2009 Weekly local football review

Owen Daniels (AP Photo/Dave Einsel; previous weekly reviews for this season are here)

Texans 24 49ers 21

The Texans (4-3) inched above .500 for one of the rare times in their eight season history with the win over the 49ers (3-3), but the way they accomplished it indicates that the team has a ways to go before becoming an above-average NFL team.

The Texans built a commanding 21-0 lead after a half, but let the 49ers come back behind their backup QB Alex Smith to have a chance to tie or win the game in the final two minutes. The Texans defense, which bottled up the 49ers in the first half — became passive in the second half, allowing long TD drives in three of five second half possessions.

Meanwhile, the Texans offense — which really was not hitting on all cylinders this day — had only one sustained drive in the second half. The combination of defensive breakdowns with an offense that could not keep the defense off the field is usually a prescription for failure in the NFL.

But a win is a win in the brutal NFL, so the Texans head to next Sunday’s game against the rugged but offensively-challenged Bills (3-4) with a legitimate shot at going into Indianapolis the following weekend at 5-3. They better beat the Bills because it does not currently look as if the Texans have much of a chance of slowing down the red-hot Colts (6-0). Thus, a 5-4 record going into the Week 10 bye-week is probably the best the Texans can realistically hope for.

Texas Aggies 52 Texas Tech 30

How do you explain the Aggies (4-3/1-2) beating the spread by 43 points in defeating Tech (5-3/2-2), which had just blasted a team (Kansas State) by 52 points two weeks ago that pummeled the Aggies by 48 last week?

You simply can’t. That’s one of the endearing characteristics of college football, folks.

As noted earlier here, the Aggies have a bunch of talented players, but most of the them are playing either their first or second season of major college football. As a result, there are wild swings in their performance level, as reflected by the results of the past two games.

However, if the Aggies can win the turnover battle and their generally over-matched defense can keep the game close enough so that A&M can rely on a balanced offensive attack, then the Ags have a good chance of winning three (Iowa State, Colorado and Baylor) of their final five games (only Texas and Oklahoma look to be out of reach). A 7-5 mark in Coach Mike Sherman’s second season at the helm would be a major success in Aggieland.

Surprising Iowa State (5-3/2-2) is up next for A&M at College Station this coming Saturday.

Texas Longhorns 41 Missouri 7

In a game that was not as close as the score indicates, the 3rd-ranked Longhorns (7-0/4-0) staked out a 21-0 first quarter lead and a 35-7 halftime lead over the Tigers (4-3/0-3) before slipping into cruise control in the second half.

The Texas offense showed signs of life as QB Colt McCoy finally had a decent game (26/31/269 yds/3 TD’s/1 INT), but this simply is not the Horns’ offense of last season. McCoy is not close to operating at the level he was last season or as the top QB’s in the college game are this season (such as Houston’s Case Keenum).

This Texas team wins games with a suffocating and hard-hitting defense, which is equally effective against the pass or run.  With that defense, McCoy and the rest of the offense probably need only to be competent for UT to win out and play for the BCS National Championship.

The Horns game of the season to date is next Saturday night at Oklahoma State (6-1/3-0). If the Horns play in a similar manner as they did against Mizzou, then my sense is that they will win by at least two TD’s.

Houston Cougars 38 SMU 15

As I’ve noted throughout this season, 15th-ranked Houston (6-1/2-1) QB Case Keenum has been among the best QB’s in college football. Like a coach on the field, Keenum saw early that SMU (3-4/2-1) was dropping 8 and sometimes 9 defenders into coverage, so he patiently attacked the Mustangs with the running game and short flank passes.

The result was that the Cougars built a comfortable 24-3 halftime lead in a workmanlike manner. Thus, when WR Tyron Carrier took the 2nd half kickoff 92 yards for an electrifying TD, the Cougars had this one in the bag and essentially held serve for the remainder of the second half.

Although Keenum did not have a gaudy game statistically, his excellence was nevertheless apparent. When the Ponies closed to 31-15 with about 9 minutes to go, Keenum calmly directed the Cougars on a six minute, 11 play, 78 yard TD drive to put the game away without question. Impressive, indeed.

The Cougars face a tough test next Saturday afternoon against Southern Miss (5-3/3-1) at Robertson Stadium.

Central Florida 49 Rice 7

The Owls (0-8/0-4) are experiencing just how good the trio of QB Chase Clement, WR Jarett Dillard and HB James Casey were over the two seasons prior to this one. It now appears that the Owls only realistic chance for a victory this season is in three weeks against Tulane (2-5/0-4) at Rice Stadium. After a bye-week next Saturday, the Owls travel to Dallas to play SMU (3-4/2-1) on November 7th.

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