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January 29, 2010
Tales of Two Lives
Wednesday’s Congressional testimony of Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner and the Department of Justice’s incredible shrinking case against former Enron CEO Jeff Skilling got me to thinking.
Geithner has made his share of dubious decisions over the past several years. I think he was wrong not to allow the markets to allocate the risk that many financial institutions took, particularly in regard to American Insurance Group. As a result of these decisions, I don’t think he should be the Secretary of the Treasury.
But I do not think it is fair to question that Geithner honestly believed that the actions he took were necessary to save the U.S. and world financial systems from chaos. You, like me, may not believe he was right about that, but there is little question that he honestly believed that he was mitigating the risk of a financial tsunami.
Turning to Skilling, the DOJ’s case against Skilling now boils down to several alleged misrepresentations that Skilling approved regarding a couple of financially-troubled divisions of Enron. But the overwhelming evidence at trial was that Skilling truly believed that the statements he approved regarding those divisions were accurate.
For example, one of those divisions – Enron Broadband – was attempting to develop and deliver the video-on-demand service that is now a popular and profitable product of digital television and such gadgets as Apple's iPod. These systems are a creative accommodation to copyrighted music and video programming that has generated enormous wealth for artists and shareholders of companies in the business.
Skilling testified at trial about his optimism regarding Broadband:
“And one last thing -- I'll make the last one argument for Broadband because people criticize me about Broadband, and I will take the criticism. We -- certainly, we made a mistake. But it wasn't big. I mean, it was a billion dollars. We invested a billion dollars in the Broadband business. If it had worked, it could have been worth $30 billion. It didn't work. We lost a billion dollars, but if you can make those kinds of bets, that's the kind of the risk you [should be taking] as a corporation. And if you do a lot of [deals with a] downside of a billion and upside of 30 [billion], you're doing a good job for your shareholders in the long run, in my opinion. This one didn't work.”
Given the current value of video-on-demand technology, Skilling's valuation of Enron's Broadband business opportunity was probably low. But regardless of the wisdom of Enron’s timing in investing in that technology, there is little question that Skilling honestly believed that Enron Broadband could generate enormous wealth for Enron’s shareholders.
Geithner will probably leave the Treasury soon and return to a Wall Street firm to make his fortune. Skilling lost his fortune and remains in a Colorado prison, where he is enduring a 24-year prison sentence.
I submit that no rational basis exists for the radically different futures of these two men.
Posted by Tom at January 29, 2010 12:01 AM |
Comments
Interesting as always..thanks.
Posted by: mtrozzo 
at January 28, 2010 10:35 PM
Good points. I hold that there is no basis in law for the Skilling-Lay convictions except that the were convenient scapegoats for the implosion of the entire stock market bubble. (You know, the bubble that the Fed engineered before it engineered the housing bubble. Why are Alan Greenspan and Ben Bernanke not in chains?)
Furthermore, the government has made lots of economic predictions this year that have not come true. Why are people like Tim Geithner and Bernanke, not to mention President Obama, not held legally liable? After all, they have demanded that people invest billions of dollars in dry holes.
Posted by: William Anderson at January 29, 2010 11:11 AM
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