Arkansas taxes them. Texas does not.
As a result, we can see a very basic economic principle at work: Talent and capital always will flow toward higher returns.

Read the entire piece.

How to fix Houston traffic

Houston_traffic.jpgBoth surprisingly and refreshingly, the L.A. Times runs this insightful piece on several experts’ proposals to address various Los Angeles area traffic problems. The experts are a level-headed bunch, including Joel Kotkin, James E. Moore, Donald Shoup and Ted Bakalar. Inasmuch as the Houston region shares many of traffic characteristics with the L.A. area, several of the suggestions are equally applicable to local traffic. My favorite is by Kotkin:

What Los Angeles needs is a transit system that better reflects what it is ó a sprawling mid-density city. So build the world’s easiest-to-use bus system. This network should expand such transit innovations as the MTA’s Metro Rapid buses, which run in dedicated lanes, and Rapid Express buses, which make few stops. These systems are far less expensive to build than light rail or a “subway to the sea.”

The connection between coaching salaries and making book

ncaa-logo2.jpgThe questionable nature of the NCAA’s regulation of intercollegiate athletics has been a frequent topic on this blog, and two recent posts point out a couple of the perverse effects of that regulatory scheme.
First, in this Sports Economist post, Berri points out that the exorbidant salaries being paid to coaches at the top levels of college football and basketball are a direct result of the NCAA’s regulation of player compensation:

The research of Robert Brown and Todd Jewell indicates that a future NBA first round draft choice will generate more than $1 million in revenue each year in college (and this was based on data from 1996, so the $1 million figure understates the revenue generation occurring today). Clearly this sum greatly exceeds the cost of a scholarship. Because the NCAA does not compensate the players for the money being generated, this money has to go elsewhere. It seems reasonable that much of this money is currently flowing into the pockets of the coaches. But if the players were paid, the money would not be available to the coaches, and consequently wages paid to coaches would decrease.

Meanwhile, in this Wages of Wins post, Stacey Burke points out that the NCAA’s restriction on player compensation also promotes point-shaving, even at such remote outposts as the University of Toledo!:

I think it is a shame that any player (college or pro) shave points or fix games, but the real shame is on the NCAA. College athletes ñ like menís basketball and football ñ who generate large sums of money for their schools are not receiving a salary for their time and effort. This lack of payment occurs so that the NCAA can maintain the appearance that college games are amateur contests. Who does the NCAA think they are fooling? If the NCAA was willing to allow paying college athletes this would substantially reduce the incentive of point shaving.

Again, for decades, university presidents have been easy money for the owners of professional football and basketball teams, who have foisted the risk of capitalizing a minor league system for developing players on the colleges. This appears to be changing somewhat in basketball, where several minor professional leagues are now competing with the colleges for players. But the situation is not going to change for good until the colleges do one of two things — either embrace professional sports and manage the AAA minor league teams as owners do in the baseball minor leagues or convert intercollegiate football and basketball to the college baseball model and force the owners of professional football and basketball teams to capitalize their own parallel minor league systems.
Frankly, I don’t really care which approach the university presidents choose. I just want them to get on with it by showing the courage and leadership to turn their back on the antiquated hyprocrisy of the currently bloated NCAA regulatory scheme.

Metro Development Corp.

metroraillogo10.gifKevin Whited over at blogHouston.net picks up on the latest boondoggle of the Metropolitan Transit Authority — providing kickstart financing for a couple of blocks of commercial property along the Metro light rail line in Midtown.
The entire deal is really preposterous for a transit authority to be getting into. Metro bought the blocks from the developer for $7.2 million with “the expectation” that the developer is going to buy the blocks back and build a bunch of condominiums (in an already overbuilt market) that will supposedly house 1,000 happy light rail riders. According to the developer, everything is really O.K. because — get this logic — it could have been worse!:

[Developer Robert H.] Schultz said Metro may join in developing a parking garage on the site that could be used by rail riders but that the agency chose not to invest in other parts of the project.
“They didn’t want to extend that kind of money. They wanted to be much more conservative until they could see this thing was going to happen,” he said.
[Metro real estate vp Todd] Mason agreed, saying, “Metro does not want to be a developer and take on a lot of risk, but we want to be an enabler of projects like this one.”

As noted earlier here, Metro isn’t good enough in doing what it was chartered for to be taking flyers on financing speculative real estate deals. Where is that type of activity described in Metro’s charter?

That’s one heckuva garage

200%20Eleventh%20Avenue.gifThis post from awhile back noted that what it costs to rent a parking space in New York City could rent a nice apartment in Houston. But if you think that’s pricey for a parking space, you haven’t seen anything, yet.
At 200 Eleventh Avenue — a new 16 unit condo project in Manhattan (HT Felix Salmon) — the developers are offering an “en-suite garage” for a prospective owner’s automobile in 14 of the units. The website has a simulation that shows how the owner would drive his or her car into the building and into an elevator, which then takes the car to the owner’s unit, where they then drive into their 300 square foot “en-suite garage.” The cheapest unit in the development costs $4.7 million for 2,353 square feet, so that en-suite garage costs a cool $600,000, which would buy one very nice entire condo in downtown Houston.
I wonder if the developers throw in a workbench with that garage? ;^)

“Middle-class people are great, too”

map_santa_barbara.pngI swear, you can’t make this stuff up. This NY Times article reports on subsidized housing, Santa Barbara-style:

Next time you sit down to write your monthly mortgage or rent check, consider this: In Santa Barbara, about 90 miles northwest of Los Angeles, a public-private partnership is planning to build a subsidized-housing development for some families earning as much as $177,000.
ìIt does sound unusual,î admitted Rob Pearson, the executive director of the cityís Housing Authority, which helped broker the deal for the development, to be called Los Portales. ìBut Santa Barbara is getting Gucci-fied. If we donít do something, weíll lose our middle class.î [. . .]
City officials say theyíve worked to provide affordable homes for lower-income residents; about 12 percent of local housing stock falls into this category, much of it subsidized with public money. But with the average median home price in the Santa Barbara area hovering around $1.2 million, many well-employed citizens are finding it tough to buy a home.
ìItís even problematic for people like doctors,î says Martha Sadler, a housing reporter for The Santa Barbara Independent weekly newspaper. [. . .]
ìThis is good for Santa Barbaraî Sadler says. ìRich people are great, and itís interesting to live with C.E.O.ís. But there are middle-class people who are great, too.î

But not too middle class, right? ;^)

Boom Town, USA

Boomtown%20Casino_jpg.jpgMaybe it’s because I cut my teeth in business law during a prolonged recession in the Houston area in the mid-to-late 1980’s that followed a boom cycle earlier in the decade, but these kinds of articles always worry me a bit:

Galvanized by the record profits at energy companies, this city, the center of the countryís energy industry, has shaken off the effects of the Enron implosion six years ago and is enjoying its strongest resurgence in more than 20 years, business officials and real estate developers say.
Some energy companies are expanding and putting up new buildings. Others, like Citgo, Schlumberger and Halliburton, have moved their headquarters to Houston. Oil and natural gas companies have helped reduce office vacancy rates to 15 percent, a five-year low, according to Grubb & Ellis, a real estate company. Job growth is double the national average ó 97,400 jobs were created in 2006. The National Association of Realtors says the housing market in Houston is one of the strongest in the country.
ìThe increase in the oil business has made Houston,î said Randall Davis, a Houston condominium developer. ìIt feels a touch like the 1980s ó everyone is out, the restaurants are full, the bars are full. Itís like New York.î
The good news extends across the city. The port recently opened a $1.4 billion container terminal to tackle soaring traffic. In 2006, it handled 1.6 million 20-foot containers, up 29 percent from 2003. At the Texas Medical Center, hospitals and universities are investing billions in new facilities. Residential and mixed-use developments are going up downtown.

Read the entire article here. Houston in 2007 is a very different place than the Houston of 1985, particularly with regard to the more diversified local economy now than back then. But the energy industry remains the primary driver of the economy, although competition for that industry appears to be the bigger risk now than the price risk that has prompted the local economy’s boom and bust cycles through the years. This week’s announcement that Halliburton is moving its corporate headquarters from Houston to Dubai is a definite wakeup call for Houston’s leaders. Just as many Midwestern energy companies abandoned Tulsa for Houston over the past couple of decades, the same thing could happen to Houston as big energy concerns leave for greener pastures overseas.

The Law of Unintended Consequences

unintended.gifAccording to this Bloomberg article, it’s alive and well in Switzerland:

Switzerland entered a treaty with the European Union to import workers, seeking more bankers, managers and academics.
What it got was an influx of prostitutes.
The number of people offering sex for money has risen by a third in Zurich and 80 percent in Geneva since Switzerland opened its borders to workers from the 15 EU-member states at the start of 2004, police estimate. Some lawmakers predict prostitution will grow even more after the government last year removed work restrictions for residents from 10 newer EU countries as well.

The magic of innovation and markets

feeddemon-product.gifFeedDemon is a highly-popular RSS aggregator that I have used for several years. Nick Bradbury developed FeedDemon, and he passes along the interesting story of how development of this elegant product came about:

I used to rely on email, but it’s almost useless to me now.
Funny thing is, if it weren’t for spam, I might not have created FeedDemon. As I’ve mentioned before, after spam and anti-spam filters made it impossible for me to communicate with customers by email, I dumped email and started using my blog and its RSS feed to communicate instead.
And that led to the creation of FeedDemon, which I’m having a blast working on. So I actually benefited from spam. Go figure.