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July 04, 2005
Sometimes these things get overlooked on holiday weekends
Inasmuch as my utterly unprofessional opinion is that the Houston area is going to be hammered by a hurricane this season, just a note to let you know that Tropical Depression 3 has just formed in the Atlantic. Current projections have the storm crossing the Yucatan of Mexico, entering the Gulf of Mexico, and heading towards the upper Texas coast, where current forecasts have it reaching the coast by Wednesday morning or so. While over the Gulf, the depression is likely to intensify into a tropical storm if it survives the journey. While satellite imagery and forecast models indicate weakening, upper level conditions over the Gulf support strengthening.
One thing to note during the hurricane season is that computer models do a better job of predicting the track of a storm than its intensity, where an experienced forecaster's gut reaction often is better than the computer models.
Frankly, a not-too-powerful storm would be welcomed in the Houston area right now as the area is suffering from a combination of typical hot summer tempuratures and a mini-drought over about the past 45 days.
Posted by Tom at July 4, 2005 08:52 AM
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