On the heels of the news earlier this week that the Stros had offered Carlos Beltran a seven year deal worth $81 million, Baseball Prospectus’ Joe Sheehan was asked about Beltran in a recent chat session:
Question: How much is Carlos Beltran really worth for what he’s going to give you and his likelihood of staying healthy?
Joe Sheehan: Beltran has a lot of value that doesn’t show up in his Triple Crown stats, with a good walk rate, top-tier defense, and one of the best SB success rates in history. Put it all together with a good health record and his age, and I’d be comfortable exceeding Vlad Guerrero’s 5 yrs/$70MM deal, conceding that Guerrero’s numbers were held down by the speculation over his back.
I expect Beltran to get much more than that, something like 7 yrs/$126MM, or even 8 yrs/$144MM if the Yankees win the bidding.
As for the question in the subject of this post, here are Drew’s statistics.