Author Archives: Tom

Baseball Prospectus 2008 is here

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Baseball Prospectus 2008 TK Baseball Prospectus 2008 is now shipping, so it’s time to order your copy in plenty of time for the beginning of the MLB season. In terms of improving your understanding of baseball, it’s the best $14 you can spend.

Given the direction of the Stros over the past two seasons, I was prepared for the BP experts to trash the local club’s chances for this season. But it’s really not all that bad. BP even kind of likes new Stros General Manager Ed Wade’s "win-now strategy," which they characterize as "so crazy that it just might work" in the chronically mediocre National League Central Division.

But even though BP doesn’t trash the Stros too badly, the same can’t be said BP’s treatment of Stros owner, Drayton McLane. Most of BP’s overview of the Stros is critical of McLane, such as the following on McLane’s revolving door policy with regard to General Managers and Managers:

This front-office turnover has contributed to a fundamental disconnect between the aspiration to contend and what appears to be the preferred means of doing so. Rather than focus on how to contend through improving the personnel in the lineup, the Astros have instead operated for years on the assumption that certain players were building blocks because they liked them, not because of what they actually contributed on the field. When the players in question are Biggio and Jeff Bagwell in their primes, that’s fine; when they are Ausmus, Everett, or a completely cooked Biggio, the term "building block" is robbed of its meaning.

Given this mentality, it was really no surprise that the Astros turned 2007 into a supersized Viking funeral for legitimate franchise great Biggio, complete with a team-level self-immolation, and with little but the ashes left to show for it at the end.  .   .

I really can’t recommend Baseball Prospectus 2008 too highly. For serious students of baseball, it’s 600 pages of pure reading pleasure.

Justice for Perverted Justice?

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predator-hansen-book-cover Earlier posts here, here and here addressed NBC’s To Catch a Predator series, in which a television crew cooperates with police and a vigilante justice group to create child predator crimes. Then, the television crew follows the police as they apprehend the suspects, which NBC broadcasts for all to see in a sort of modern version of a witch hunt. This dubious combination of law enforcement and "entertainment" resulted in the tragic case of Louis Conradt, Jr., the late North Texas prosecutor who committed suicide with the witch hunters were on his front doorstep.

Now, this Dan Slater/W$J Law Blog post reports that Condradt’s sister is suing NBC in New York for $100 million, claiming, among other things, intentional infliction of emotional distress. Slater reports that her case has already survived the preliminary motion to dismiss stage of the lawsuit.

I don’t know about you, but I hope she rings the bell on NBC.

Dick Armey on immigration

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I must admit, I never thought that former House Majority Leader Dick Armey would sound like a statesman to me. I was wrong. Watch the video to find out why.

The Hollywood Dome?

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astrodome 022608 It is a reflection of how low my expectations have sunk for rational decisions from Harris County officials. I actually felt a sense of relief that officials do not appear to be taking this seriously:

Lights, camera, action: Dome needs a makeover

The Astrodome was a stage for baseball and football prima donnas to strut their stuff, but it could become a forum for Hollywood stars.

At least that’s what would happen if the Houston Association of Entertainment Professionals gets its way.

The association, a new, non-profit group representing film industry workers, has heard that not all county officials support the Astrodome convention hotel plan and has come up with an alternate proposal — turning the Dome into a film production studio.

"It would bring an entire new economy to Houston," said association president Elise Hendrix. "We should make a home for the film-making industry."

Astroturf and stadium seating would give way to studio space where sets could be built, a film-processing operation that could produce dailies, a 100,000-square-foot, underground sound stage and offices.

Hendrix pitched her idea to the Houston Film Commission, an arm of the Greater Houston Convention and Visitors Bureau, last week.

But she and other association members may appear light on the gravitas needed to have their plan taken seriously. Hendrix, 25, is a professional makeup artist who left the University of Louisiana at Lafayette before graduating. She was a fashion design and merchandising major.

The association doesn’t have a web site, only a page on MySpace.

But Hendrix said the association is courting investors who would put up the estimated $50 million to $200 million needed to gut the Dome and turn it into Astrodome Production Facilities. She declined to name investment groups that she is courting.

Willie Loston, director of the Harris County Sports and Convention Corp., which oversees Reliant Park, said the association hasn’t contacted him about the proposal.

"Great," he said after learning of it. "They got some money?" [.  .  .]

Given the speculative nature of the Astrodome Hotel boondoggle project, and assuming that the County powers have decided that razing the Dome is political suicide, why aren’t County and Texas Medical Center officials figuring out a way to renovate the Dome into the premiere medical training and education facility in the world? Just a thought.

The diversity of Texas

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texas 022708 Yes, Texas is a diverse place. It’s a part of its charm. But following on this post from yesterday, that diversity does not make it an easy place to get one’s arms around.

The importance of running a Presidential campaign

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Hillary_Clinton_2008 022608 On the heels of the Frank Rich/NY Times column castigating the Hillary Clinton campaign team, one of the best business law professors in the U.S. explains why the ability to run a large political campaign is an important qualification of a President:

A virtue of our political system as it is operated today is that it ensures that no one can be elected president who cannot run a major organization. This may not be enough – Bush ran two smooth campaigns but has had more trouble running a war. But it should at least be the price of admission.

And candidates should keep all this in mind before they go bashing "big business." If the candidates can’t achieve the same level of competence as the firms they bash in bringing order out of chaos, they should just stay in the Senate and let others do the more important jobs.

Read the entire post. As this Richard Murray post indicates, early voting trends in Texas do not look good for the Clinton campaign.
By the way, did you catch the following Jon Stewart crack during the Oscars?: “Away From Her is about a woman who forgets about her husband. Hillary Clinton called it the feel-good movie of the year.”

"Re"-examination?

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HoustonChronicle logo 022608 Kevin Whited over at BlogHouston.net notices a little news you can use from Houston’s leading news source:

The Chronicle ran a correction that was notable for its length today:

An article in Feb. 18 editions repeated charges made by Republican candidate for Congress Dean Hrbacek that a law firm, Williams & Jensen, had ties to Jack Abramoff. The article also cited reports that the firm’s managing partner, L. Steven Hart, traveled with a group of government officials and lobbyists to Scotland to play golf.

After being contacted by Williams & Jensen concerning the accuracy of the article, the Houston Chronicle’s re-examination has revealed that Hart’s correct name is J. Steven Hart, that there is no credible evidence that Hart traveled to Scotland with government officials on one of Abramoff’s trips or otherwise, and, also, that there is no credible evidence that Williams and Jensen has any "ties" to Abramoff or his lobbying activities.

Gosh, given the results of the Chron’s re-examination, where was the research for the original examination performed? Over a beer at the local icehouse?

Going for 13 in a row

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Carl Landry It’s quite rare that one of my predictions about the Rockets actually comes true. But after disposing of the Chicago Bulls on Sunday night, the hometown team is going for its 13th win in a row tonight (and their 17th in their last 18 games) against the Washington Wizards at the Toyota Center.

Dave Berri breaks down one of the main reasons for the Rockets’ streak. Turns out that the best NBA rookie from Texas this season may very well not be former UT star Kevin Durant.

Update: As usual, I spoke too soon. The Rockets’ surge just hit a very large speed bump this afternoon. All-Star center Yao Ming is out for the season with a stress fracture in his foot. Dave Berri already assesses the probable impact on the Rockets’ season.

Thinking about schizophrenia

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schizophrenia

Two recent NY Times article regarding the vexing nature of schizophrenia, one sad, one hopeful. Let’s all hope for more of the latter.

Re-defining TSU

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Robertson StadiumLeave it to new Texas Southern University President, John Rudley. He’s not wasting any time before trying to shake things up at the chronically-troubled public university (previous posts here):

Texas Southern University’s new president wants to end the school’s long-standing practice of accepting all applicants, no matter their academic background, saying the policy contributes to its alarmingly low graduation rate.

President John Rudley said the change is necessary to remake the state’s largest historically black university, which has been on the ropes recently because of management missteps, sliding enrollment and bad press.

As noted in this recent post, Rudley has his worked cut out for him in re-defining TSU’s mission. The University of Houston-Downtown Campus has far surpassed TSU as the favored open-enrollment institution in the Houston area. Consequently, TSU must redefine itself or face becoming irrelevant. It’s not clear to me Rudley’s plan is the best one for TSU, but I admire him for his vision. It’s badly needed at TSU.